UFOs: The Research, the Evidence

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I'm reminded of the final shot of Joss Whedon's Serenity, as a piece of (probably extremely important) equipment plummets off the Firefly-class ship as it "gains atmo".
Weird synchronicity. I watched a show on the NASA moonshots the same week that I rewatched Serenity. The piece the flies of at the end of the movie is exactly like a panel seen flying off one of the Apollo (13?) craft in the documentary. I wouldn't have noticed if not for the fact that I watched them practically back-to-back. I would bet heavily that it is in fact an in joke (homage?) by Whedon.

ETA: it was the Spacecraft Lunar Module Adapter panels. I'm sure I saw video, perhaps it was only an artists impression. The similarity is suggestive...
 
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Of course, even Maccabee admits this. The numbers are 14.25 and 17 feet to the crossover point if I recall correctly. This is a 16% change in distance, which should produce a corresponding change in size.

I discovered that my memory is in error. Dr. Mac actually computed this to be 16.25, which produces about 4% change in size. Dr. Mac notes that this ratio does not match the ratio of angular size change he measured from the negatives. Of course, the difference is only a small amount, which equates to be about a foot in total distance or a difference of 0.02mm in his measurements of the object on the negative. Consider the margin for error and stackup issues, I don't consider this a significant problem. Of course there is the possibility that the model was moved between shots 1 and 2, which would explain why the aspect changed.
 
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Closing McMinnville to present a NEW case!

Stray Cat draws diagrams and makes assertions but provides NO calculations (even when asked to DO so) to show how he might have arrived at the scale and dimensions in his diagrams and thus how he supports his conclusions.

Stray Cat claims Dr Maccabee is incorrect in his analysis, yet ignores Dr Maccebee’s own analysis and descriptions of that analysis which explains the error margins involved and how they came about.

Stray Cat claims to be an “experienced” photographer, yet demonstrates a complete lack of understanding of parallax and of how to calculate the camera positions from the photos.

Finally Stray Cat posts a Hartmann photo claiming it to show the relationship between the house and garage when THIS analysis not only demonstrates a serious misunderstanding of the effects of perspective, but also directly contradicts the aerial survey photo of the Trent farm.

In summary, Stray cat has conducted NO calculations (NONE), has ignored the analytical evidence, and has seriously misunderstood parallax and perspective in photographs.

Then we have Astrophotographer, whose specialty is attacking the character of the witnesses (“stupid hicks” was his most memorable claim). But of course this just ignores the character assessments we DO have of the Trents that they were honest, down-to-earth, hard-working folk, whose characters were not of the type that might suggest that they could possibly have carried off a such hoax.

We also have the “Klass” suggestion of “inconsistencies” within the story… but what do these amount to. A minor contradiction in newspaper (!) accounts about who saw the UFO first? Mr or Mrs Trent? That’s Klass’ knockout punch? Oh…but then there is “Mrs Worth”. Did she or did she not see UFOs? Mrs Trent thought that Mrs Worth told her she had, but that Mrs Worth had since moved and she did not know her forwarding address so this could not be confirmed. THIS is Klass’ knockout punch? What else does Klass have… what…nothing else? Oh dear…

Other people have jumped in with “explanations” – a car/truck mirror is one such. Yet this again ignores the photo analysis AND ignores the fact that while there might be similarities, no-one has EVER come up with a mirror that actually matches the UFO…

The UFO hanging from the overhead wires has been thoroughly refuted (either it must be swinging wildly which would leave photographic evidence AND have made capturing the UFO as shown in the photos merely with two consecutive photos extremely unlikely, or it is stationary, which does not account for size differentials, the “distance” haze surrounding the second UFO, etc)

Another “explanation” that the UFO debunkers have finally, in desperation, resorted to is the “God must have done it” argument. LOL. This demonstrates precisely how far they have fallen and to what lengths they will go. Oh how the mighty have fallen! Can anyone take seriously in future any JREF member who has put forward this argument?

Then there are the photos themselves. With ALL substantial UFO photographic cases, UFO debunkers AND researchers set out to “reproduce” the photos with models etc to demonstrate that it is possible to DO so. Yet even with all the technology available to us today, NO-ONE has EVER been able to reproduce anything that even comes close to the Trent photos (especially considering Trent took just the two photos, in sequence, in the middle of a roll of film).

All in all does this “prove” that the photos are genuine? Of course not. However it DOES strongly suggest that a hoax is extremely unlikely in this case. Yet while ever the slight possibility remains, the UFO debunkers will jump in to rehash all the old arguments – even after they have been refuted - time and time again.

It would therefore seem pointless continuing the argument from here (indeed, given the amount of nonsense and insincere posting that has been going on lately – and the fact that even Astrophotographer has begun to struggle with his “memory” about the minutia of the case - I gather that others would also like a change of pace) so unless anyone has any strong objections, I would like to leave the Trent/McMinnville case at this point and present another case which “ramps up” the evidence substantially.


The case I want to present involves the conjunction of irrefutable eyewitness, video and radar evidence. It is a case that has also been discussed in peer reviewed scientific journals (Applied Optics for one). Pundits have called this case “one of the world’s best documented UFO cases". It is this:

The Kaikoura UFO sightings (30 Dec 1978)
First we have a TV news analysis:
The Kaikoura UFO sighting continues to baffle, 30 years on. Monday, 20 October 2008, 8:46pm (Source: TV3)
(http://www.scoop.co.nz/multimedia/tv/technology/14461.html)

Then we have the original footage
(http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_Q3iq4R8MgM)

Then we have the analytical articles. The following articles can be seen on Dr Maccabee’s website (http://brumac.8k.com/index.html - scroll down the page until you come to the following headings):

(1) New Zealand Sightings of December 31 1978
(2) New Zealand Radar Sighting
(NOTE: These are presented as direct download Word documents from the links provided in the text under the above titles)

Continue scrolling down and you will find the heading “Flashing Light Film from New Zealand!” under which the following links are available:
(3) Flashing Light
(http://brumac.8k.com/NEW_ZEALAND/NZFlashingLight/NZFlashingLight.html)
94) Squid Boat
(http://brumac.8k.com/NEW_ZEALAND/NZSB.html)

On the same page (located above the links just mentioned) the sighting is also mentioned in:
(5) Challenging the Paradigm!
(http://brumac.8k.com/ChallengeParadigm/Challenging the Paradigm.htm)

Of course various other websites mention the sighting (for example (http://www.ufocasebook.com/newzealand1978.html) and (http://www.abovetopsecret.com/forum/thread410406/pg1) but interested parties will have no trouble finding more information, so I will not list further links to the subject unless discussion requires it.
 
Wow you do talk some rubbish...

Stray Cat draws diagrams and makes assertions but provides NO calculations (even when asked to DO so) to show how he might have arrived at the scale and dimensions in his diagrams and thus how he supports his conclusions.
Yes, I did, and you claiming I didn't doesn't make it so.

Stray Cat claims Dr Maccabee is incorrect in his analysis, yet ignores Dr Maccebee’s own analysis and descriptions of that analysis which explains the error margins involved and how they came about.
I claim he is incorrect, because he is incorrect.
Maccabee's excuses for his sloppy work are only there to ensure that the result HE wants is maintained.

Stray Cat claims to be an “experienced” photographer, yet demonstrates a complete lack of understanding of parallax and of how to calculate the camera positions from the photos.
Should I at this point re-post the pathetically inadequate parallax diagram Rramjet drew last year that had none of the elements in the photo's positioned in the right place... and then link to the page where he claimed it wasn't important in order to work out parallax?
You aren't working out parallax, you are using a method given by Maccabee to ensure the crossing of the sight lines never appears under the wires. In order to do this, you can apparently move every element in any diagram in any position (regardless of what is actually shown in the photographs). Using Maccabee's system, you could end up with the camera 19 feet away from the wires, directly underneath the wires or even infront of them and apparently, this doesn't effect anything. Apart from the assumptions that have to be made regarding the field of view (which can not be altered as Mr Trent had a fixed lens and thats the FoV the camera captured on the photographs.

Finally Stray Cat posts a Hartmann photo claiming it to show the relationship between the house and garage when THIS analysis not only demonstrates a serious misunderstanding of the effects of perspective, but also directly contradicts the aerial survey photo of the Trent farm.
Show how this "demonstrates a serious misunderstanding of the effects of perspective"
A straight line, is a straight line and if you draw two straight lines which intersect with each other, the result is quite clear.
And the aerial survey photo is (as I have said many times) so pixellated, with shadows and apparently the gable ends of the buildings overhang by so much that it is more accurate to use the very clear photo taken by Hartmann, which clearly shows the relationship between the two buildings.
Of course Rramjet will dispute this for no other reason than it doesn't give the result he wants.

In summary, Stray cat has conducted NO calculations (NONE), has ignored the analytical evidence, and has seriously misunderstood parallax and perspective in photographs.
Just because you claim that does not make it true.
But I can't wait to see your calculations that show exactly where my Hartmann photo is wrong... or how you can justify the massive changes in distance from the camera positions to the wires (fomr 19 feet Maccabee down to about 4 feet Rramjet), each one apparently being correct and matching to all the elements within the photos that can be used to work out the positions of the camera and object. :rolleyes:
 
Stray Cat
Whatever you say guy... There is more than enough information in this thread now for people to make up their own minds - so I'm happy at this point leave you with the last word.

Lets just agree to disagree and move on shall we?

The Kaikoura UFO sightings (30 Dec 1978)
First we have a TV news analysis:
The Kaikoura UFO sighting continues to baffle, 30 years on. Monday, 20 October 2008, 8:46pm (Source: TV3)
(http://www.scoop.co.nz/multimedia/tv/technology/14461.html)

Then we have the original footage
(http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_Q3iq4R8MgM)

Then we have the analytical articles. The following articles can be seen on Dr Maccabee’s website (http://brumac.8k.com/index.html - scroll down the page until you come to the following headings):

(1) New Zealand Sightings of December 31 1978
(2) New Zealand Radar Sighting
(NOTE: These are presented as direct download Word documents from the links provided in the text under the above titles)

Continue scrolling down and you will find the heading “Flashing Light Film from New Zealand!” under which the following links are available:
(3) Flashing Light
(http://brumac.8k.com/NEW_ZEALAND/NZFlashingLight/NZFlashingLight.html)
94) Squid Boat
(http://brumac.8k.com/NEW_ZEALAND/NZSB.html)

On the same page (located above the links just mentioned) the sighting is also mentioned in:
(5) Challenging the Paradigm!
(http://brumac.8k.com/ChallengeParadigm/Challenging the Paradigm.htm)

Of course various other websites mention the sighting (for example (http://www.ufocasebook.com/newzealand1978.html) and (http://www.abovetopsecret.com/forum/thread410406/pg1) but interested parties will have no trouble finding more information, so I will not list further links to the subject unless discussion requires it.
 
There is more than enough information in this thread now for people to make up their own minds - so I'm happy at this point leave you with the last word.

why don't you understand that everyone had made their minds up when you proved to be incapable of rational thought around page 10
:confused:
 
Is THIS CASE the NEW best case? Might I suggest watching the NOVA program: "UFOs: Are we alone?" for another point of view. You can also read UFOs: The public deceived and UFOs: Sightings for Klass and Sheaffer's versions of events. Just to make it clear. Nobody saw any alien spaceships. They just saw "lights" at night with some spurious radar contacts (which were common that night). If this is your BEST CASE, it falls far short of proving UFOs are alien spaceships.
 
Stray Cat
Whatever you say guy... There is more than enough information in this thread now for people to make up their own minds - so I'm happy at this point leave you with the last word.


Everyone has made up their own minds. You've failed completely to support your claim that aliens exist.
 
Stray Cat
Whatever you say guy... There is more than enough information in this thread now for people to make up their own minds - so I'm happy at this point leave you with the last word.

Lets just agree to disagree and move on shall we?

I'm guessing this 'new case'* may mean that 'Paranormal Pictures' will be filming a new B Movie blockbuster... coming to a cinema near you. :D

*Actually a 32 year old case
 
Then we have Astrophotographer, whose specialty is attacking the character of the witnesses (“stupid hicks” was his most memorable claim). But of course this just ignores the character assessments we DO have of the Trents that they were honest, down-to-earth, hard-working folk, whose characters were not of the type that might suggest that they could possibly have carried off a such hoax.

Prove to me they could not have created a hoax. I want 100% proof. Falsify the hoax hypothesis. If you can't it is valid and it is more probable than the ETH. You are using the opinions of a man biased towards the ETH and who's reputation is based on this (and a few other) select UFO cases. If he was shown to be wrong, he would lose credibility. This is exactly what he has done with his biggest hoax endorsement, the Ed Walters case. He has basically fudged items and claimed that Ed was too honest and could never create such a hoax. However, there are a great number of people in the UFO community that believe this is a hoax. Dr. Mac's opinions about hoaxes are suspect. Using him as your prize source for the honesty and simple-mindedness of the Trents, is not saying much in that light.

We also have the “Klass” suggestion of “inconsistencies” within the story… but what do these amount to. A minor contradiction in newspaper (!) accounts about who saw the UFO first? Mr or Mrs Trent? That’s Klass’ knockout punch? Oh…but then there is “Mrs Worth”. Did she or did she not see UFOs? Mrs Trent thought that Mrs Worth told her she had, but that Mrs Worth had since moved and she did not know her forwarding address so this could not be confirmed. THIS is Klass’ knockout punch? What else does Klass have… what…nothing else? Oh dear…

Feel free to prove that Klass lied when he wrote this article. Did the Trent's fabricate parts of the story? It certainly appears that way. If so, what does it say about the honesty of the story tellers?

Other people have jumped in with “explanations” – a car/truck mirror is one such. Yet this again ignores the photo analysis AND ignores the fact that while there might be similarities, no-one has EVER come up with a mirror that actually matches the UFO…

This is a typical UFOlogical trick. Even if I were to supply you with a mirror or model that exactly matches the object, you would simply state there is no evidence that the Trent's had access to such a device (in fact, you did this in an earlier post). The truck mirror is a hypothesis that you have yet to falsify since you have yet to provide us with all of the possible truck mirrors that the Trent's may have had access to. It is still a valid potential explanation.

The UFO hanging from the overhead wires has been thoroughly refuted (either it must be swinging wildly which would leave photographic evidence AND have made capturing the UFO as shown in the photos merely with two consecutive photos extremely unlikely, or it is stationary, which does not account for size differentials, the “distance” haze surrounding the second UFO, etc)

You state that you have thoroughly refuted all of this but you have done nothing of the sort. I think just about every argument you have presented so far has been shown to be possible.

1) Size differentials - The photographer is known to have moved to the right making the object smaller simply due to the displacement. If you can't see that you are not very bright.

2) The overhead wires - They do not have to be the support device. I posted Joel Carpenter's explanation for this and you simply ignored it or waved it off. There is also the possibility of the step ladder we see one of the kids sitting on top of.

3) Wildly swinging - What was the exposure time of the photograph? What was the F-ratio? I think Correo Neto debunked that argument with his shot.

4) The distance haze - That was addressed by Sheaffer some time ago with his analysis about the lens being dirty. Hartmann agreed with this analysis. BTW, how do you determine "distance haze"? Perhaps you can give us a calculation.


It appears you are moving on because this case is not as good as you think and you are beginning to see this. However, I am willing to let it go simply because it has been beat to death. However, the "parting shot" you just made is your personal opinion and not based on any serious study of the photographs and the evidence. You once again bring shame to the scientific profession (if you really are a scientist that is).
 
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137 pages of crapola so that one person can prove to himself that he hasn't wasted his life.

and what for anyway, nobody here denies UFO's exist
most of us don't deny that somewhere aliens exist
Its even official N.A.S.A policy that aliens exist

probably would have been better off just getting counselling.
:rolleyes:
 
I wonder how many people who were on the fence have concluded UFOlogy is full of crap since Rramjet started posting?
He's as good an ambassador for alien visitation as AAAlfie is for global warming denial. With friends like these...

A
 
Is THIS CASE the NEW best case? Might I suggest watching the NOVA program: "UFOs: Are we alone?" for another point of view. You can also read UFOs: The public deceived and UFOs: Sightings for Klass and Sheaffer's versions of events. Just to make it clear. Nobody saw any alien spaceships. They just saw "lights" at night with some spurious radar contacts (which were common that night). If this is your BEST CASE, it falls far short of proving UFOs are alien spaceships.

Wow, talk about "handwaving" away the evidence! I apologise to forum members in advance for the following, but there is absolutely NO way of explaining how Astrophotographer (Klass and Sheaffer) got it so wrong without a detailed refutation. Even here much has been left out for the sake of brevity. The old maxim holds true: To refute any unfounded generalised assertion takes extensive research and much explanation and this is precisely what the proponent of the unfounded, generalised assertion relies on - that the sheer amount of research and explanation involved will prove so overwhelming that it is just not worth the trouble. Unfortunately for Astrophotographer, he will not get away with this tactic so easily:

Edited by Darat: 
Multiple breaches of Rule 4 removed.
 
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"Unfortunately for Astrophotographer, he will not get away with this tactic so easily: he will not escape my cut-n'-paste wall-o-text!"

You know there's this cool handy thingie called link...
And that other cool handy thingie called scroll wheel...
 
If this thread ever ends, we should have a poll to decide which case provided the most spectacular failure. The decision has already gotten quite difficult.
 
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