UFOs: The Research, the Evidence

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Why can't you leave me out of this...lol! I resemble that remark. Seriously the proof thing is the hold up here and the broken record is getting boring. Someone made some weird rules that obviously didn't solve anything. Why not make a rule of what would be considered proof? What would satisfy the majority here as scientific proof?


This stuff isn't arbitrary. The rules aren't weird. And we're not looking for proof here. We're looking for evidence. There are logical fallacies which are already fairly well defined. Arguments from incredulity and arguments from ignorance aren't evidence. You can look these things up in various places on the web. That's where you need to start when applying the scientific method, which is also not arbitrary, the rules of which can be also found through a variety of resources.

And since arguments from incredulity and ignorance are nearly all Rramjet has provided so far, we can say, definitively, that he hasn't provided any evidence to support his claim that aliens exist. Add to that his proven propensity to lie and his often demonstrated misunderstanding of the burden of proof and the scientific method, and it all adds up to a totally failed effort on his part.

If you go to the same high school as Rramjet, the two of you should talk to a science teacher there to learn a little something about logical fallacies and the scientific method. And even if you go to different high schools, there are certainly teachers at your school who would be able to help you understand this stuff.
 
Why not make a rule of what would be considered proof? What would satisfy the majority here as scientific proof?


Proof: Alien body/artifact whose extraterrestrial origin be independantly confirmed by recognized laboratories, and to the satisfaction of the scientific community.

Obviously such a proof does not exist, otherwise the existence of extraterrestrial life (and intelligent!) would already be in the school text books,.... and this thread would no exist.

What is under discussion is the current evidence in favor of the ET origin of the UFOs (or terrestrial exotic phenomena not yet known to science).

For some, it is good enough to assert/hypothize that intelligent aliens exist, and have been visiting the Earth. For others, it is not good enough to take the ETH seriously and to give credit to what UFO enthusiasts claim.

What kind of evidence would make skeptics stop, turn around and start considering the ETH seriously?. Well, Access Denied listed some, a few pages back:
Access Denied said:
1) Evidence obtained by (preferably multiple forms of) instrumentation (e.g. radar/optical tracking) of an unknown object entering and/or leaving the Earth’s atmosphere (to/from space) under artificial or intelligent control.

2) Multiple independently obtained and unambiguous (e.g. clear) photographs and/or video of a Zetan spaceship in action and/or on the ground, preferably while landing on the White House lawn or witnessed during a major sporting, or other, event with thousands present and broadcast on live TV.
 
Yeah sure, these are assertions that scintillation can cause such effects, but I asked you to provide the scientific evidence (from research papers, articles on the subject, whatever documents you can) that show the physics involved that might CAUSE the effects.

I guess the Viezze source is not "scientific"? Oh well, believe what you so desire. You originally implied that such effects were rare. Hendry's study, as well as others, prove this to be completely false. People state they see stars do these things. Scintillation is one of those effects the create this impression.


My computer was donated to me – and who are you to make such assertions about people’s financial ability? You have NO idea how many people actually live do you Astrophotographer! You have this unfounded belief that people who suffer financial deprivation must all be inarticulate yokels who don’t have computers, etc… you have NO idea about the human condition at all do you.

You are the one who proclaims you have a scientific education. Are you telling me you have been unable to use that scientific training to make a reasonable living and have to live off donations? I have no college degree and only my navy electronics training to rely upon. I make a reasonable living and helped raise four kids among other things. I can afford $20 for a book.

As for having no idea about the human condition, I think you forget who you are addressing. I spent over twenty years in the Navy serving on submarines working under adverse and stressful conditions. While you were obtaining your Dr. Science degree (which appears to have gotten you nothing), I was sacrificing my personal life away from my famly and friends actually working for a living (and not getting paid that well for it). After retirement, I went to work in the civilian sector right away to support my family. I continue to work today in a manufacturing job. So don't even PRETEND to lecture me about the human condition.

You CLAIM that “stars” were the explanation and you BASE that claim on your alleged scintillation effects – yet you provide NO evidence that such effects ACTUALLY occur in the real world!.

I guess Hendry's 360 UFO cases he investigated and discovered to be stars are not evidence but your unexplained cases are. Go figure.

So don’t play. I have answered your question MANY times over. Just because you do not like the answer, you are going to pack up your bat and ball and go home?

In other words you have no best case. So much for confidence in your UFO reports.

Re: Betty cash

Then provide the evidence. What chemical? Your solution suffers the same problems as the radiation solution.


Actually it does not. The effects do NOT match the effects of acute radiation exposure, which we know about. As a result the radiation exposure explanation is not likey (aka implausible). Therefore, we have reason to doubt this is the source of her symptoms. Therefore, we have to look elsewhere. Chemicals come to mind. Maybe she took too much medication? I am not a doctor and don't try and pretend to be one. I can't identify a chemical but chemicals have been known to cause nausea, make hair fall out, and burn the skin. Does one specific chemical do that? Maybe it is something to be examined. Apparently nobody else examined it as they continue to suggest it is due to radiation.

Sure, there are idiots, egotists, money-grubbers, hoaxers and liars in every field – but if you have evidence that relates to such in the Cash/Landrum case…then please present it, otherwise, your statement of mere unfounded and generalised assertions does not make such statements true!

Gerstein's track record speaks for itself. Did you follow the link I posted before about him at UFOwatchdog.com?


The helicopter evidence is contained in the eyewitness statements. The witnesses saw them. The military denies them. It’s a mystery, but that is not the core of the UFO case. It is the UFO encounter that is the REAL mystery and the evidence of that encounter is in the injuries received by ALL of witnesses in the car at the time.

Which witnesses saw the helicopter fleet and the UFO at the same time period as Cash? Can you give specifics and not some link to a wikipedia article? We know Walker's testimony is invalid for confirming the helicopter fleet. What about the others? How good are they?

You keep banging on about the helicopters. They are not a particularly important part of the case. You continue to make the assertion that people should have reported the helicopters to the authorities… but why? Do YOU report helicopters every time you see them? Of course you don’t!

The helicopters are the key to the case. If there was no fleet, then the testimony has some serious problems. It is hard to believe that almost two dozen helicopters would be ignored by just about everyone in southeastern Texas. The lack of any serious confirming evidence for the helicopters gives reason to doubt the case testimony.

That Cash and the others received injuries is NOT in question. It is QUITE obvious they did. Yet the way you tell it, the lack of access to the medical record means that there were NO injuries. This is bunk! It is a bankrupt assessment from you.

Show me where I said the injuries/symptoms were not real. Stop exaggerating. My point is that without a medical record, any discussion of the injuries have to be considered suspect. We don't know what the doctors determined. We do not know the condition of Cash's blood. We don't know if her condition was pre-existing or caused by something else. Therefore, to draw any conclusions about what caused her conditions is invalid.


The basic facts are verified and have been verified by others before us. In light of the lack of plausible mundane explanations I merely assert “Dangerous UFO”.

The facts have not been verified. Yes. Cash says she saw something. Yes she got sick. Yes, they went down the road. However, we have yet to verify many facts beyond this. We can't verify the helcopters were present. We can't verify that the symptoms were caused by the event. We can't even verify the "cover-up" of the road actually happened.

As far as the "dangerous UFO" comment, how many other UFOs have caused these same conditions? Is it just this type of UFO that created this? If so, does the lack of such symptoms in any other close encounter mean those cases are invalid?

A mass of unfounded, generalised assertion does NOT make a good case Astrophotographer and your merely repeating them over and over again does NOT make them true.

Hmmm....I guess you should know.

If you refuse to discuss the O’Hare case, then that is your prerogative.

If it isn't YOUR BEST CASE, I am not going to waste my time. You obviously will shift to another case if that can not demonstrate what you desire.
 
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So, let's review the physical evidence on the cases currently under consideration shall we.

We have a police car that's damaged - it has a bent aerial and a bashed in left front side, but no trace evidence of what caused the damage.

We have a person who was ill, but no medical records to tell us what she was suffering from, fingerprints allegedly melted into a dashboard, but no photographs or independent witnesses to corroborate that the fingerprints were there, and a road allegedly burned and then repaired, but no photographs of the burned road (or trees) and no record of any repairs to the road.

Does that about sum it up?

Don't forget the indentations in the ground by Zamora's UFO.
 
Lack of reading comprehension, yet again. It's not the physics that matters here, but the psychology. Astrophotographer isn't saying that scintillation causes objects to split apart or shoot beams of light, but that people observing scintillation (and seeing) interpret what they see in those ways.

I am not sure if he wants to admit this is possible.
 
Certainly the (clean and sober) college students I found one evening excitedly observing Venus thought it had been "shooting colored rays" and "swinging back and forth." We were very close to the science building, where some hardy students were up on the observing platform on the roof in sleeping bags, ready to count meteorites. The astronomy professor obligingly let us look through a fairly decent telescope (about an 8-inch reflector, I think) and we could see the planet Venus, a bright crescent, though it was getting fairly low in the sky and was jiggling because of atmospheric distortions. No shooting rays, though, and the motorized telescope mount had no difficulty keeping it centered, so it wasn't really swinging back and forth in the sky.
 
As I have explained (repeatedly…) there is NO SUCH THING as a “best case’. Each has it’s own idiosyncrasies. “Scatter-gun” approach? What you mean is that you don’t want to consider ALL the evidence, you want to constrain the evidence to ONE particular example and if you can “debunk” that, then that is the end of the story!


A scary prospect, right?. If your best case is debunked, that's indeed the end of the story, your story. Afraid of presenting your best case?. That same question was posed to Stanton Friedman on a radio debate with a skeptic. He also evaded the question with the same kind of argumentation you came up with. You (and Friedman) seem to contend that numerous weak-evidenced cases add up to hard evidence in favor of the ETH. That's not the case, a hard/convincing evidence will come from a best case. Only one is needed to end the story in your favor.

So, you don't have a best case?, or you have it, but don't dare to present it?. In either case, it speaks volumes in that you don't have the evidence of "aliens" you colorfully announced in the OP.
 
“The identity of all eye witnesses has been concealed at their request to safeguard their reputation and job security” (p. 5 - http://www.narcap.org/reports/010/TR10_Case_18a.pdf) Thus your inclusion of the term “anonymous in your description of the witnesses represents an unwarranted and disingenuous attempt to sully the credibility of the witnesses.
And yet…

”Airline employee interviews conducted by Hilkevitch (2007) said that they were interviewed by United management and "instructed to write reports and draw pictures of what they observed." They were also allegedly told not to talk about what they saw to anyone. The senior editor could not locate any airline employee who would confirm this allegation. (p. 19)​

And…

“During a TV interview on CNN one of the [anonymous] witnesses ["Witness B"] said that his airline's management had not pressured him in any way to stay quiet and had only received occasional ribbing from some coworkers.” (p. 20)​

I call BS.

You also stated that A & D “started it all” and this is a complete fabrication!
They’re the ones who reported it to NUFORC. You’re calling me liar because of your misunderstanding?

On the passenger “endorsing” a hoaxed photo: The passenger, seeing a purported photographic representation of the UAP, claims that it resembles what she saw. So what? She was not endorsing the “photo” itself as genuine, merely the representation of the UAP as similar to what she saw. This does NOT make her a party to the alleged hoaxed photo!
She also endorsed the location which was nowhere near correct. Care to rethink that premature conclusion?

The small stature of the “beings” Zamora saw was not a “possibility”! He saw small beings! Full stop! No question, no argument! He then tried to explain what he saw (as ANY of us would) in mundane terms, thus “…possibly they were small adults or large kids.”
1. You appear to be seriously delusional.
2. Regardless of what you want to believe he said, the shoeprints found were that of normal sized adults.

Do you believe aliens wear boots?

“Fairies wear boots and you gotta believe me
Yeah I saw it, I saw it, I tell you no lies
Yeah Fairies wear boots and you gotta believe me
I saw it, I saw it with my own two eyes”


~ Black Sabbath

… and “He had a “thing” about kids playing pranks”? You base this solely on his being in pursuit of a speeding car prior to his encounter (by presumably assuming “kids” were driving it)? Obviously it is not Zamora who had a “thing” about kids playing pranks – the invention is entirely your own.
I’m not going to do the research for you that you should have done before you opened your big mouth again… I’ll just let that one stand as a testament to your ignorance and flawed thought processes.
 
We could probably play a good, if short, game of bingo using that list and Rramjet's posts from now one.
 
Then the speculative but unproven hypotheses for the “Unknown” category might look like:

1) Mundane (natural, prosaic)2) ET
3) Interdimensional
4) Indigenous "aliens"
5) Jungian conciousness
6) add as you think of one...

[snip]

It can be instantly seen then that for UFO debunkers and UFO proponents alike, any speculative hypotheses (including mundane, ET, etc), proposed for the UFO category, MUST have evidential support, otherwise we are entitled to reject them.
Wrong!

In science “mundane” is not “speculative”… it’s well established. If you wish to overturn the scientific “establishment” the burden of proof is on you to conclusively rule out all known causes.

[misidentification, delusion, or hoax]

You have failed to do that for any of the case presented here.

Your "methodology" is bunk… and always will be.
 
I guess the Viezze source is not "scientific"? Oh well, believe what you so desire. You originally implied that such effects were rare. Hendry's study, as well as others, prove this to be completely false. People state they see stars do these things. Scintillation is one of those effects the create this impression.
All I am asking you is to provide some references to show just what effect “scintiallation” has on stars. As far as I can tell it has a very SMALL effect in magnitude only and thus cannot account for the witness observations of jumping location, splitting apart, etc.. If however there is some other mechanism involved – such as refraction – I want to know to what degree these phenomena affect the light from stars, how far above the horizon, etc., etc.

I naturally assumed that you, being a self-proclaimed amateur astronomer, would have a better insight and access to more information on this than anyone else in this forum. I don’t understand why you refuse to provide such information and/or references to such information. It MUST exist, and as an amateur astronomer, you SHOULD be aware of it – so what’s the problem?

You are the one who proclaims you have a scientific education. Are you telling me you have been unable to use that scientific training to make a reasonable living and have to live off donations? I have no college degree and only my navy electronics training to rely upon. I make a reasonable living and helped raise four kids among other things. I can afford $20 for a book.

As for having no idea about the human condition, I think you forget who you are addressing. I spent over twenty years in the Navy serving on submarines working under adverse and stressful conditions. While you were obtaining your Dr. Science degree (which appears to have gotten you nothing), I was sacrificing my personal life away from my famly and friends actually working for a living (and not getting paid that well for it). After retirement, I went to work in the civilian sector right away to support my family. I continue to work today in a manufacturing job. So don't even PRETEND to lecture me about the human condition.
I am not sure if this is a peculiar product of American society and it’s “individualistic” nature or not, but the thrust of your points above seem to be if I am alright (doing okay, etc), then there should be no reason for anyone else not to be alright (doing okay, etc).”

As I stated, you obviously have no idea of the human condition or you certainly would be able to imagine circumstances that might lead someone with a science degree NOT to be alright (doing okay, etc.)! According to your statements, you have lead a VERY privileged and sheltered life compared with the majority of the world’s population – but you seem not to recognise that and to actually consider that you have had a tough life. Nothing could be further from the truth. I am not lecturing, just pointing out a few home truths.

I guess Hendry's 360 UFO cases he investigated and discovered to be stars are not evidence but your unexplained cases are. Go figure.
Well if the criteria he used to assess those cases is in error, then it is NOT evidence. I am merely asking you to clarify those criteria by describing the atmospheric effects that are supposed to have been the cause for the misidentifications in the cases you refer to.

In other words you have no best case. So much for confidence in your UFO reports.
Precisely! Finally you get it. I HAVE no “best case”. However, I have a number of interesting cases that I consider support my hypotheses, and I consider those cases to be “good” cases for that purpose – but equally each has it’s own inadequacies. It is only via an open and honest discussion of these cases that we can sort out the good data from the rubbish. I thought that would have been something that you were interested in doing. I had hoped to get that type of discussion by coming to the JREF to see what the JREF had to say about the evidence in these cases – but primarily all I am getting is ridicule and abuse and obfuscation of the issues and very little exploration of the actual data and research that has been conducted. This is disappointing.

Re Betty Cash:
Actually it does not. The effects do NOT match the effects of acute radiation exposure, which we know about. As a result the radiation exposure explanation is not likey (aka implausible). Therefore, we have reason to doubt this is the source of her symptoms.
But this is simply not true… Her injuries and symptoms match very closely what we might expect from radiation poisoning. That the injuries reflect aspects of different radiation sources and that the dosages seem not to match with what we know about such radiation means that we cannot say for SURE that it was radiation poisoning, but the symptoms SUGGEST radiation – perhaps a combination of types?

Therefore, we have to look elsewhere. Chemicals come to mind. Maybe she took too much medication? I am not a doctor and don't try and pretend to be one. I can't identify a chemical but chemicals have been known to cause nausea, make hair fall out, and burn the skin. Does one specific chemical do that? Maybe it is something to be examined. Apparently nobody else examined it as they continue to suggest it is due to radiation.
Unfortunately, and as I have already pointed out to you, the “chemical hypothsis” suffers from the same problem that the “radiation hypothesis”…there is no single chemical that would produce all those symptoms at once. Perhaps something like Agent Orange might… but then HOW did she (and the others) get exposed to THAT if it wasn’t government negligence? Possibly some type of aviation fuel might cause similar injuries but again…HOW did she get so exposed to THAT…?

Gerstein's track record speaks for itself. Did you follow the link I posted before about him at UFOwatchdog.com?
Yes I did – AND I already noted (and told you) that Joe Nickel gets a right old serve in the Hall of UFO Shame as well! LOL.

I stated:
” The helicopter evidence is contained in the eyewitness statements. The witnesses saw them. The military denies them. It’s a mystery, but that is not the core of the UFO case. It is the UFO encounter that is the REAL mystery and the evidence of that encounter is in the injuries received by ALL of witnesses in the car at the time.”
Which witnesses saw the helicopter fleet and the UFO at the same time period as Cash? Can you give specifics and not some link to a wikipedia article? We know Walker's testimony is invalid for confirming the helicopter fleet. What about the others? How good are they?
What IS it with you and the helicopters…? In the one post you deny the existence of helicopters because the witness testimony is not strong enough to support the contention, yet at the same time you propose that Cash et al. might have mistaken a helicopter for a UFO! (that would be post #4551, p. 114)

I have already stated that “helicopters” is NOT the basis of the case. I don’t really care if helicopters were present or not. YOU DO have to make up your mind on that one Astrophotographer.

Show me where I said the injuries/symptoms were not real. Stop exaggerating.
Oooo… how do you like being caught out?

The medical records are the key. This is why I stated this case is "incomplete" because it relies on the witness story and claims of being injured. There is nothing to back up the claims.

If you state there is nothing to back up the claims of being injured then I can only suppose you mean what you say!

Perhaps you would like to retract that “exaggerating” remark and apologise for it? Waiting…

My point is that without a medical record, any discussion of the injuries have to be considered suspect.
…and you immediately make a similar claim!

READ the interview. READ the reports made by various others. Does ANYONE question Cash’ injuries? Does the USAF?

We don't know what the doctors determined. We do not know the condition of Cash's blood. We don't know if her condition was pre-existing or caused by something else. Therefore, to draw any conclusions about what caused her conditions is invalid.
You are really making the claim that Betty Cash and Vickie Landrum (and Colby) and the USAF investigators and all the subsequent researchers are lying? That is a conspiracy theory on a GRAND scale! LOL. And I thought UFO proponents were suckers for these types of things!

…and need I remind you about what Hendry stated about such attacks (if ad hominem attacks is the BEST a debunker can bring against a case… then it is likely to be a GOOD case!)?

The facts have not been verified. Yes. Cash says she saw something. Yes she got sick. Yes, they went down the road. However, we have yet to verify many facts beyond this. We can't verify the helcopters were present. We can't verify that the symptoms were caused by the event. We can't even verify the "cover-up" of the road actually happened.
Red Herrings! Helicopters are really of no consequence – interesting, but of NO consequence – Re-paving of the road has NO supporting evidence. Can you make a plausible case for thinking that the injuries were received elsewhere or at another time?

As far as the "dangerous UFO" comment, how many other UFOs have caused these same conditions? Is it just this type of UFO that created this? If so, does the lack of such symptoms in any other close encounter mean those cases are invalid?
There are many other cases. One in the UK where a reporter died! There was the Canadian prospector… I’ll need to find the links, but yes, there are other cases.

If it isn't YOUR BEST CASE, I am not going to waste my time. You obviously will shift to another case if that can not demonstrate what you desire.
I give you my word that we will stick to that case as long as you can discuss the research report rationally.
 
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Wrong!

In science “mundane” is not “speculative”… it’s well established. If you wish to overturn the scientific “establishment” the burden of proof is on you to conclusively rule out all known causes.

[misidentification, delusion, or hoax]

You have failed to do that for any of the case presented here.

Your "methodology" is bunk… and always will be.

Huh! You don't say! After much debate I included that hypothesis in that position at the request of the UFO debunkers in this forum, I believe it was Darat who eventually forced the issue, and who argued LONG and HARD for its inclusion ...and now you want to remove it? Perhaps you better speak to you compatriots about what they think.

I was never happy at the inclusion... but there you go... debunkers are a strange breed, they argue post after post to get me to include that hypothesis right where it is and in the form it is, then when I do ...wham!... I get criticised for it! For some strange reason the term "Hypocrisy" springs into my mind... :)
 
Perhaps you have simply not looked at the comparison between what Zamora saw and a helicopter and lunar surveyor:
Well, here’s how Zamora described what he saw on the ground…

[not to be confused with how he described what he saw landing earlier or leaving later]

“Suddenly noted a shiny type object to south about 150 to 200 yards. It was off the road. At first glance, stopped. It looked, at first, like a car turned upside down. Thought some kids might have turned over. Saw two people in white coveralls very close to the object. One of these persons seemed to turn and look straight at my car and seemed startled--seemed to jump quickly somewhat.”

[note also the complete absence of the word "beings" or "small" or anything remotely "non-human"]

And…

“At this time I started moving my car towards them quickly, with idea to help. Had stopped about only a couple seconds. Object was like aluminum--it was whitish against the mesa background, but not chrome. Seemed like O in shape and I at first glance took it to be overturned white car. Car appeared to be up on radiator or on trunk, this first glance.

Now compare that description very carefully to this comparison of Zamora's incredibly detailed drawing and a Bell 47G I posted earlier...



Can you find the “O” shapes in each of these pictures?

Also, what part of what he drew looks like an “overturned car” to you?
 
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I stated:
“The identity of all eye witnesses has been concealed at their request to safeguard their reputation and job security” (p. 5 - http://www.narcap.org/reports/010/TR10_Case_18a.pdf) Thus your inclusion of the term “anonymous in your description of the witnesses represents an unwarranted and disingenuous attempt to sully the credibility of the witnesses.
And yet…
”Airline employee interviews conducted by Hilkevitch (2007) said that they were interviewed by United management and "instructed to write reports and draw pictures of what they observed." They were also allegedly told not to talk about what they saw to anyone. The senior editor could not locate any airline employee who would confirm this allegation.” (p. 19)

And…

“During a TV interview on CNN one of the [anonymous] witnesses ["Witness B"] said that his airline's management had not pressured him in any way to stay quiet and had only received occasional ribbing from some coworkers.” (p. 20)

I call BS.

What have these two quotes got to do with witness anonymity?

In the first the report editors are stating that they could NOT confirm the allegations of being told not to talk to anyone…

In the second Witness B confirms this assessment.

When people reply to my posts I expect their replies to at least be relevant to my arguments or claims. I claimed your inclusion of the term “anonymous” in your description of the witnesses was “unwarranted” and “disingenuous”. THAT was my claim.

I stated:
”You also stated that A & D “started it all” and this is a complete fabrication!”
They’re the ones who reported it to NUFORC. You’re calling me liar because of your misunderstanding?
But it IS a “complete fabrication”. Witness A was the first KNOWN witness to the event (in terms of chronology). Witness D’s experiences occurred some time after (B & C’s experiences). It also seems actually that witness D reported the incident to NUFORC followed by witness B. (p.112), so even your information is incorrect, let alone the insinuations you make from it!

Moreover, technically, the UFO "started it all", by appearing over the concourse of a busty airport in the first place!

She also endorsed the location which was nowhere near correct. Care to rethink that premature conclusion?
So the UFO and the location looked like what she saw. Just because it was a “hoaxed” photo, does NOT make that any less true! Please think about what you say BEFORE you post – specifically in reference to MY statements.

Re Zamora:
I stated:
”The small stature of the “beings” Zamora saw was not a “possibility”! He saw small beings! Full stop! No question, no argument! He then tried to explain what he saw (as ANY of us would) in mundane terms, thus “…possibly they were small adults or large kids.”
1. You appear to be seriously delusional.
I am afraid your abuse reflects badly on JREF and James Randi as its founder, not on me.

2. Regardless of what you want to believe he said, the shoeprints found were that of normal sized adults.
So? Oh…you must have small feet for your size…

Do you believe aliens wear boots?
So you believe they do not? Are you serious? How can you pretend to know what “aliens” do or do not wear?

But now it seems you have completely lost any pretence at rationality…

“Fairies wear boots and you gotta believe me
Yeah I saw it, I saw it, I tell you no lies
Yeah Fairies wear boots and you gotta believe me
I saw it, I saw it with my own two eyes”

~ Black Sabbath
If you believe the lines of a Black Sabbath song to be representative of some form of reality, then you are in worse shape that I had assumed.

I stated:
”… and “He had a “thing” about kids playing pranks”? You base this solely on his being in pursuit of a speeding car prior to his encounter (by presumably assuming “kids” were driving it)? Obviously it is not Zamora who had a “thing” about kids playing pranks – the invention is entirely your own.
I’m not going to do the research for you that you should have done before you opened your big mouth again… I’ll just let that one stand as a testament to your ignorance and flawed thought processes.

You are actually serious here? In my opinion, it would seem the only type of person who would make such an accusation as he had a “thing” about kids playing pranks would be one who has that thought in their mind already. That means you, since you made the accusation. The accusation against Zamora is baseless – and what purpose on earth could it serve for you make the accusation with no context attached anyway… you merely “come out” with it… what WAS your purpose in making the “accusation”?

I notice the tone of your posts, in my opinion, becoming more belligerent and abusive and perhaps you might stop to think about that and in future address the issues rather than attacking the man.
 
After much debate I included that hypothesis [“mundane”] in that position at the request of the UFO debunkers in this forum, I believe it was Darat who eventually forced the issue, and who argued LONG and HARD for its inclusion... and now you want to remove it?
No… you misunderstood, or perhaps I was not clear enough in my objection to your inclusion of “mundane” in your class of “speculative hypotheses”. You’re trying to give equal weight to known causes of UFO reports (misidentifications, delusions, and hoaxes) to unknown causes of UFO reports (“aliens”, whatever)… specifically, those we have no prior evidence for or knowledge of.

The disingenuous and entirely unscientific approach you and ever other UFOlogist takes is if what you consider to be a “plausible mundane explanation” in your limited imagination hasn’t been offered, that somehow gives equal weight to your entirely speculative hypothesis.

Just because something is “unidentified” doesn’t mean all potential mundane causes have been ruled out and therefore it must be something previously “unknown” to science… the witnesses could still be mistaken, delusional, or lying. There is no objective way to determine otherwise in the absence of any objective (e.g. physical) evidence to the contrary.

Don’t get me wrong, that doesn’t that mean any given “mundane” hypothesis is not speculative… the best hypothesis is always the one that has the most supporting evidence. However, there exists absolutely zero evidence for aliens…

"We are to admit no more causes of natural things than such as are both true and sufficient to explain their appearances. Therefore, to the same natural effects we must, so far as possible, assign the same causes." ~ Isaac Newton
 
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Well, here’s how Zamora described what he saw on the ground…

[not to be confused with how he described what he saw landing earlier or leaving later]

“Suddenly noted a shiny type object to south about 150 to 200 yards. It was off the road. At first glance, stopped. It looked, at first, like a car turned upside down. Thought some kids might have turned over. Saw two people in white coveralls very close to the object. One of these persons seemed to turn and look straight at my car and seemed startled--seemed to jump quickly somewhat.”

[note also the complete absence of the word "beings" or "small" or anything remotely "non-human"]

And…

“At this time I started moving my car towards them quickly, with idea to help. Had stopped about only a couple seconds. Object was like aluminum--it was whitish against the mesa background, but not chrome. Seemed like O in shape and I at first glance took it to be overturned white car. Car appeared to be up on radiator or on trunk, this first glance.

Perhaps I better provide the correct context – seeing as you have missed it (plus the descriptions you missed out…).

”At first glance, stopped. It looked, at first, like a car turned upside down.

(…)

Object was like aluminum--it was whitish against the mesa background, but not chrome. Seemed like O in shape and I at first glance took it to be overturned white car. Car appeared to be up on radiator or on trunk, this first glance.

(…)

Object was oval, in shape. It was smooth—no windows or doors.

(…)

When I first saw the object (when I thought it might be a car)…”
(http://www.nicap.dabsol.co.uk/zamora2.htm)

Got the idea now?


Now compare that description very carefully to this comparison of Zamora's incredibly detailed drawing and a Bell 47G I posted earlier...

[qimg]http://www.internationalskeptics.com/forums/imagehosting/thum_358624b51ed6655a00.jpg[/qimg]

…and compare that with what Zamora later endorsed as an accurate representation of his UFO AND a WHOLE Bell 47G helicopter… (that YOU include only a partial photo of a helicopter is…well…I’ll leave the reader to make their own mind up about what it is…

This is what Zamora endorsed as an accurate representation of what he saw.
picture.php


This is a Bell 47G that the UFO debunkers suppose Zamora actually saw...
picture.php


Can you find the “O” shapes in each of these pictures?

Also, what part of what he drew looks like an “overturned car” to you?

“O” shapes? You tell me.

Nothing he drew “looks like an overturned car”, but THAT’s the whole point…he did NOT SEE an overturned car… He saw an egg-shaped object.

From Jack Graeme, UPI Albuquerque, New Mexico 1967:

In the gully about 20 feet below him, the “thing” sat silent. The two figures had disappeared. Zamora advanced closer.

“It was egg-shaped with one end, which I figure was the front, sort of tapered,” Zamora says. “It was white and smooth, with no windows or openings of any kind. It was sitting on legs about four feet tall and seemed to be about the size of a car.”​
(http://users.ev1.net/~seektress/lonnie.htm)
 
No… you misunderstood, or perhaps I was not clear enough in my objection to your inclusion of “mundane” in your class of “speculative hypotheses”. You’re trying to give equal weight to known causes of UFO reports (misidentifications, delusions, and hoaxes) to unknown causes of UFO reports (“aliens”, whatever)… specifically, those we have no prior evidence for or knowledge of.
I am giving NO weight at all to the speculative hypotheses – indeed…HOW can ANY a priori weight be given to specualtive hypotheses in science? But there is also one tiny detail, the “mundane” speculative hypothesis is at the head of the list… in number one position, what if I had included it at the END of the list (as it is legitimate to do…)?

The disingenuous and entirely unscientific approach you and ever other UFOlogist takes is if what you consider to be a “plausible mundane explanation” in your limited imagination hasn’t been offered, that somehow gives equal weight to your entirely speculative hypothesis.
No, I say we must first explore the mundane hypotheses. In this I DO give extra weight to that hypothesis in practice, although there is no scientific a priori reason why this should be so. Just being realistic. ONLY after ALL plausible explanations have been ruled out do we entertain other hypotheses – again this is legitimate in science.

Just because something is “unidentified” doesn’t mean all potential mundane causes have been ruled out and therefore it must be something previously “unknown” to science… the witnesses could still be mistaken, delusional, or lying. There is no objective way to determine otherwise in the absence of any objective (e.g. physical) evidence to the contrary.
Actually I only reach for alternative hypotheses when it can be shown that ANY conceivable mundane hypotheses are implausible… such as when an object “jumps” locations, or “splits apart” (or does right angle turns at high speed or simply disappears, etc)

Don’t get me wrong, that doesn’t that mean any given “mundane” hypothesis is not speculative… the best hypothesis is always the one that has the most supporting evidence. However, there exists absolutely zero evidence for aliens…
But if there exists ZERO evidence for any mundane hypotheses AND the object defies known physics (etc), then we ARE entitled to hypothesise further.

"We are to admit no more causes of natural things than such as are both true and sufficient to explain their appearances. Therefore, to the same natural effects we must, so far as possible, assign the same causes." ~ Isaac Newton
Yes, to the SAME natural effects! But (many) UFOs positively defy nature!
 
<stuff>

But if there exists ZERO evidence for any mundane hypotheses AND the object defies known physics (etc), then we ARE entitled to hypothesise further.

<other more of the same stuff>


There's no question about your right to hypothesise, Rramjet.

And there's no question about our right to chortle at your floundering attempts to produce evidence where there is none.

See how that works?
 
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