Oh really? How do you determine that dragons do not exist? How do you determine that ET's are visiting the earth? Why is the ETH plausible and the DH (Dragon hypothesis) is not? Why not hypothesize that UFOs are angels, spirits, God, or some other beings? Why does it have to indicate "aliens"?
We determine dragons do not exist primarily because we have no consistent, verifiable body of sighting reports to suggest that they do (as we do for UFOs). I don’t determine ET’s are visiting the earth but the hypothesis is valid. However I have never stated that ETH is true. Why not hypothesise such things..? People obviously do. We must assess their veracity on the evidence.
When we discover after careful research that no plausible mundane explanation exists (or is likely to exist) for a UFO report then by definition the object is “alien”.
The quotation marks in “alien” are used to indicate the specific definitional meaning that does not necessarily include the ETH.
Well, she did not get her facts correct for her paper so I am sure it will be an issue with the rest of her work. If you want an evaluation of the evidence, the worst person to evaluate it is somebody close to the problem. Their personal bias will skew the results and they will see what they want to see. Sturrock did this in his public presentation of the Sturrock panels conclusions. He stated they overturned the Condon study but they really did not. They basically restated what Condon wrote and disagreed with his opinion that nothing could be learned from studying UFOs (although Condon also stated it was still OK to study UFOs if properly done).
These are merely statement of
belief from you. You provide no evidence to support your claims. Indeed the last sentence contains a claim that is demonstrably false. That is:
”Our general conclusion is that nothing has come from the study of UFOs in the past 21 years that has added to scientific knowledge. Careful consideration of the record as it is available to us leads us to conclude that further extensive study of UFOs probably cannot be justified in the expectation that science will be advanced thereby.
(…)
Therefore we strongly recommend that teachers refrain from giving students credit for school work based on their reading of the presently available UFO books and magazine articles. Teachers who find their students strongly motivated in this direction should attempt to channel their interests in the direction of serious study of astronomy and meteorology, and in the direction of critical analysis of arguments for fantastic propositions that are being supported by appeals to fallacious reasoning or false data.”
(
http://ncas.org/condon/text/sec-i.htm)
”In 1997, in Tarrytown New York, Dr. Peter Sturrock held a workshop on UFOs. Now known in ufology as the Pocantico Workshop, 161 funded by Laurance S. Rockefeller, the workshop began on September 30, and ended on November 3, 1997. A panel of nine scientists, lead by Dr. Sturrock, concluded the following:
• The UFO problem is not a simple one and it is unlikely that there is a simple answer;
• Whenever there are unexplained observations, there is the possibility that scientists will learn something new by studying those observations;
• Studies should concentrate on cases which include as much independent physical evidence as possible and strong witness testimony;
• Some form of regular contact between the UFO community and the physical science community could be productive;
• It is desirable that there be institutional support for research in this area;
• The GEPAN/SERPA project of CNES provided a valuable model;
• There may be a possible health risk associated with UFO events.
Acknowledging that UFO research is not a laboratory science, Sturrock also recommended that there should be the following distinct activities in UFO research:
• Field investigations leading to case documentation and the measurement or retrieval of physical evidence;
• Laboratory analysis of physical evidence;
• The systematic compilation of evidence into catalogues;
• The analysis of compilations of data (descriptive and physical) to look for patterns and so extract significant facts;
• The development of theories and the evaluation of these theories on the basis of the facts.”
(
http://www.narcap.org/commentary/ufocritique.pdf)
Again, there is supporting evidence for the Holocaust. There is no supporting evidence for these cases other than what the witnesses state happened.
You again wilfully ignore the whole point of my statements in this regard. You contended that the age of the evidence should be taken as reducing its value. I merely stated that you should put that argument to a holocaust survivor (or victim’s family) and see how far it gets you.
Really? Prove me wrong. Show me a UFOlogist who lists the ten best UFO cases that are not predominantly populated with cases dating before 1980? In Paul Kimball's film, he selected only two that were 1980 or later. One was Rendelsham, which one of the lead investigators, Jenny Randles, now calls Rendelshame (others have referred to it as RendleSHAM). The other was a case up in the Yukon in 1996. The rest all predated 1980. I have seen others come up with similar lists but very few date after 1980.
Then you simply have not been keeping up to date with your research. Perhaps it is YOU who is stuck in a 1950s mindset? I’ll give you a concrete example: O’Hare – Chicago International Airport UFO Sighting (7th Nov. 2006) (
http://www.narcap.org/reports/010/TR10_Case_18a.pdf)
Subject: (
http://ufologie.net/htm/marshallcounty79.htm)
It's evidence that the car was damaged. What it absolutely is not, is evidence of what damaged the car.
But the question of
what damaged the car is the one that needs to be addressed. If there are no plausible mundane explanations, what explanation do you propose? What conclusions do you then draw? What hypotheticals might then suggest themselves?
Subject: (
http://www.nicap.org/cashlan.htm)
So, where are the photos and hospital records? And even if you can supply those, again, it's evidence of that she suffered extreme UV exposure, but it isn't evidence of the source of the UV.
It is again a question of
what caused the
radiation burns. UV exposure does
not make your hair fall out.
Subject: (
http://www.ufologie.net/htm/zamora.htm)
Let's see if you've been paying attention. What is this physical evidence of?
It is physical evidence of a UFO that landed and that reportedly contained small humanoid beings.
I won't bother to reply to the rest of your ranting, since Stray Cat summed it up about as well as possible. However, I think it's probably worth responding to this point since it really reinforces just how detached from reality you are.
You did not ask for anything. I was not talking to you in the first place. Snidely appeared to be having trouble understanding the meaning of the phrase "extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence". Since his misunderstanding appeared to lie at the heart of disagreements in that particular part of the discussion, I thought I'd have a shot at explaining it. None of this had anything whatsoever to do with you, you simply jumped in afterwards to try (and fail miserably at) criticising my post.
Had you actually asked me for a definition, and had I bothered responding, I would simply have told you that it's a nonsensical question. You might as well ask for a definition of the phrase "an apple a day keeps the doctor away". You can explain what is meant by it, but it's not something that can be given an absolute definition.
There is a basic difficulty of understanding Sagan’s nonsensical claim "Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence" in that is no-one can define “extraordinary evidence”. This means that we do NOT know how to fulfil the requirements of the claim because no-one CAN provide “extraordinary evidence” because it does NOT exist.
I don’t ask for a definition of the whole phrase. I merely ask for a definition of terms and THAT is a rational, logical and prudent thing to do. We MUST understand what is required before we can fulfil the requirements of the claim.
For example one can BOTH explain and define the terms in "an apple a day keeps the doctor away". That is, eating healthy food makes it less likely you will need a visit from a doctor. “apple”: a type of firm edible fruit that contains high nutritional value and is considered to be healthy to eat”. “day” a period of time defined by a single revolution of the earth. “doctor”: a professionally trained person who specialises in the medical treatment of human beings…. And so on… the point is that there is NO term in the claim that cannot be satisfactorily defined and thus it is easy for us to fulfil the requirements of the claim if we so choose. The same CANNOT be said about Sagan’s claim.
UNTIL anyone can define “extraordinary evidence”, Sagan’s claim is impossible to fulfil, and thus a nonsense claim.
The analogy is between evidence and effort.
You stated:
”Look at it this way: to jump (physically) a miniscule amount requires a minimal effort; to jump a moderate amount requires a moderate amount of effort; to jump an extraordinary amount requires an extraordinary amount of effort.”
You require
evidence to jump? Nonsense. Pure nonsense. This does absolutely nothing to define “extraordinary evidence”!
I've defined it as "enough evidence to overthrow an extremely well-established conclusion."
But how is “enough evidence” extraordinary? Of course having “enough” evidence is NOT extraordinary. It is simply having sufficient evidence to support or refute your claims. NOTHING extraordinary about that. You have merely “qualified” the term evidence - in that you want a sufficient amount of it. But that is in itself an ordinary, everyday requirement. That is, the evidence required is ordinary and the amount is ordinary… how do you get “extraordinary” from that?
There are no records in the public domain. Those that have them will not present them and will not document what the health of the individuals were prior to the alleged encounter.
Missing in the whole story are that the effects are not the kind of effects one would expect from a radiation source. To become sick to the point of hair falling out and intenstinal problems would have required a significant dose of radiation (from what I recall from my nuclear training we are talking about 50 rem). This would also have indicated a blood change. One would think the medical records would reveal such a blood change and UFOlogists would have presented it. Instead, there are no medical records presented to show that there was radiation exposure. I think what they may have been exposed to is something chemical and not radiological.
Medical records are private. Would YOU want your medical records released to the general public? Chemical? Sure, maybe, but then
how and WHAT chemical? And how do you
explain chemical burns from people driving down the road (as you state in a reasonably populated area near a major interstate road) who stop to witness a UFO?
Additionally, there are the claims of the witnesses that dozens of helicopters were seen with the object. Unfortunately, nobody seems to have seen the helicopters or the UFO even though it took place in a reasonably populated area, at a reasonable time of night, and near major interstate roads. Sure there are reports of people remembering helicopter noises but nothing like what the witnesses described.
“Betty, Vickie and Colby were not the only witnesses to the strange happenings at Huffman. An off duty Dayton policeman and his wife were driving home from Cleveland through the Huffman area the same night and also observed a large number of CH-47s. A man living in Crosby, directly under the flight path, reported seeing a large number of heavy military helicopters flying overhead. Oilfield laborer Jerry McDonald was in his back garden in Dayton when he saw a huge UFO flying directly over head.”
(
http://www.nicap.org/cashlan.htm)
Re: the trooper car evidence - I see nothing in the damage that indicates an extraterrestrial intelligence. I could replicate the same damage with a small hammer and my hands. This is based on what the witness stated and we are not sure what his condition was at the time. Is it possible he fell asleep at the wheel and damage his car? He then added a few finishing touches (i.e. the clock and antenna) to make it appear he had been attacked by a UFO? We don't know but it seems plausible (more plausible than an alien spaceship that chose to selectively damage the car and change the time on the clock).
Yeah, much better to suppose that the well respected Deputy Sherriff suddenly and inexplicably goes mad and stages a UFO attack - on an open road where anyone could have driven along and seen him at any moment - than it is to suppose that he is telling the truth.
” Investigations occurred immediately, both by the sheriff's department and by investigators from the Center for UFO Studies. The police determined that Johnson's car travelled about 950 feet after the first damage occurred. No cause could be found for the event, including collision with another vehicle or a low-flying plane, a hoax on the part of Johnson, or anything else.”
(…)
“When Everett Doolittle arrived on the scene, Val Johnson's police car was front-end-first in the left-hand ditch, with the other end sticking out into the left-hand lane of the road. The "impact point" was determined by the location of the broken glass of the headlight on the road, 953 feet from where the car was found. From that point, "yaw marks" (described as faint skid marks caused by putting a car out of gear without applying the brakes) travelled in a straight line for 854 feet down the road. These became dark skid marks from there to where the car stopped moving, going in a straight line for most of the remaining length, turning abruptly at the end toward the ditch.”
(
http://ufologie.net/htm/marshallcounty79.htm)
Re: Cash-Landrum - as I stated, without any medical records for the witnesses BEFORE and after the event (to note changes in the blood, health, etc.), this case offers very little. We have claims of sickness and hair falling out but nothing to back it up. Once again, UFOlogy failed to obtain the goods on this one. It is much better to keep it a mystery instead of trying to solve a prominent case.
Yet there was enough medical evidence to support a lawsuit!
” In 1981 I represented three People in a lawsuit against the United States Government for injuries that resulted from their contact with an unusual aerial object. Betty Cash, Vicky Landrum and Colby Landrum are the only three People to ever sue our government for injuries from a UFO.”
Peter Gersten, Attorney (
http://www.ufocasebook.com/Pineywoods.html)
Re: Socorro - The McDonald story about the Socorro case is nothing but a rumor and nothing to substantiate it. I put it in the same category as the rumors about a hoax. Questionable claim with no evidence to back it up.
The Zamora case is interesting and I have always been curious about it. I think Quintanilla said it best. He felt the answer still lay dormant in Lonnie Zamora's head. Now that Zamora is dead, I guess we will never know.
Yeah, that’s the way to resolve the case. Imply insanity. You forget the number of other officers involved who not only heard Zamora’s “running commentary” of the incident over the police radio, but also arrived on the scene immediately after to witness the physical evidence left behind. Again you imply that a well respected police officer suddenly went mad and staged a UFO encounter – reporting on the details as he did so! Yeah, sure… that’s a
plausible explanation! LOL.