Amanda Knox guilty - all because of a cartwheel

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NT: Skepticism doesn't mean always saying "No." Skepticism is looking at the physical evidence and applying Occam's Razor. In this case, the physical evidence heavily leans towards Knox being involved.

Seeing that a witness placed all 4 together, I would even go further and say that I can easily see that perhaps MK and Guede were on a double date with AK and RS a day or two before the murder. Guede was attracted to MK, MK not to Guede (this is why she begged off when AK tried to get her to hang out with them the night of the murder). AK became incensed by MK's refusal and decided to "teach her a lesson." MK comes home from her friend's. AK/RS restrain MK and hold a knife to her throat while RG has his way with her. RG uses the restroom at some point, leaving AK and RS alone with MK. He hears the screams and bolts without flushing. Meanwhile, AK and RS had the knife to MK's throat - maybe she began struggling harder with RG gone, whatever it was, this is the point where it went terribly wrong. AK might not have intended to slit MK's throat - but once it had happened, that was all she wrote. At that point, AK and RS panicked and attempted to cover up their tracks - hence multiple stab wounds from an as-of-yet unfound knife, the extreme cleanup, etc.

Do I think it was planned? No. But given the testimonies, timeline, and evidence I find this to be an incredibly plausible theory on what happened in the apartment that night.
 
Seeing that a witness placed all 4 together, I would even go further and say that I can easily see that perhaps MK and Guede were on a double date with AK and RS a day or two before the murder. Guede was attracted to MK, MK not to Guede (this is why she begged off when AK tried to get her to hang out with them the night of the murder). AK became incensed by MK's refusal and decided to "teach her a lesson." MK comes home from her friend's. AK/RS restrain MK and hold a knife to her throat while RG has his way with her. RG uses the restroom at some point, leaving AK and RS alone with MK. He hears the screams and bolts without flushing. Meanwhile, AK and RS had the knife to MK's throat - maybe she began struggling harder with RG gone, whatever it was, this is the point where it went terribly wrong. AK might not have intended to slit MK's throat - but once it had happened, that was all she wrote. At that point, AK and RS panicked and attempted to cover up their tracks - hence multiple stab wounds from an as-of-yet unfound knife, the extreme cleanup, etc.

Do I think it was planned? No. But given the testimonies, timeline, and evidence I find this to be an incredibly plausible theory on what happened in the apartment that night.

I honestly think it is a mistake to speculate in this way: we can make up all sorts of scenarios, but unless they fit all the facts they are really not helpful. For example, Knox did not try to get the victim to hang with them the night of the murder: she tried to get the victim to hang with her the night before the murder ( Halloween). I do not know where the rest of them were that night.

Newton Trino says the three did not know each other: we know that Knox did know both Guede and Sollecito. We know that she was apt to become intimate with young men on very short acquaintance, and I think Newton may not be giving this sufficient weight. We know that all three used cannabis and it is reported that Guede drank: I believe I have read that Knox also drank too much, on occasion. Not so sure about that. But we do not know if they had been drinking that night (or at least I do not) nor if they might have taken some harder drug than cannabis: easy to imagine but we have no evidence for it.

I do not agree with Stilicho about who might have been manipulating whom. I think it is pretty much impossible to judge character from a media circus especially when there is so much investment in portraying each of the players in particular ways.

Guede does not have the same forces behind him, but even with him I have read that he was a drug dealer: yet he has no convictions. I have read that he was a "drifter"; but he lived in Perugia from the age of 5 and did not leave it for extended periods. I have read that he was caught sleeping in a nursery in Milan and that despite having stolen goods and a knife he was not arrested; but I have also read that he was arrested and charged on that occasion. And we know that the police had his fingerprints, whether from that incident or another I cannot say.

I cannot honestly say I have a picture of this young man. And it seems to me that that is because the press has not chosen/been encouraged to give me one

And perhaps that is the main point of the thread when it comes down to it. At the outset there were some who had followed this case quite closely. Sceptics all. They had very strong views about the the guilt or innocence of Knox (and maybe Guerde and Sollecito, I don't know). Others became interested because they felt they were being played by the press, or as Stilicho has said, because they had fully expected an acquittal on the basis of the reports and were shocked when that did not happen

For me this is quite a telling thing and it bothers me in many other contexts though this one is a great illustration of it. It shows that for many things we rely very heavily on the press: to quite a shocking extent in fact, given that sources to help us to check what we are told are just a click away. We are privileged in our access to sources of information, compared to previous generations. This is often mentioned. But what good is it if we do not use it?

At the start of the thread it was claimed that there are ways of reading the media to sift truth from inaccuracy. I think it is quite chilling that intelligent sceptical people can believe that in the face of the evidence, not least in this thread.

I think it is evident that once someone else presented an alternative view some have become less confident in their "knowledge". It is to Newton Trino's credit that he did consider what has been presented from the other side and he did shift his view somewhat. Yet it is also my impression that he resists that and that he is more easily swayed by things which support his original position than things which challenge it (I am open to correction on that NT but it honestly is how I perceive the course of this thread: and I do not think you are alone). I started with no view at all and became interested because it seemed to me that whatever had happened I could not accept "anti-americanism" as a reason for anything. But having read what I have (and pace Matthew Best and others I came to this with less "knowledge" than anyone else because I have no television and I seldom read the papers etc so there is nothing at all to have prevented others from looking into it) I came to a conclusion that on the evidence I would probably have convicted had I been on the jury.

From my participation I seem to have been pushed into the position of defending all aspects of the evidence and it is not much to my credit that I have allowed this to happen a little bit. It is much easier to reduce complexity to two opposing sides, is it not? I colluded a little and that is not very helpful. So I regret that.

But the power of the media has been shown here: and it is a scary thing. I cannot think we can change that but I think if we are honest we need to be more aware of it and more sceptical yet.

Sorry if that seems to be changing the subject: I sort of feel it is getting back to it in a way
 
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<snip>

And perhaps that is the main point of the thread when it comes down to it. At the outset there were some who had followed this case quite closely. Sceptics all. They had very strong views about the the guilt or innocence of Knox (and maybe Guerde and Sollecito, I don't know). Others became interested because they felt they were being played by the press, or as Stilicho has said, because they had fully expected an acquittal on the basis of the reports and were shocked when that did not happen

For me this is quite a telling thing and it bothers me in many other contexts though this one is a great illustration of it. It shows that for many things we rely very heavily on the press: to quite a shocking extent in fact, given that sources to help us to check what we are told are just a click away. We are privileged in our access to sources of information, compared to previous generations. This is often mentioned. But what good is it if we do not use it?

At the start of the thread it was claimed that there are ways of reading the media to sift truth from inaccuracy. I think it is quite chilling that intelligent sceptical people can believe that in the face of the evidence, not least in this thread.
<snip>


Words to live by.

Thank you, Fiona. For this and all the work and wisdom you've contributed to this thread.
 
I'm also curious what people think of in general about talking to the police. There are quite a few good reasons to never talk to the police without a lawyer present (and sparsely even then). Is this something most people would agree or disagree on? And why?

This is an interesting speculation and it's covered at PMF too.

Normally, suspects or witnesses (which, you recall, AK was until RS ruined her alibi) don't "lawyer up" when summoned to the police station. AK didn't either. But after she did, she still voluntarily asked for pen and paper to write another (admissible) version that placed her at the scene of the crime.

People talk to the police all the time without lawyers present. Among AK's many many mistakes after committing the murder was to continue talking to the police without a lawyer after she was told she could have one.
 
You're not really helping yourself much here.

After the body was discovered the scene was isolated. If Sollecito had DNA on the doorknob it was from before that. If the bra clasp was contaminated from undiscovered DNA on the doorknob in this late return visit why was nothing else contaminated from that same door knob while "most of the collection of evidence had taken place weeks before."

There seems to be an increasing need for complexity and extremes of probability in the elements of the defense. Occam's Razor is a helpful tool with this.

Why should we assume that the only possible place to pick up DNA from Sollecito was the doorknob?
 
I honestly think it is a mistake to speculate in this way: we can make up all sorts of scenarios, but unless they fit all the facts they are really not helpful.

....

I do not agree with Stilicho about who might have been manipulating whom. I think it is pretty much impossible to judge character from a media circus especially when there is so much investment in portraying each of the players in particular ways.

See? We can all agree on the facts and the proceedings but still disagree about who was in control of the situation. As you mentioned, though, the catalyst for the accused certainly was Ms Knox because she knew both of them.

AK's character may be portrayed as this or that by the media but we also have her own words and even Meredith's opinion of her provided by her group of British friends in Perugia.

We can try to keep the speculation to a minimum, though. Agreed?
 
Why should we assume that the only possible place to pick up DNA from Sollecito was the doorknob?

This was covered in the trial and by Sollecito's defence team. His DNA wasn't found anywhere else in the room excepting the bra clasp. If the forensic team didn't find it anywhere else then where do you suggest the contamination came from? I have to apologise in advance if you've answered this before but it was the same issue faced by the defence team at the trial.

They couldn't come up with anything either.
 
This was covered in the trial and by Sollecito's defence team. His DNA wasn't found anywhere else in the room excepting the bra clasp. If the forensic team didn't find it anywhere else then where do you suggest the contamination came from? I have to apologise in advance if you've answered this before but it was the same issue faced by the defence team at the trial.

They couldn't come up with anything either.

Where did the police technicians put on the garb they wore while collecting evidence?

Most people would suit up right outside the work area. In this case, the living room of the apartment would be convenient. Sollecito claimed to have never been in the bedroom where the victim was found. But from what I heard in this thread, he had visited the apartment. He left his DNA on a cigarette butt and perhaps other surfaces. Where it could be picked up by the technicians as they got ready to enter the room.

This wouldn't be a big risk if they had only handled the clasp with sterile tweezers. But since they handled the evidence with their gloves, anything they touched after putting on the gloves, including their equipment and suits, could be a source of contamination.
 
Where did the police technicians put on the garb they wore while collecting evidence?

Most people would suit up right outside the work area. In this case, the living room of the apartment would be convenient. Sollecito claimed to have never been in the bedroom where the victim was found. But from what I heard in this thread, he had visited the apartment. He left his DNA on a cigarette butt and perhaps other surfaces. Where it could be picked up by the technicians as they got ready to enter the room.

This wouldn't be a big risk if they had only handled the clasp with sterile tweezers. But since they handled the evidence with their gloves, anything they touched after putting on the gloves, including their equipment and suits, could be a source of contamination.

And yet nothing else tested was cross contaminated with his DNA?
 
This goes for MB, too. You'd throw out almost everything that a normal run-of-the-mill murder investigation would include. There are thousands of cases like this every week all over the world and you'd each throw out all the evidence every single time.

Wow. That's an interesting position you've assigned to me - where did you get it from? :eek:
 
Fiona said:
Guede does not have the same forces behind him, but even with him I have read that he was a drug dealer: yet he has no convictions. I have read that he was a "drifter"; but he lived in Perugia from the age of 5 and did not leave it for extended periods. I have read that he was caught sleeping in a nursery in Milan and that despite having stolen goods and a knife he was not arrested; but I have also read that he was arrested and charged on that occasion. And we know that the police had his fingerprints, whether from that incident or another I cannot say.

Hello. I'm new here and this will be my first post :)

The state had Rudy Guede's fingerprints on file from his Identity card application. All immigrants to Italy have to put their fingerprints on file once they reach 18. It was the print off of the pillow that was run through the database and came up as a match with that record. Rudy's DNA was also matched while he was still in Germany. After matching his fingerprints they pulled his address and raided his apartment and got his DNA sample from his tooth brush. That was what they were able to use as a reference for DNA results coming in from the forensics lab in Rome.
 
Hello. I'm new here and this will be my first post :)

The state had Rudy Guede's fingerprints on file from his Identity card application. All immigrants to Italy have to put their fingerprints on file once they reach 18. It was the print off of the pillow that was run through the database and came up as a match with that record. Rudy's DNA was also matched while he was still in Germany. After matching his fingerprints they pulled his address and raided his apartment and got his DNA sample from his tooth brush. That was what they were able to use as a reference for DNA results coming in from the forensics lab in Rome.
Welcome Fulcanelli, and a good first post. Hang around. There are a lot of parts of the forum not as contentious as this one. ;)
 
Welcome Fulcanelli, and a good first post. Hang around. There are a lot of parts of the forum not as contentious as this one. ;)

Thank you Lionking, I'll be sure to look around :)

This thread has generated a lot of posts in a very short time...certainly a sign of a contentious subject.
 
So I've been thinking about this and I'm not sure I can be objective in this case. I don't feel biased but when I look at the evidence even though my logical side thinks there are too many coincidences for some reason my brain always comes back innocent. Call it a gut feeling that I can't shake. For those reasons I'm just going to go back to plain undecided and watch how the rest of this thread and the appeal play out. I may still ask some questions and give some comments.

People talk to the police all the time without lawyers present. Among AK's many many mistakes after committing the murder was to continue talking to the police without a lawyer after she was told she could have one.

This is actually very common with people that are guilty. They think they can cover it up and if they refuse to answer questions that it would be suspicious. Often they end up giving themselves away.

AK's character may be portrayed as this or that by the media but we also have her own words and even Meredith's opinion of her provided by her group of British friends in Perugia.

I'm curious if you have any quotes on this. My view of Amanda is of a ditz, not someone who is calculating enough to manage these people. Do you have some good machiavellian quotes from Amanda or some other smoking gun of evil? ;)
 
Newton Trino says the three did not know each other: we know that Knox did know both Guede and Sollecito.

Just to be clear my understanding of the situation is that Amanda and Sollecito were "dating" and that they casually knew Guede as an acquaintance.

I fully agree that they could have worked together on this crime. I think the place where I have an issue is the plausible scenario leading up to this event and at least some evidence for how it goes together. There is definitely some evidence of this type but it doesn't feel like anyone has really put all of the pieces together.

BTW my understanding is that most murders are open and shut cases with plenty of direct physical evidence. At least most of the ones around here seem to be solved fairly quickly and with a high degree of certainty. Mostly this is because they follow the familiar patterns of domestic violence, robbery etc. Of course there are the oddball cases as well like this one but they aren't all that common in the scheme of thing. This case has something very odd about it which is possibly what's breaking my brain.

As far as my questions about talking to the police I personally wouldn't do it unless a lawyer advised me too. This doesn't mean I refuse to talk to a police officer in any situation but I certainly won't give anything other than simple Yes, Sir type answers without a lawyer involved. If I was being interviewed about a murder as a witness I would insist that all of my interactions were videotaped. This isn't because I don't trust the police, it's because I don't trust people to be infallible.
 
NewtonTrino said:
I'm curious if you have any quotes on this. My view of Amanda is of a ditz, not someone who is calculating enough to manage these people. Do you have some good machiavellian quotes from Amanda or some other smoking gun of evil?

Hi NewtonTrino. Maybe that's where you're going wrong...you're hunting for a smoking gun as a requirement. A problem in a great many cases is that there no smoking gun, especially highly complex cases. However, many of us have come to expect one, often due to an endless diet of CSI shows and the like that never fail to supply us with said smoking gun just a few minutes before the end credits roll after 45 minutes. Reality is far more complex, drawn out and nebulous with many cases relying on circumstantial evidence for resolution. A good example is the Scott Peterson case (which in fact has even less evidence then this case and he was convicted and sentenced to death). There are many others.
 
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Hi NewtonTrino. Maybe that's where you're going wrong...you're hunting for a smoking gun as a requirement. A problem in a great many cases is that there no smoking gun, especially highly complex cases. However, many of us have come to expect one, often due to an endless diet of CSI shows and the like that never fail to supply us with said smoking gun just a few minutes before the end credits roll after 45 minutes. Reality is far more complex, drawn out and nebulous with many cases relying on circumstantial evidence for resolution. A good example is the Scott Peterson case (which in fact has even less evidence then this case and he was convicted and sentenced to death). There are many others.

Yeah I think I just have a strong aversion to sending people to prison without ironclad evidence. Beyond a reasonable doubt to me seems to be more like proven like a math proof or something. Honesty if I could reword the world I would probably make it harder to convict people of crimes (and then get deposed by the people as they were plundered) ;)
 
Yeah I think I just have a strong aversion to sending people to prison without ironclad evidence. Beyond a reasonable doubt to me seems to be more like proven like a math proof or something. Honesty if I could reword the world I would probably make it harder to convict people of crimes (and then get deposed by the people as they were plundered) ;)

I sympathise with the sentiment to some extent. But even you realise, as evidenced by your end quip, it isn't really practical. But don't worry, maybe we just need to take a different perspective on what constitutes as 'ironclad'. View the case as a swimming pool. Now, there's no big shark in the pool, what there are instead are lots of little piranha fish. No single one, two or three will really hurt you but the whole shoal, even if you remove some of them, will strip you to the bone far faster then any big shark and one doesn't get more ironclad then that. That is this case. Knox and Sollecito were not beheaded by the evidence, it was more a case of 'death by a thousand cuts'.
 
Mignini - "In particular we should remember her doing the splits and cartwheels in the police station just after her friend had been murdered."


I must be misunderstanding you.

I think you just said that Knox's various statements and their inconsistencies, along with any evidence that the statements themselves could be disproved by contradictory fact is irrelevant to establishing the case against her.

Interesting thought!

No wonder you're so convinced she's innocent. Apparently the only statements you find reliable are the ones made by her parents and their PR army.

I'm not convinced she's innocent. I'm not convinced by the statements of Amanda Knox's "parents and their PR army" and I'm not convinced by the statements of the police.

I'm starting to be convinced, though, that adversarial legal systems (and their blog imitations) distort perceptions and thought processes.
 
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