What are you people so hung up on the “implausible blimp hypothesis” for… I thought “we all agree” that Rogue River represented a UFO?
No?
Obviously not!
What is confusing you is that at the end of the war the NAVY squadrons were disestablished. What we then formed were 8 NEW NAVY RESERVE squadrons. 3 of these operated from 1949 to the 60s.
They are separate entities.
The active navy squadrons were disestablished in 1947 or so and their craft were transferred to the NEW reserve squadrons.
Okay… it should be easy to establish WHERE these “new” squadrons were LOCATED.
I really think the following information says it all.
The reduction in LTA following the war left ZP-12 at NAS Lakehurst and ZP-31 at NAS Santa Ana as the only active squadrons. A detachment of ZP-31 continued at NAS Moffett Field. On November 15, 1946, ZP-12 was redesignated ZP-2 and ZP-31 became ZP-1. In the summer of 1947, ZP-1 made a home port and fleet change from NAS Santa Ana in the Pacific Fleet to NAS Weeksville in the Atlantic. The change was due to the reduction of NAS Santa Ana to a maintenance status and the elimination of the ZP overhaul mission at NAS Moffett Field. (
http://www.history.navy.mil/download/lta-09.pdf)
More, we have from a book: “Oakland Aviation” By Ronald T. Reuther, William T. Larkins “Navy Reserve Squadron ZP-871 (Lighter than air) flew one after the war at Oakland from 1952 to 1958 (Note: this is a reference to the GoodYear type blimp). (This photograph shows…) It was used as a slow, low-flying billboard, with the words “JOIN THE U.S. NAVAL RESERVE, BE A NAVAL AVIATION CADET” on the side.
So there was ONLY ONE blimp at Oakland - and it was used solely as an advertising blimp over the city, between 1952 – 1958!
Add that to my original source: "Finally in August 1947, the Navy relocated ZP-1 to Weeksville, N. C. and all blimp operations on the West Coast ended."
(
http://www.militarymuseum.org/MCASTustin.html)
No. There were 8 Naval Air Reserve squadrons created in 1949 that continued LTA operations until the 60s. 3 of these were on the west coast.
Then show me EVIDENCE that “3 of these were located on the west coast”
(You will notice we seem to have slipped back into “I say it is so, therefore it IS so”… and THAT is of course a nonsense argument)
There is sufficient evidence that blimps were still working in the area - so still plausible.
So…SHOW me the evidence! Merely stating it is so does NOT make it so.
A note on your FOV diagram:
But what is the point of all that “trigonometry” anyway, if you have already accepted that the witnesses could have seen and described the object accurately if we take their consensus opinion that it was about 1 mile away.
Moreover, you seem to base your assessments on theoretical “drawings” but have you actually studied what Dr. Maccabee has stated in conjunction with this issue: That is:
COULD THE WITNESSES HAVE BEEN WRONG ABOUT THE SHAPE?
A key characteristic of the object which makes a mundane identification unlikely (or impossible) is the overall shape. Could the shape have been misperceived by all of the witnesses including the two who used binoculars? The answer to this question is based on the angular size of the image in the binoculars. Unfortunately the two witnesses did not provide an estimate of the apparent size in the binoculars, but all the witnesses together, in an indirect way, did provide an estimate of the minimum angular size. This indirect estimate is based on the fact that all the witnesses claimed that the object was circular. Since the object was not directly overhead (where a circular object would appear truly circular) this claim suggests that the bottom of the object, as seen from their location, appeared elliptical (as shown in the illustrations in SR14). The fact that they were able to discern an overall shape other than a “point in the sky” indicates that it had an angular size larger than the minimum angular resolution of the eye in daylight conditions. The minimum angular resolution (the “resolution element”) is on the order of a minute of arc or about 0.0003 radian (0.0174 radians per degree and 60 minutes of arc per degree). Experiments have shown that in order for a viewer to characterize an object as having a shape other than a “point”, the angular size of the object must be at least two resolution elements across its largest dimension and at least one across its smallest dimension. In this case the angular size was very probably larger than this (see below), but two resolution elements is sufficient to deduce that the witnesses who used binoculars were clearly able to see the overall shape. In the view of the 8X binoculars the angular size was 8 times larger so there were at least 16 resolution elements across the major dimension of the object and 8 elements across the minimum dimension, more than enough to determine that its shape appeared elliptical, as if it were a circular object seen from an oblique angle. One of the witnesses (Mr C.) stated that the surface looked wrinkled or dirty. If a person can see an object well enough to see surface details such as this, the person is certainly able to see the overall shape. Therefore it appears that the overall circular or “pancake” shape was a true characteristic of this strange object.
DO THE ESTIMATED SIZE AND DISTANCE CORRESPOND TO AN ANGULAR SIZE GREATER THAN THE ANGULAR RESOLUTION OF THE EYE?
Although neither the actual size nor the true distance of the object is known, the witnesses did provide estimates of both these quantities, even though it is considered “impossible” to be accurate in estimating these quantities when viewing an unknown object in the clear sky. The witnesses indicated the diameter was in the range of 25 – 35 ft and that the distance was 1 to 4 miles (three estimates were 1 mile, one was 4 miles; see the table above) with an altitude of about 1 mile. A thirty foot diameter object at a distance of 1 mile (measured along the sighting line) would have an angular size of about 0.0057 radians and at 4 miles about 0.0014 radians. Both of these angular sizes are much greater than the eye resolution mentioned above. This tells us two things: (1) if they were anywhere near correct in their size and distance estimates, then the angular size was large enough for the witnesses to clearly see the overall shape and (2) the actual size was probably close to their estimate.
(
http://www.brumac.8k.com/Rogue/RogueRiver2.htm)
Now… do you dispute these findings and if so How and Why?
Moving On:
I stated:
“I contend, as I have ALWAYS contended that UFO means exactly and precisely "Unidentified Flying Object”, nothing more nothing less.
My purpose in presenting the Rogue River case was to show that there exist GOOD cases that support that contention.
It's a truism, then. What the hell are you trying to achieve, since everybody already agrees ?
Actually, you seem not to be paying attention, it is obvious that not everyone does agree…
You suggested Goodyear blimps never go far from their bases. I gave you evidence of a Goodyear blimp that was based in Los Angeles flying over Salem, Oregon, a location 793 miles away from Los Angeles (
http://www.convertunits.com/distance...A/to/Salem,+OR).
Actually, you did no such thing. The contention all along has been that after the NAVY quit blimp operations, GOODYEAR continued in the NAVY’s former hangers at Santa Ana to house their advertising blimps. If I remember, the picture referenced (your link not working…) at Salem stated that it WAS taken from a GOODYEAR blimp.
Following the war, all blimp squadrons decommissioned except two which included Santa Ana's ZP 31 renamed ZP-1. Santa Ana also became an aircraft storage facility in November 1945. Finally in August 1947, the Navy relocated ZP-1 to Weeksville, N. C. and all blimp operations on the West Coast ended. On June 6, 1949, Santa Ana decommissioned becoming an OLF. For a time, the hangars were used by advertising blimps.
http://www.militarymuseum.org/MCASTustin.html
So you really need to get your facts straight.
Perhaps the disagreement about hypotheses being equal or not rests on this: (…)
All hypotheses ARE EQUAL. Either an hypothesis has evidence to support it, or it does not.
You merely place your own value judgement on the Paul v Queen hypotheses because from your own perspective, the Paul hypothesis would seem to have overwhelming amounts of evidence to support it, while the queen hypothesis only limited amounts.
You are simply confusing a post hoc assessment of “amount evidence” with the a priori statement of “hypotheses”.
More: I think you are so wedded to the fallacy “extraordinary hypotheses require extraordinary evidence,” that you simply cannot see the fallacious thinking behind such an irrational contention.
Moving on again:
I stated
“…the witness' sworn testimony, CONSISTENT between themselves, …”
You are lying and I will show a couple of examples here (Source:
http://www.brumac.8k.com/Rogue/RogueRiver2.htm):
Nice! But perhaps you simply lack the reading skills then because it is all there in black text on a white ground (ideal viewing conditions one would have thought):
From Mr B.’s sworn statement…
“To the naked eye this object appeared circular and standing on edge.”
From Mr C.’s sworn statement…
“It was then possible to see that the object was roughly circular in shape…”
From Mr D.’s sworn statement…
“The object,(was) circular in formation as a silver dollar…”
From Mrs D.’s sworn statement
“…my husband, Mr. D, called the attention of the group to a silver object, circular in shape…”
Now we don’t have a sworn statement from Mrs A, but we DO have her record of interview.
“…sighted an object described as being round in shape…”
If all THAT is not consistent I don’t know what is!
From Mrs A’s record of interview:
"It appeared to be travelling at the same rate of speed as a C-47"
Question: Is the C-47 a fast jet plane?
But we also have …” The interviewee stated that she was not familiar with aircraft; therefore, she could not estimate with any accuracy the speed or altitude at which the object was travelling.”
But notice also that SHAPE IS able to be determined – simply because that quality does not rely on an accurate estimate of speed or distance.
From Mr B’s record of interview:
"There were no protuberances other than a slight fin which seemed to start amidship and come back flush with the trailing edge"
Question: Why doesn't that fin count as a fin all of a sudden?
Yes, of course it IS a “fin” – but what TYPE of fin is it? Do you know any blimps - that plausibly could have been in the area - with such a “fin” configuration? Especially as the witnesses described the UFO as having “no other protuberances! For example from Mr. B.’s sworn statement (when describing what the UFO looked like through binoculars):
“Observed through the glasses, the object appeared to be made of silvery metal, either completely circular or somewhat oval. It was thin near the edges and thicker in the center. A triangular fin appeared to arise amidship and extended to the trailing end of the object viewed as it travelled. There were no openings visible and no sound was heard. There appeared to be no engines or motors, no landing gear, no other protruding parts other than the fin already described.”
So, I have to ask. Why are you lying about these things that are so easy to verify?
Yes, precisely, as you say, easy to verify…
Finally I must address:
(…)
In both cases, the witnesses saw something they could not identify. Therefore, they are both UFO reports. What makes the Rogue River case better than Zond IV?
Are you SERIOUSLY contending that the re-entry of some “space junk” is comparable to the Rogue River case? Seriously? I think if you DO contend this then you better provide the evidence to support your contention… merely stating that both were case where witnesses could not identify the object in NO WAY makes the two cases comparable… you just LOVE Red Herrings don’t you Astrophotographer…
(and before you get on your high horse - your statement "What makes the Rogue River case better than Zond IV?" implies that a comparison CAN be made between the cases. So tell me HOW they are comparable.)
Has no-one anything rational to say about The Iranian Jet case
http://www.brumac.8k.com/IranJetCase/
I have stated:
What I find compelling is:
First: that the case is well documented (ie: it was not merely "a figment of someone's imagination")
Second: it has Iranian Airforce jets chasing a UFO and THEN being chased by the UFO!
Third: The object itself is ENTIRELY "weird" (unlike ANYTHING that could be labelled a "blimp" and it exhibited aspects that could NOT be explained as anything like a possible secret US weapons system or program etc...
Fourth: There was radar confirmation of the object as well as multiple witnesses (not to mention the pilots)
Fifth: the UFO(s) was able to affect its' surroundings (ie; the instrumentation and functionality of the fighter jets)
Sixth: The UFO(s) seemed to exhibit intelligent control - (fleeing, affecting, and chasing)
So these are some of the primary aspects of the case I find compelling. WHAT do others think?