Merged Skeptics vs. Knowers/Believers

Belated reply to Tapio

ramjet, thanks for your reply!

It seems I have to elaborate a bit, for my words were typed in somewhat a haste and were easily misinterpreted.
Originally Posted by Rramjet
Yeah, My great grandfather was a “pioneer” and “created” a farm from the forest in the mountains in the 1870s - and our family has been there ever since…

That is something I respect from all my heart. Have you seen the wonderful documentary "Alone In The Wilderness"? Your grandpa sounds as someone quite similar to Dick Proenneke (although he didn't raise a family).
Thanks for the link Tapio. It certainly looks like something I would enjoy watching.

Unfortunately the world is rapidly closing in and experiences such as that are becoming rarer to find and rarer to experience. I often wonder what we are “losing” by no longer having such practical, pioneering experiences as a direct influence on our culture. My son for instance is growing up in a large city. We go back to the farm for holidays etc…the farm is there, but my son’s experience is nothing LIKE his forebears in having to work hard to simply remain alive! If you stop working hard, you do NOT survive. Simple. Fires, floods, droughts, snow, rain, sunshine, sickness and health, no medical assistance immediately available, break a leg and your simply stuck there, growing your own food of necessity, to merely live. Killing animals to survive, of necessity, to merely live. It grounds you in a reality that no other experience can provide. The loss of cultural information of this kind I keenly feel. Down the generations life is becoming easier. People are becoming less “grounded” in “reality”. That is in our CONNECTION to EVERYTHING. Without that connection, we are nothing! We cannot survive. That is why climate change and subsequent loss of biodiversity is so critical. We lose biodiversity and we lose our existence. It’s that simple.

Anyway…enough of THAT! Back to the topic.

As you know, this has been a subject of great debate among thinkers throughout the ages. At the moment I'm inclined to think there is an 'objective reality' of some kind. Meaning something that would exist without any of us observing it. I think mathematics is the closest thing to a 'language' we have to describe this objective reality.
If a tree falls in a forest and no-one is there to hear it, does it make a sound? If we are not there to observe it, is there any such thing as objective reality? You tend to think there is. I, perhaps tend to lean to the other side and think that perhaps there is NOT an objective reality – at least not in the sense we conceptualise it to be. I think we have to remember that we must be taught to perceive the world the way we do. If we are not taught, then reality has no meaning and there is just “I” and everything is “I” There is simply no real distinction between “external” and “internal” reality. This may be shocking for some people but the experiences of Helen Keller point to this as a conclusion. As a deaf, dumb, blind person she experienced the world in a very peculiar manner. For her the world and herself were all “I”. Her “breakthrough” came when she was about 7 years old when she was outside with her nanny and had her hand held under a flowing tap, while her nanny signed the word for “water” into her other hand.

“As a cool stream gushed over one hand she spelled into the other the word water, first slowly then rapidly. I stood still, my whole attention fixed apon the motions of her fingers. Suddenly I felt a misty consciousness as of something forgotten – a thrill of returning thought; somehow the mystery of language was revealed to me. I knew than that “w-a-t-e-r” meant the wonderful cool something that was flowing over my hand. That living word awakened my soul, gave it light, hope, joy, set it free! … Everything had a name, and each name gave birth to a new thought. As we returned to the house every object I touched seemed to quiver with life. That was because I saw everything with the strange, new sight that had come to me. On ebtering the door I remembered th doll I had broken. I felt my way to the hearth and picked up the pieces. I tried vainly to put them together. Then my eyes filled with tears; for I realised what I had done, and for the first time I felt repentance and sorrow.” (Helen Keller (1923) The Story of My Life. pp.23-24)​

Now of course this cuts both ways. One could argue that there was an objective reality merely waiting for Helen to discover it. Alternatively one may also argue that until Helen DID discover it (ie MAKE it objective), reality was merely subjective, an inseparable whole based entirely on the self.

Which makes your observation…
Because this objective reality is something existing without human beings (or beings of any sort), I feel nobody can have a 'monopoly' over it. That's exactly why every person's observation regarding they're own experience of this reality is as valid.
…also valid. :)

If you read my previous post again, you might notice I was interpreting your claiming to KNOW things as exactly what you are now opposing to. It might be semantics, but I feel when you claim to KNOW something (without adding a disclaimer where you explain this to apply only to your subjective reality) that you are claiming to hold 'monopoly of objective reality'.
Yes, there is a semantic distinction to be made here. I KNOW in the sense that it IS an objective reality to me. Just as Bishop Berkeley’s stone was an objective reality to him. I am sure that if others “stubbed” their toe on the same stone as I have, they would make of it exactly as I have done – an objective reality. Now others may argue that my reality is actually subjective, but if they do, then they are NOT “realists” as they lay claim to be in proposing their OWN alternative “realities” to my “objective” reality. They become relativists with all the accompanying baggage that brings. They simply CANNOT have it BOTH ways. Drawing the conversation back to UFOs then, the debunkers claim my reality is subjective at the same time as claiming their own reality is objective. That’s just nonsense. MY reality is as objectively real to me as theirs is to them. Now we have dispensed with semantics… :)

To my eye most, if not all, skeptics in this discussion have constantly stated that they do not claim to KNOW anything else than that which can truly be 'objectively' known -> plain human eyewitness and/or 'subjective' inner experience can not be counted as evidence of 'objective' reality. However, as with KoftA, you also claim to KNOW something which (at least by your words) applies to US ALL.
But by the same token the “skeptics” (and I have yet to see proof that many of them exist in this forum) claim to KNOW something that applies to us all, and clearly my experience shows that their “reality” does NOT apply to a whole cross-section of people in society.

I might be wrong, please correct me if so, but it seems like you are actually the one claiming a 'monopoly' over reality when asking us to accept your 'feelings' as something definitive of the reality we all share. Don't get me wrong. I'm a very open person and I'd be fine to accept you being a person actually giving us information relating to us all, if it only were you had something more conclusive to back up your view than unexplained eyewitness accompanied with a feeling. Am I making myself clear? I know someone with more experience, education and a better hold on the English language could certainly explain this better...
You explain your point well. I contend however that my reality is based on MUCH more than a subjective “feeling” - as you term it. I have the experience of a lifetime to back my perceptions. I also have the advantage of a higher level education than the vast bulk of humanity – including most I suspect in this forum. And this education has directly involved the investigation of human perceptual fallibility, including memory. I also have the experiences of many other people who claim to have witnessed things very similar to my own observations and, critically, to have had the SAME reaction to them as me. There is even more… photographs for instance.

I feel it moreover it is a little arrogant of some people, who have never had such experiences, to argue that such experiences simply cannot be accepted as objective. Ask anyone who has had a genuinely “startling” experience that DEMONSTRATES that we are missing something about “reality as we know it – that there is something MORE than we currently accept as consensus opinion (for in the end I also contend that reality is “merely” consensus opinion) and they will tell, you that they KNOW this to be true based on the evidence of not only their own perceptions, but on the perceptions of others (plus the odd photo and video, etc). This is entirely different to religion though. There, there ARE no perceptual realities at all. There is just not the same demonstrable “body of evidence” that is consistent over time and apparent in every place as the UFO “experience” is.

I hope you're not talking here of, say, a person looking through a microscope and seeing bacteria...and that his/her experience of the bacteria is evidence...if you're talking about this kind of stuff, we're talking about a completely different definition of experience.
Well, interesting you should say that. Remember the “Canals” on Mars. For quite some years, all sorts of eminently qualified astronomers “observed”, through their telescopes, canals on Mars! They even drew maps and had created theories as the how and why of them. It was only through experience that they realised that they were perceiving things in the wrong way. So even ostensibly objective “experiences” such as an observation through a microscope must still be “interpreted” in the context of a greater body of learning. Unfortunately for the experience of UFOs, the “greater” body of learning simply does not exist. We have no clear way of “interpreting” the experience. We have speculation about misperceptions etc, but THAT is theoretical - post hoc rationalisations if you like. The very fact that human perception IS fallible confound UFO “evidence” with “false positives” that later turn out to be negative. We simply have no current rational schema, theory, hypothesis, that enables us to sort the “signal from the noise”. THAT is why research is essential. We MUST develop those schema, just as in every other science we do. Just WHY the debunkers seem to want to DENY even an attempt to develop such a schema – to give the UFO proponents their “day in court” if you will, somewhat escapes me…but as a psychologist I can speculate that FEAR is a big driving force – as it is in many, if not most human activities.

When I say 'experience', I mean 'inner experience', a reaction to an external or internal stimulus. I'm not talking about sensory perception. Bearing that in mind, I feel human experience definitely is evidence, OF HUMAN EXPERIENCE. That's all. Do you understand?
I actually don’t think I do understand what you are driving at here – well I DO but I think you are confusing a couple of concepts. Ever heard of Qualia? I have not time to explain here but I think it would benefit you to “Google” the term before expounding further on this issue.

However, when it comes to UFOs, people seem to link unexplained sensory data with powerful inner experience and come off explaining this mess as evidence for extraterrestrial intelligence.
Yes, I agree. To conclude ET IS irrational.

Let's say you witness, through your senses, something beautiful, strange, even frightening. Let's also say you experience, in your 'inner world', something unique and profound at the same time. Awesome, great, no problem with that. The problem arises when you fail to discern your sensory perception from your inner experience and critically assess them separately. Even if what you witnessed through your senses could actually be verified to have happened in 'objective' reality, the experience of witnessing is something confined only to your inner world. As are the experiences which follow your sensory witnessing. They can not be counted as evidence of 'objective reality'.
Again, you need to get on top of “Qualia” before I can continue. Let me know if you wish to pursue the line of inquiry. You may know about qualia already (let me know if you do). To debate someone that does not understand where you are coming from is pretty frustrating because they tend to repeat their original assertion in rebuttal rather than discussing intelligently the points you raise. I hope also Tapio, that you are indeed willing to learn, because there are some very important concepts you are discussing that need more than just a cursory argument to understand fully.

(snip related to the topic of qualia – discussion coming soon!)

Originally Posted by Rramjet
Descarte didn’t say “I think… but because my perception is fallible we can draw no conclusions from that!

No, but maybe he could (not saying he should) have said: "I think...but what I think doesn't necessarily have anything to do with anything else than my thinking."

Ah, but that was the point of concluding ”therefore I am”. He was stating that thinking DOES have ramifications more widespread that “mere” self reference. Helen Keller for example…
 
Hey Chief

Sounds like your saying that there are no absolutes and interpretation today can be different tomorrow.


P.S. and on another matter,

Oh and thanks for the promotion to my OP -much appreciated - when people ask, I will be able to show them where my 1% came from.

Offensive as ever, Alfie. Why don't you just use my name? I use yours. I'm aware from your previous posts that you compare me to Chief Wiggum from the Simpsons, a stereotypically stupid and ignorant character. I'm resisting comparing you to a shallow, conflicted insecure gigalo, which is the first thing that comes to MY mind when I see the name Alfie, a fact that dates me a bit, I'm afraid. I'm also presuming that your name is, or at least includes Alfie. Certainly I found face book pages for such. My name happens to be Andrew Wiggin, though not spelled exactly as I spell it here. I changed it just slightly so it would give lots of search engine hits, rather than being highly recognizable, unique, and searchable.

I added your attack thread to my signature because very few things I could do myself add to my credibility as much as being attacked publicly by someone as incoherent as you are. You manage simultaneously to highlight my points and make your opposition to them look foolish. Thanks. Everyone should be so lucky as to have the personal attention of a troll like you.

On topic, if you read from what I wrote that science is subject to casual revision, you're showing your lack of reading comprehension again. Given a sufficient body of evidence, today's interpretation and tomorrow's interpretation could be different, but what you miss is that science has a pattern to it. Theories are confirmed when they have evidence for them, and when they in turn support the pattern. When 100 percent of the evidence to date supports a theory, then one anecdotal story by a non-credible or biased witness doesn't make that theory much less likely.

In your particular case, since you're on about global warming, the science is simple. It's been around since the fifties, and it does a really good job of explaining why this planet is the way it is, and why the temperature trend has been upward since carbon dioxide levels started to be artificially increased. Not only does the theory state what the effects of increasing CO2 levels should be, it makes predictions about what we should see in the past, when there have been natural fluctuations in CO2 levels. Other experiments designed to estimate prehistoric temperatures, and to estimate prehistoric atmosphere composition, have been done since the theory was first set down, and they correlate well with what we would expect to see. Collection of meteorological data since the fifties also correlates in the expected manner with increasing CO2 levels. It has been obvious from the data amongst scientists for a long time that there will come a time when we raise the planet's temperature to the point where there are serious consequences to survival of life on this planet, including our own.

On the other hand, we have a crew of folks who, for one reason or another, aren't willing to accept that things are changing. Companies that make their money from fossil fuels don't want to stop existing or change their business model. The average joe on the street doesn't want to have limits on how much petrol he can burn or what kind of car he can drive. Some politicians see this as a convenient divisive issue, something to challenge their opponents on, an excuse to use big words and concepts that the average voter won't understand. It's easy to cherry pick data as well. Real scientists do their best to make sure that they're using a representative sample of data when extrapolating, because there are constant fluctuations in most sources of data. Yearly temperature data is a good example of data that fluctuates. Winters are colder than summers, and there are various other reasons that temperature cycles a bit. It's easy to pick out a downward part of the cycle, run the math only on that portion of the data, and claim that the trend is towards cooling. If I was, as an example, to take daily temperature data from july to february in the northern hemisphere and make an unreasonable extrapolation from that data, I could conclude that temperatures would continue to decrease till the atmosphere itself froze. I pick such a short time scale only to show the nature of the fallacy, but the folks who are denying this science aren't using that much of a longer time scale. Any time one year averages colder than the previous one, they're on it, even when the overall trend is clearly upward. It's easy to disprove such poor math, for someone trained in how that math SHOULD be done, but it gives the opportunity for people with agendas to pick out a section of the data that gives the result they want, and show that to a gullible public as proof that nothing needs to change. You're part of that gullible public, and part of the population who prefers that things stay the same as they are, even if that means lying about the data and attacking those who tell the truth. Otherwise we wouldn't be having this discussion, or some of our previous ones.

How this applies to THIS thread is more a question of physics. Various posters have claimed to see things that they claim could only be either vehicles from vistors not of this planet, or current residents of this planet who live in such technological advance of us that there's no way we can detect them except by furtive and occasional sightings. Physics says that the investment in time and energy to travel between stars is dauntingly huge, and there are plenty of answers for 'what's that light in the sky' with what we already know, to the extent that secret sci-fi style vehicles flying around are pretty unlikely. For them to get back to the likely category, there will have to be lots of repeatable sightings. If there were plenty of aliens coming and going, even from hidden bases, we'd eventually start to see sightings get repeatable. One doesn't have to hang out at the airport for very long before one sees a plane, and a day spent at the airport will be enough to learn a lot about planes, and certainly enough to confirm that they exist. Nothing of the sort has been gained by people with cameras watching over the vast open spaces of this planet. Even astronomers, who spend their time watching the sky and often use cameras to do so, never see flying saucers. I would expect that in the century at least that photography has been used to record what telescopes see, that there would be some pretty good photos of alien craft, if such existed, but there aren't.

A.
 
Offensive as ever, Alfie. Why don't you just use my name? I use yours. I'm aware from your previous posts that you compare me to Chief Wiggum from the Simpsons, a stereotypically stupid and ignorant character. I'm resisting comparing you to a shallow, conflicted insecure gigalo, which is the first thing that comes to MY mind when I see the name Alfie, a fact that dates me a bit, I'm afraid. I'm also presuming that your name is, or at least includes Alfie. Certainly I found face book pages for such. My name happens to be Andrew Wiggin, though not spelled exactly as I spell it here. I changed it just slightly so it would give lots of search engine hits, rather than being highly recognizable, unique, and searchable.

I added your attack thread to my signature because very few things I could do myself add to my credibility as much as being attacked publicly by someone as incoherent as you are. You manage simultaneously to highlight my points and make your opposition to them look foolish. Thanks. Everyone should be so lucky as to have the personal attention of a troll like you.

On topic, if you read from what I wrote that science is subject to casual revision, you're showing your lack of reading comprehension again. Given a sufficient body of evidence, today's interpretation and tomorrow's interpretation could be different, but what you miss is that science has a pattern to it. Theories are confirmed when they have evidence for them, and when they in turn support the pattern. When 100 percent of the evidence to date supports a theory, then one anecdotal story by a non-credible or biased witness doesn't make that theory much less likely.

In your particular case, since you're on about global warming, the science is simple. It's been around since the fifties, and it does a really good job of explaining why this planet is the way it is, and why the temperature trend has been upward since carbon dioxide levels started to be artificially increased. Not only does the theory state what the effects of increasing CO2 levels should be, it makes predictions about what we should see in the past, when there have been natural fluctuations in CO2 levels. Other experiments designed to estimate prehistoric temperatures, and to estimate prehistoric atmosphere composition, have been done since the theory was first set down, and they correlate well with what we would expect to see. Collection of meteorological data since the fifties also correlates in the expected manner with increasing CO2 levels. It has been obvious from the data amongst scientists for a long time that there will come a time when we raise the planet's temperature to the point where there are serious consequences to survival of life on this planet, including our own.

On the other hand, we have a crew of folks who, for one reason or another, aren't willing to accept that things are changing. Companies that make their money from fossil fuels don't want to stop existing or change their business model. The average joe on the street doesn't want to have limits on how much petrol he can burn or what kind of car he can drive. Some politicians see this as a convenient divisive issue, something to challenge their opponents on, an excuse to use big words and concepts that the average voter won't understand. It's easy to cherry pick data as well. Real scientists do their best to make sure that they're using a representative sample of data when extrapolating, because there are constant fluctuations in most sources of data. Yearly temperature data is a good example of data that fluctuates. Winters are colder than summers, and there are various other reasons that temperature cycles a bit. It's easy to pick out a downward part of the cycle, run the math only on that portion of the data, and claim that the trend is towards cooling. If I was, as an example, to take daily temperature data from july to february in the northern hemisphere and make an unreasonable extrapolation from that data, I could conclude that temperatures would continue to decrease till the atmosphere itself froze. I pick such a short time scale only to show the nature of the fallacy, but the folks who are denying this science aren't using that much of a longer time scale. Any time one year averages colder than the previous one, they're on it, even when the overall trend is clearly upward. It's easy to disprove such poor math, for someone trained in how that math SHOULD be done, but it gives the opportunity for people with agendas to pick out a section of the data that gives the result they want, and show that to a gullible public as proof that nothing needs to change. You're part of that gullible public, and part of the population who prefers that things stay the same as they are, even if that means lying about the data and attacking those who tell the truth. Otherwise we wouldn't be having this discussion, or some of our previous ones.

How this applies to THIS thread is more a question of physics. Various posters have claimed to see things that they claim could only be either vehicles from vistors not of this planet, or current residents of this planet who live in such technological advance of us that there's no way we can detect them except by furtive and occasional sightings. Physics says that the investment in time and energy to travel between stars is dauntingly huge, and there are plenty of answers for 'what's that light in the sky' with what we already know, to the extent that secret sci-fi style vehicles flying around are pretty unlikely. For them to get back to the likely category, there will have to be lots of repeatable sightings. If there were plenty of aliens coming and going, even from hidden bases, we'd eventually start to see sightings get repeatable. One doesn't have to hang out at the airport for very long before one sees a plane, and a day spent at the airport will be enough to learn a lot about planes, and certainly enough to confirm that they exist. Nothing of the sort has been gained by people with cameras watching over the vast open spaces of this planet. Even astronomers, who spend their time watching the sky and often use cameras to do so, never see flying saucers. I would expect that in the century at least that photography has been used to record what telescopes see, that there would be some pretty good photos of alien craft, if such existed, but there aren't.

A.




Yawn
 
Unfortunately the world is rapidly closing in and experiences such as that are becoming rarer to find and rarer to experience. I often wonder what we are “losing” by no longer having such practical, pioneering experiences as a direct influence on our culture. My son for instance is growing up in a large city. We go back to the farm for holidays etc…the farm is there, but my son’s experience is nothing LIKE his forebears in having to work hard to simply remain alive! If you stop working hard, you do NOT survive. Simple. Fires, floods, droughts, snow, rain, sunshine, sickness and health, no medical assistance immediately available, break a leg and your simply stuck there, growing your own food of necessity, to merely live. Killing animals to survive, of necessity, to merely live. It grounds you in a reality that no other experience can provide. The loss of cultural information of this kind I keenly feel. Down the generations life is becoming easier. People are becoming less “grounded” in “reality”. That is in our CONNECTION to EVERYTHING. Without that connection, we are nothing! We cannot survive. That is why climate change and subsequent loss of biodiversity is so critical. We lose biodiversity and we lose our existence. It’s that simple.

You know, I'm really refreshed to read this. It really reinforces that even with a certain amount of disagreement, the important things are still simple and universal. (Raises a glass) May we always be able to debate civilly, as deep down inside, we're all just people on a small planet.

A.
 
If you take 100 people who witness a UFO sighting and 99 say it was a for real UFO and 1 person says it was a weather balloon, then in the debunker’s mind the 1 is right, proof positive, and the 99 are either woos, innocently mistaken or deluded, etc.


I would add that the Skeptic would actually agree that it was an UNIDENTIFIED flying object rather than coming to nonfactual conclusions, yet, wouldn't agree that it was an alien aircraft, thus proofing that the alien-worshiper are some sort of religious nuts, indeed. ;)
 
Rramjet, great post!

I really feel this can be a beginning of a fruitful exchange of thought. I'm still young and very eager to learn. What's difficult for me is to find the will and concentration needed to sit down and actually study stuff (got kicked out of school, have read a lot, but haven't really learned how to study). I've always been more of a 'hands on' type of guy, travelling a lot, taking myself to places and situations where there has been no pre-thought way of surviving (ie. getting intentionally lost in vast Finnish wilderness :D). Then, a bit over three years ago, BAM! Three kids in a bit over a year, wife, home and I also found the internet and...well, here I am. On my way to new kinds of discoveries daily!

Now, at the moment I'm quite busy being a freelance working father-at-home of three under 4 year-olds, and I'd like to take some time to actually reflect on your post. So my reply might take a while (not in weeks, but in days).

Oh yeah, I've read about the concept of qualia through Dennet's work, but it's been a while now. Re-reading is certainly needed (especially this UFO business in mind), thanks for pointing that out! I'll be diving into that also and try to compose something...

Thanks again, and stay tuned...:)
 
I think you missed understanding by a tiny amount. So very close.
If and when there is 'other evidence' then the decision can be changed. Unlike the OJ case, double jeopardy is allowed here. We can change our verdict when the DNA evidence arrives.
No need to change the rules of evidence.

The Prosecution HAS evidence, but the Judge threw it out.

AS the Prosecution, 'I' have seen and KNOW things the Jury hasn't been allowed to consider...

Eye witness after eye witness all say the same thing(s), but because of potential human error, their testimony is tossed out as inadmissible.
 
An increasing pile of unverified evidence is even worse than only one piece of unverified evidence!
It shows a consistent failure on behalf of those who collect the evidence... A failure which has been going on for 50 years.

There's a murder going about 'carefully' hacking people to pieces. The police find the bodies, but because of their sub-quality evidence collection techniques AND the murder's techniques that leave little/no 'evidence' to go on. Murder after murder occurs and the police are powerless to solve the mystery.

There ARE however scores of people who witnessed the actual murders..."from a distance".

But because of the unreliability of eye witness testimony..."it's not evidence".

...nevermind that we have TONS of it.
 
I think you missed understanding by a tiny amount. So very close.
If and when there is 'other evidence' then the decision can be changed. Unlike the OJ case, double jeopardy is allowed here. We can change our verdict when the DNA evidence arrives.
No need to change the rules of evidence.

Again...I've seen the other evidence, I KNOW O.J. did it, bloody knife in hand, I SAW him do it...at a great distance. It 'looked' like O.J., the murderer even moved a little like O.J. used to run...

...but because it WAS several hundred yards away, I 'could' have been mistaken...

...too bad we don't have DNA, or we'd know for sure.
 
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There's a murder going about 'carefully' hacking people to pieces. The police find the bodies, but because of their sub-quality evidence collection techniques AND the murder's techniques that leave little/no 'evidence' to go on. Murder after murder occurs and the police are powerless to solve the mystery.
There ARE however scores of people who witnessed the actual murders..."from a distance".
But because of the unreliability of eye witness testimony..."it's not evidence".
...nevermind that we have TONS of it.

So in the absence of credible evidence... do the police just assume the murderer is an alien from another planet?
Or do they try to improve their evidence collection techniques?
 
This reminds me of a line from "Annie Hall" -
There's an old joke. Two elderly women are at a Catskills mountain resort, and one of them says, "Boy, the food at this place is really terrible." The other one says, "Yeah, I know, and such small portions."
 
So I would say that neither side is winning. Both have their protectors and their protagonists.

Hope that is what you were looking for.

Mira

Perfect, thanks.

I know you're not certain, who can ever be...but who do you think is more likely to be right?

Are you 'leaning' at all to one side or the other?
 
I posit that judgement of the veracity of the vast majority of the material in your posts so far is not variable subject to artistic interpretation; rather it reflects a cognizance that certain truths are self-evident, your protests notwithstanding.

I also am infallible, so this must be true.


Re-Horakty etc.

Does Art imitate Reality, or is it the other way around?
 
I would counter that sometimes (say, in the case of the Global Warming debate) some people are more inclined to view things with the broad brush, and some people love to dwell on the minutiae of any given subject.

Sometimes the 'science' which you claim skeptics want is inconclusive using the broad brush, but appears most conclusive when looked at on a smaller scale. Or vice versa.

The point I am really making here is that reliable evidence may be equally compelling pro or con depending on perspective (as in the case of global warming), and vilification of someone looking at trends versus specifics is patently unfair. Just because someone is intrigued by where a seeming 'trend' may lead, suggested by a loose link or an emerging 'gut feel', doesn't mean they have any less regard for 'reliable' evidence. They just look at things a bit differently.

Are we willing to consider the possibility that too narrow a definition of 'skeptic' or 'believer' is possible?

Shouldn't skeptics welcome the speculation of the 'believers' as a product of the attempt to understand events in the larger framework -that broad brush, as it were?

I think we dissuade responsible speculation at our peril.
Typing from a cell phone, so it'll have to be brief. I'll detail it later when I get a decent key board.
Science is a work in progress; this fact is misunderstood by many. Contrary to religion, there are few if any dogmas and everything is open for discussion. All it takes to create a big paradigm shift is data- reliable data- showing it is wrong. Science tests itself continuously, improving what can be improved and dumping what can not.
Thus, it may be "inconclusive" every now and then. It has to be.
But wait, there's more... That "know everything about nothing or nothing about everything" is real and bring sometimes two -or more- opposite views.
And yes, we are all human and sometimes emotion gets in the way of reason even in science.
But reliable evidence is reliable evidence (some may question its relevance to the case in question).
And to date, I am not aware of reliable evidence to back UFOs as the main UFOlogy speculations propose them to be:
Extraterrestrials
Beings from other universes
Hid
den civilizations
Secret tech (this may be the most likely explanation for some sightings, however)
Some sort of paranormal phenomena
As for wild speculations, well sometimes they show up in science (not as wil as in UFOlogy). But as soon as one is made, people go back to the available body of knowledge to search for backup. Now, where are the reliable data to back the UFOlogical speculations? And when present, what are they pointing towards?
 
So in the absence of credible evidence... do the police just assume the murderer is an alien from another planet?
Or do they try to improve their evidence collection techniques?

They have assumed any such thing.

So far, the criminal in question has thus far evaded investigative efforts...'potentially' by design and or intent.
 
Oh, there's a whole philosophy section here. That's where the qualia and the objective x subjective nature of reality dicussions belong to.
 
I would add that the Skeptic would actually agree that it was an UNIDENTIFIED flying object rather than coming to nonfactual conclusions, yet, wouldn't agree that it was an alien aircraft, thus proofing that the alien-worshiper are some sort of religious nuts, indeed. ;)

alien does NOT = non-human

No one here is suggesting "alien". I am merely saying they demonstrated ability beyond ours. Thus the only thing I know is that it WASN'T ours.

Nonfactual conclusions...?

Like the proposal that it was a "craft"...?
 

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