RayG
Master Poster
Interesting Ian said:The birthmarks correspond to the injuries that cause death in the previous incarnation.
Does this hold true for ALL birthmarks, or only the ones that support your hypothesis?
RayG
Interesting Ian said:The birthmarks correspond to the injuries that cause death in the previous incarnation.
In Skeptic magazine V.9 #3 Leonard Angel reviewed Ian Stevenson's “Reincarnation and Biology†where Stevenson explains his “theory†that birthmarks represent the death wounds of reincarnated people. Angel completely debunks Stevenson’s data, exposing how he uses “backwards reasoning†to supply missing evidence that would favor his theory, and then uses that evidence to support the theory.RayG said:Does this hold true for ALL birthmarks, or only the ones that support your hypothesis?
I'm not sure as I haven't read that book, but my guess would be that he counts both.Archon1 said:By "birthmarks" is Stevenson talking about the pinkish, redish splotches or the little brown dots? They are very different.
RichardR said:I'm not sure as I haven't read that book, but my guess would be that he counts both.
RichardR said:I'm not sure as I haven't read that book, but my guess would be that he counts both.
Nucular said:Re: Occam's Razor.
Boy goes to aviation museum; boy subsequently suffers nightmares involving aeroplanes.
Explanation #1: Boy's nightmares were caused by things he witnessed or heard at the aviation museum we know he went to.
Explanation #2: Boy's nightmares were caused by his memories of a past life as a fighter pilot, triggered by the things he witnessed or heard at the aviation museum we know he went to.
Open Mind, Ian, whoever: what does Occam have to say about which is the more likely explanation?
RichardR said:In Skeptic magazine V.9 #3 Leonard Angel reviewed Ian Stevenson's “Reincarnation and Biology†where Stevenson explains his “theory†that birthmarks represent the death wounds of reincarnated people. Angel completely debunks Stevenson’s data, exposing how he uses “backwards reasoning†to supply missing evidence that would favor his theory, and then uses that evidence to support the theory.
Angel also exposes the error in Stevenson’s statistics. Stevenson claims the probability of such birthmarks resembling a death wound would be tiny, but Angel calculates it at 70%. Stevenson’s error is in simplistically dividing the body into a fixed “gridâ€. He then calculates the probability of the birthmark and death wound being in the same square on the grid, and decides it is low. But he ignores the probability of the two being on separate squares on the grid but still close together.
Angel also finds “blatant misrepresentations of primary evidence and faulty summarizationâ€. What he means is that Stevenson assumes results based on his theory, and then somehow “forgets†which bits of data were assumed and which real. He speculates that Stevenson “is so accustomed to reasoning backwards that he keeps confusing data he has hypothesized to be true with data he has established to be true by primary evidenceâ€.
As I said, Stevenson is a well meaning fool; his work cannot be relied on as any kind of evidence for reincarnation.
In that way, I must say that I felt that instead of presenting us with an "unwarranted inflation of the significance of the data", Leonard Angel provided us with an "unmerited deflation of it".
Anyway, I must stress that his analysis (in both of his articles) is priceless in many respects, and I am very much aware that Angel may really be a hundred percent right in his intuition that all this research program has little or nothing of paranormal in it.
Leonard Angel asked, commenting on the Imad Elawar case, "How difficult is it, then, to account for the specific content of the best of the Twenty Cases material on purely naturalistic hypotheses?"
Having studied it deeply, the answer, as far as I am concerned, is: "Certainly not impossible. But very difficult indeed..."
Vitor Moura
http://listas.pucsp.br/pipermail/pesquisapsi/2004-August/009023.html
Unless they can come up with a way to rule out #1, that's the one I'd stick with. Stick with what works, and I haven't seen anything that can't be covered by explanation #1.Open Mind said:Well, I'm not familiar with this case, but if your statement accurately sums up this whole case evidence I think '#1' is of course a more likely explanation ....... but is that the whole case or skeptic oversimplification of it?
I believe skepticism is about defaulting to known explanations until they fail. I've never seen them fail me.I’ve come to realize over the years just how selective skeptics and believers are in presenting just the data to support their preferred paradigm.
True. Genuine skeptics should know they can be fooled, which is why scientists design their protocols to prevent that.Less well informed sceptics assume only believers are prone to this human weakness
I don't see much bias in skeptic resources. They have means of correction and filtering. Skeptical opinions can even be reversed by properly replicated, controlled, double-blind studies....... but if one reads both sides of the debate, one becomes aware just how alarmingly biased skeptic resources can be in skeptic dictionaries etc.
RichardR said:In Skeptic magazine V.9 #3 Leonard Angel reviewed Ian Stevenson's “Reincarnation and Biologyâ€
This of course proves nothing of the sort. If you merely wish to contend that I am rude and impolite I am very happy to acknowledge that. If you are contending that I am not a thoroughly decent person then I'm afraid you do not know what you are talking about. No one knows me personally on here. You have absolutely no idea what sort of person I am.
Hey yeah! I've always been an outsider, never had many friends. Always been out of step with everyone else. Always the one at school who used to stand by himself in the playground, shunned by all the others. Always the one who got bullied. Always the one who thought differently from everyone else. Always the one who had different interests from everyone else.
"The only exceptions to this has been a few times in the past where I have pretended to be a "yobbo" (ie drunken thick loud-mouthed idiot). Well, they always seemed to get the girls!
People have complained I don't hold a pint glass firmly enough i.e I hold the glass with my fingertips; I use my hands to express what I'm saying; my voice is too refined (compared to the the average male bar patron), and not north-eastern enough; and I don't chat up anything with a skirt. That's about it.
How, exactly, do you know that?Looks like the parents have published a book.
cosmos.bcst.yahoo.com/up/player/popup/?rn=3906861&cl=13873561&ch=4226713&src=news
Truly tragic. Instead of challenging the child to become skeptical, they've validated his delusions.
Life is full of interesting coincidences, isn't it? I was referring to this subject on another forum just a few days ago.Looks like the parents have published a book.
Don't blame you. It has been covered - mostly. To repeat what I wrote all those years ago, I think, with quite a good degree of certainty, we can say what happened with this child.I'm not inclined to wade through a pile of four year old bickering, so maybe this has been covered...
I'm not inclined to wade through a pile of four year old bickering, so
maybe this has been covered...
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