I was always worried that even if we debunked Bazant in a completely undeniable way the other side could just walk away and say 'well, it was just a hypothesis after all...no problem' What I am beginning to undertand is that it is not really a question of debunking Bazant. There IS no theory other than Bazant. Without Bazant it was definately a controlled demolition so the other side MUST stick with it or admit to that fact.
This is a classic example of conspiracy theorist denialism. There are two glaring fundamental errors in it. I'll try and explain both.
Firstly, Bazant's analysis is not only not the only collapse hypothesis, it isn't even intended to be an accurate model of the collapse. The concept of a limiting case has been explained so many times on this forum that it seems futile to try again, but I'll try. Bazant's collapse scenario is one which is unrealistically biased in favour of collapse arrest, and it is found that even in that biased scenario there is a considerable excess of energy over that required to collapse the structure. Therefore, in any realistic scenario, the excess of energy is even greater. If Bazant's model is shown to be an unrealistic depiction of the actual collapse, that's not disproving anything. The only valid criticism of Bazant would be if the actual collapse mechanism could be shown to be energetically even more unfavourable to collapse. However, it's clear from the actual evidence that the converse is the case; the energy requirements of the actual collapse were much less than those for Bazant's model.
Secondly, you're making the classic error of the false dilemma. Disproving a particular model of the collapse does not, and cannot, automatically prove a single alternative model of the collapse. If Bazant's model were invalidated, all it would prove is that Bazant's model of the collapse were not a good model, and that a better model was needed. This superior model would have to give a
better explanation of all the observed phenomena than the Bazant model. The controlled demolition hypothesis (I'm being charitable in using the word "hypothesis", because there is effectively no fully developed hypothesis, just a general belief that the towers were demolished somehow) would automatically be excluded, because it is already known to give a
worse explanation of all the observed phenomena than the Bazant model.
So we can drive the other side to ever more stretched and ridiculous claims in support of an indefensible hypothesis. They can only end up going (with their hands over their ears) ' Nah na ne-nah nah....I can't HEAR you).
That sounds strangely familiar, but it's not coming from this side of the debate.
Are we there in all but name already ?
Yes, you are, but not in the sense that you meant it.
Dave