Francesca: This whole post demonstrates exactly why we can't see eye to eye on this issue. You read things into what I say that I do not intend, jump to conclusions from it that do not actually follow, and find ways to portray my ideas to make them SEEM idiotic and insane. If I really did believe what I say in the way you
interpret it, I would be crazy.
That is not the same thing, is it? (In the aftermath of the 1930s depression, that is)
Whats not the same, as what?
See, every time you say something dumb like "pretend", which banks are not doing in respect of "money in their vaults", you confirm that you believe in a conspiracy.
If the money is available for withdrawl at any time, then yes, that is pretending it is still there.
Which on your own terms apparently means you are finished here. Unless that was a lie. Looks like it.
I never said that believing a conspiracy theory means anything at all. It is YOU and The Central Scrutinizer who seem to think it matters. If I believed in some conspiracy, I would say it. Conspiracies do happen in real life. Like I keep saying, I can prove that you and TCS believe in a conspiracy theory. Since you and he think that would disqualify someone from a debate, do you promise to stop arguing with me if I can prove you believe a 9/11 conspiracy theory? Or at least stop accusing me of one?
So to confirm, you think that Jane public not bothering to check out the creditworthiness (default probability) of her savings bank is "lax risk management"? So you want her to inspect the financial statements and gain the necessary training first to be able to understand them. Suppose she did all that and concluded that WaMu was indeed a sound bank, and suppose then there was a bank run and she didn't get paid. That means her actions were "folly" does it? What rot.
Because apparently according to you, they would have to acquire a financial degree before even using a bank.
Obviously, not everyone can be a financial expert, and I do not demand that they become experts. It is the bankers and other lenders that are becoming lax in their risk management. It is the very experts we do depend on that no longer are motivated to take care who they lend to, since its heads they win, tails they don't lose. And there is so much easy credit, provided by the Fed at low interest rates, that it would be stupid not to gamble with it. The same is true about borrowers. They see easy opportunities to make money using low interest loans, they take them. This is why we have seen so many get rich quick schemes out there based on no-down-payment mortgages. You take out a mortgage, buy a house, sell it almost right away at a profit, and pay back the loan out of the procedes. Just as long as real estate prices kept going up, this was a sure thing.
Nonsense, it is possible in any economy.
Simple assertion. How would it be possible in a free market? You may be referring to "free goods" like air, or positive externalities, but I am talking about easy money and get rich quick schemes like the one I explained.
This is typical of your debating technique. You point out examples where what I say does not apply, claim that as proof that I am all wrong, ignoring the places where it DOES apply.
Nonsense again. The government never said it would constantly push up house prices, nor can it.
I never said it did, or could. But since the government and the banks are constantly pumping cash into the economy, it is natural to make that assumption. I remember plenty of instances of people telling me that real-estate prices will never fall. Even at the beginning of the housing slump, as prices stopped rising, people told me that historically, at least real estate prices have never fallen. It was accepted as a historical fact.
Let's get this straight--the government was responsible for everything bad that has happened, and all private actors were unwitting faultless pawns in this vast conspiracy? Yeah, right.
No. People are capable of making mistakes even under the best cricumstances. All this government intervention just makes it much easier to make mistakes. In fact, is often makes it impossible to tell when you have made a mistake.
Again, youy read more into what I say than I intend. I say that government intervention makes it hard to manage risk rationally, you take that as implying that without government, everyone would be perfectly rational and never take bad risks.
You do this because you want to be able to dismiss what I say as insane nonsense. Ever hear of the principle of charity? If your interpretation of something somebody says is that nutty, try to consider the possibility that your interpretation may be at fault.
But your arguments show the kind of hysteria that Greenspan observed in most oponents of a gold standard.
"An almost hysterical antagonism toward the gold standard is one issue which unites statists of all persuasions."--Alan Greenspan, "Gold and Economic Freedom"
You are unable to consider my arguments rationally, jumping to conclusions and making interpretations that are unwarranted by anything I said.
So take a deep breath, stop, and think about what I am actually saying, not what you imagine I am saying.