Yes, new theories are still needed
I agree with everything in the part I quoted above. BUT (and that's a big but), we already have a theory which does an astoundingly good job of explaining our data. So we have both a qualitative and quantitative description, and one which fits into everything we've learned and understood about mathematics and the physical world over the last 2,000+ years.
Are you sure?
Two of our biggest theories of the C20th are quantum mechanics and general relativity. Both are claimed by some of their adherents to be quite excellent and not requiring any fixing. But the two theories refuse to "play nice" together.
They aren't compatible. GR lets us "prove", unambiguously, that information can't possibly seep out through a gravitational horizon, while QM lets us "prove", equally unambiguously, that it must.
This problem has occupied some of our most brilliant theoretical physicists for the last thirty-something years, and they still don't have an agreed solution, even though they've now tried pretty much every reasonable-looking approach. They simply don't know how to fix it (a couple of them claim that they've managed it, but their colleagues don't agree). Hawking's approach was originally to say that since GR couldn't possibly be wrong, QM had to be rewritten to accommodate it ("loss of microcausality"), then he switched tack in 2004, and argued that since
QM had to be right, something else had to give ("detour into obscure many-worlds arguments").
So not only do we not have an agreed solution, we don't even have an agreed
concept for the shape of the future theory that can manage to incorporate the best bits of GR and QM. We
are slowly piecing together a possible consensus over which conflicting parts should probably be given priority. So, "Quantum Gravity" (QG) isn't yet a theory, it's a research programme to try to devise an outline of the basic specifications that a future theory of QG should eventually address.
If anyone involved in theoretical physics honestly believes that we aren't sorely in need of a new theory, I'd suggest that they consider giving up physics and getting a job in finance instead. A lot of the statistics are the same, and the money's better.
When someone comes along with a proposal that throws almost that entire structure away, and offers only vague qualitative assurances that it will work, how seriously should we take it?
I guess we make a private, personal assessment of the odds, and publicly reserve judgement until more reliable details are available. Expressing opinions (as opinions) is fine.
Such a thing has never before happened in the history of science.
Special relativity threw away aether theory, and QM threw away classical mechanics. Phlogiston theory was the most successful and most beautiful theory of chemistry that we'd ever had ... but this didn't stop it being wrong, and we dumped that too.
The closest analogs would be Einstein and the various people involved in the shift to a heliocentric model, but in both cases they built on data painstakingly accumulated by others, they fully understood the old model and its failings, and they constructed coherent quantitative models that explained the data where the old models did not.
No, Einstein's special theory wasn't motivated by the need to make new predictions that fitted unexplainable data – it produced basically the same predictions as Lorentz's aether model, but put those predictions on a new philosophical basis (under more modern physics-journal acceptance procedures, this would, in itself, have been grounds for rejecting Einstein's 1905 electrodynamics paper).
BTW, on the subject of Einstein, I think that his most critical contribution to classical theory wasn't so much SR or E=mc^2 (which would probably have happened a few years later without him), or even general relativity (Schwarzchild and others were already snapping at his heels with their own, similar research), but his 1911 paper on the action of gravity on light.
This result really have been discovered and published a century earlier, but somehow it wasn't.
Then Einstein comes along in 1911, calculates the existence of gravity-shifts (much as Michell had done in the C18th), recognises that the exercise leads to a contradiction, but declares that his calculation is correct regardless. In an impressive display of arrogance(!), Einstein gives the calculation, predicts gravity-shifts, declares the failure of the usual associated logic, and then declares that the failure isn't his fault, its the fault of Nature, and of our usual assumptions. If gravity-shifts produced nonsensical results when we assumed that time passed at the same rate in all gravitational environments, then (argued Einstein) since his gravity-shift calculation must be correct, timeflow must necessarily vary as a function of gravitational field strength. It was a trivial, naïve calculation, and his conclusions totally set aside all previous theoretical work and conventions. He simply ignored everything that anyone else had ever done on the subject of and wrote what he thought, bypassing all the historical arguments and counterarguments. And he was essentially correct. So you'd had these brilliant mathematicians beating their heads against a brick wall for decades, trying and failing to get curved-space models of gravity to work, and along comes this Einstein bloke who looks like a math newbie, and says, sorry guys, you've been spending your entire professional lives working on the wrong problem. It's not curved space, it's curved spacetime. After that ... boom ... it's a race to see who can put together a general theory of relativity first. Einstein wins, partly because he works himself into the ground, and partly because some of his competitors have their research schedules wrecked by WW1.
The key point that Einstein spotted, and which none of the more highly-trained experts before him had been able to see, was that our basic project specifications for the development of a curvature-based model of gravity had been fundamentally wrong. If you used the standard, conventional approaches, you couldn't possibly get the right answer. People who went through the system and learnt the history of the subject, and the “right” way to attack these problems all ended up stuck, whereas Einstein apparently didn't have a clue about (or particularly care about) how anyone had tried to tackle the problem before him. He didn't seem to know the relevant work by Soldner, or Cavendish, or Michell, or even Newton (he didn't seem to know the contents of Newton's “Opticks”), and the only person that he cited in his paper for for any previous relevant theoretical work on the subject of the effect of gravity on light was himself (self-citing is sometimes presented as being a “red flag” for crackpottery).
Now, although I consider the 1911 piece to have been one of the most important physics papers of the last three hundred years, if I was a modern mainstream journal reviewer, and was doing my job properly and following the set rules, I'd have been forced to reject it as not fit for publication. It doesn't meet modern journal quality-control criteria. Neither, arguably, do his 1905 electrodynamics paper or his 1905 E=mc^2 paper. None of them display the “proper” acknowledgement or discussion of previous research by other workers, or demonstrate an understanding and appreciation of the history of the subject being discussed. I think that perhaps 50% he didn't actually know all the background, and 50% he probably didn't really care. His attitude seemed to be that his papers contained his arguments, and if you wanted someone else's, you should be reading their papers instead. But you'd have to find them yourself.
This theory has neither intellectual coherence, quantitative predictions, or any justification in a failure of the old theory.
Well, it does actually make some predictions that are
qualitatively different to existing theory, and it does try to address the failure of Einstein's general theory to handle energy conservation in a universe that Hubble-shifts light.
Einstein's early presentation of general relativity assumed an infinite, static, pseudo-Euclidean universe (something like Witt's), and
did seem to conserve energy ... in order to stop the thing collapsing under its own gravity, Einstein introduced a compensating, repulsive, "Cosmological Constant" that was meant to exactly counter the long-range effect of gravitation, and as a bonus, the CC would also have been expected to blueshift light as a function of distance travelled, compensating for gravitational effects that might be expected to produce a cumulative redshift.
So Einstein's early implementation of the theory tried to explain why we
wouldn't see distance-dependent cosmological redshifts. Unfortunately, just a few years later, Hubble noticed that these redshifts (which Einstein had eliminated from the model) were real. So Einstein went back, declared that he'd screwed up by inventing his CC, and agreed that a Friedmann-style expanding universe made more sense. But switching to an expanding model meant that energy conservation no longer obviously worked.
As far as I can see, Witt's tried to fix this energy-conservation problem, in a constant-size universe that still shows Hubble-oid redshifts, by relating the energy lost through redshifting to the energy that appears in the microwave range, which would otherwise seem to be anomalous in his sort of steady-state model.
Now, speaking strictly personally, I really hate his suggested solution (!), but then again, the only potential alternative that I could suggest (a broader conservation principle that encompasses mass-energy-space) would require an expanding universe, and that's explicitly ruled out by Witt's initial design brief , since he's limited himself to explanations that might work in a steady-state universe.
So I think Witt should be given credit for correctly spotting a potential problem with current GR, and trying to address it, even though I very much dislike his suggested solution. By comparison, most of the GR guys not only don't seem to have a solution to offer ... they usually don't seem to acknowledge that this issue even
requires a solution.
It throws away nearly everything we have learned, and therefore it must contend with all the vast quantities of experimental data the old theory explained perfectly. The odds that it could succeed at that are very close to zero, so nobody is going to waste their time checking.
And bear in mind that there are hundreds of such crackpot (I use that term in a technical and specific sense) theories proposed every year - it would be a full time job for a significant fraction of all the physicists in the world to carefully check each of them. Instead, those physicists use their rather well-informed judgment to decide what to study.
Hmm ... So maybe what Witt should do, instead of hassling physicists to assess his model for him, is to try to mug up on the relevant theory himself, and then to set himself apart from the letter-writing brigade by going away and organising and compiling his ideas and arguments in permanent book form, and, then (when he's sure that he's ready) to show his own commitment to the idea by publishing the thing himself, and then publicising the thing on the internet for people to read (or not read) as they see fit ...
... which is what he's done.
I personally don't like Witt's steady-state cosmology, but I didn't like Einstein's, either (shrugs), so I guess that's not something that he should take as a personal criticism.
I do suspect that maybe he's slightly hyped parts of the book, but then again, there seem to be hordes of mainstream physics and math guys regularly committing worse offences to try to get publicity for their research, too. I mean, every fortnight New Scientist and the news agencies seem to be carrying some new claim about someone's research being about to discover “the key to the universe” or somesuch, and
those are all mainstream guys, working on the inside. So maybe the accusation that one could level at Witt is that in publicising his book, he
might be behaving
almost as badly as some mainstream researchers.
=====
The problem that I think Witt's likely to have trouble overcoming is that I thought that the HST had been accumulating photographic evidence that showed galaxies and stars seeming to be younger (on average) with distance, or at least showing some sort of visible orderly evolution over time. In a constant, immortal universe, we'd tend to expect to see the same basic mix at all distances and ages, unless we were somehow in an anomalous evolving "bubble" or fluctuation attached to the larger surface, in which the wider rules were temporarily broken, locally.
But if
that was the case, and there was something anomalous about our own visible region that allowed evolution in its contents, then one way of producing a local change in properties with time within the bubble is to have the bubble changing size, and that brings us back to "Big Bang" models again.