As opposed to beliefs held by a single individual or only a few? Yes, I think it’s a reasonable rule of thumb. As you mentioned "The more testimonies there are that agree on the properties of an object that is known to exist, the more likely it is that such testimonies accurately reflect reality." That doesn’t make the majority opinion right of course. We both acknowledge that too.
Majority opinions are usually
correct? Beth, that's a ridiculous assertion, and one for which you have no evidence - the majority is usually
wrong, as can be demonstrated by the constant evolution of understanding in the sciences - 'the majority' weren't the ones who came up with evolution, or the concept of a round earth, or the heliocentric model of the solar system, or plate techtonics, or genetics, or modern cancer treatment, or the periodic table, or...you see where I'm going with this?
No, but group consensus does shape our society and culture and contributes to our judgment about what is reasonable to believe.
Such as your belief that it is rational to believe irrational beliefs so long as the belief is widespread. It doesn't make your belief any more rational or reasonable to hold. Hell, it's another case of circular reasoning - "The majority believes that a belief is reasonable to hold if the majority believes it. Therefore, a belief is reasonable to hold if the majority believes it."
It’s my personal criteria and it’s not a particularly unusual one. I only brought it up because you pressed me to define my criteria. Now you accuse me of having made it up specifically to define myself as having 'won' the argument. Not true. I don't think of these arguments of having been 'won' or 'lost' but as expeditions into understanding other people's point of view. By that criteria, I always 'win'.
It may not be an unusual one, but it is an erroneous one. That's why I've been asking you to justify it - for Ed's sake,
show me that I'm wrong! Provide something that amounts to a rational argument for your position, or at least ask a question that forces me to evaluate my beliefs! I'm here, practically begging you to find a way to rip my argument to shreds because that way I get to learn something, and it forces me to think - but all you can do is provide a plethora of logical fallacies and fire them at me so fast you don't think I'll notice.
I'm confident in my arguments, Beth. But I'm not so confident that I don't think they can be refined or that a specific part may be faulty. You, unfortunately, seem either entirely unable or unwilling to engage in any type of real debate that might highlight any flaw, probably because that would require you to acknowledge the chinks (gaping holes) in your own suit of armour. It's a shame for everyone involved.
I disagree. How does fit the criteria I provided?
The Chupacabra is a widespread belief in Mexico, a country with the fifth largest population in the world. If that doesn't qualify, then what exactly
is the tipping point for something to be a widely held belief? Is there an actual numerical value, or is it an arbitrary decision that you alone can make?
Yes it is. I said “I don’t know” . What part of “I don’t know” don’t you understand? Am I required to have a firm opinion on every weird belief you can come up with? And if I don't, I'll be accused of avoiding the question? Seems like a lose/lose proposition for me, designed, as you accused me of doing, so that you can define yourself as having 'won' the point.
All very diabolical in your mind. But "I don't know" is not a valid answer - the whole point of this was to evaluate what is and isn't reasonable to believe by your own definition of 'reasonable'. If you are unable to fit something into the criteria, it means that there is something wrong with your definition.
Now, the problem as I see it is that by your criteria the Chupacabra
is a reasonable belief to hold. Using my criteria I would say that it isn't a reasonable belief to hold. And I think you agree with me on this one - you don't really think that the Chupacabra is a reasonable belief to hold. But if you admit that, then you are admitting that your criteria for determining what is a 'reasonable belief' is flawed in a rather major way. So instead you say, "I don't know," in a bid to withhold comment.
Guess what - I'm not buying it. So once again,
by your criteria of what is a reasonable belief to hold, is it reasonable to believe in the Chupacabra?
It's a yes or no question.
Hmmm. I give an answer. You don’t like it. Therefore my answer is wrong and/or I’m avoiding the question. This is a debate style I’m becoming familiar with.
I'm sure you're familiar with it, you engage in it non-stop. Of course, that's not what is going on here - the simple fact is that I asked a question, and you answered a different question. If you don't agree with my evaluation, feel free to post the question and answer side by side, and then explain how the answer in
any way answers the question.
It’s nice to know that it’s not just religious questions you are so certain about your viewpoint being right and others completely wrong. The question of whether such things as ‘justice’ and ‘numbers’ exist outside of human minds is on open one – much like the question of whether god exists. Can you honestly not conceive that other intelligent rational humans have spent considerable time and effort and though on such matters and arrived at different conclusions? Do you consider them all irrational? Uncritical thinkers? Believing only due to blind faith? I don't. I don't know the answers to those questions, nor do I claim to. What I do know is that despite much thought and effort, no one else has answered them definitely either.
The above is called 'rhetoric'. It is not called 'an argument'. If you want to provide an argument and some evidence, that's fine. I suggest you start with an explanation of how justice could exist in a world without intelligent life.
Ad hom does not advance your argument. Do you think I’m a second grader? As for automated contradictions, your posts are full of them. Do you think declaring your opinion is the only right one and that all others are not only wrong but that people who believe other than you do are irrational uncritical thinkers helps you come across as a knowledgable adult?
Oh really? Kindly point out to me a single example of where I have contradicted your position without justification. It doesn't count if you provide me with an example where you've deliberately cut out the argument that followed my position, as I caught you doing earlier.
Really? Do you consider it irrational and unreasonable to expect a jury to render a verdict when that is the only type of evidence available.
I find it highly disturbing that you think a jury should come to a guilty verdict on the basis of such flimsy testimony!
I want you to pay special attention to the second link, page 51:
Convicting the Innocent said:
The single most important factor leading to wrongful convictions is eyewitness misidentification.[222]
I was responding to your claim that it wasn’t data.
Yes, and it's still not data. The world does not conform to your wishes.
I can’t know that. Likewise, no pollster who asks someone how they voted can be certain that no one in their sample is lying. Still, it’s data and it seems that, for the most part, anecdotal evidence systematically gathered and analyzed can provide us with insights.
What insights can we get from anecdotes? As I've already pointed out to you, anecdotes are useless in this situation (and any similar situation)
regardless of whether god exists or not! God could exist, and the anecdotes would
still be worthless - do you understand why that is? Because I gave an explanation a few posts ago!
If you can't control the sample, you are in the same situation of a person sitting in the jury box. You listen, you evaluate the different witnesses for how credible you think they are, and you make the best decision you can based on the evidence you have available. Is it perfect? No. Might you be wrong? Yes. Is it unreasonable to come to a conclusion anyway? I don't think so. A person merely needs to keep in mind that their conclusion, whatever it is, might well be wrong.
See above for my response to your jury question - obviously you thought I would answer differently, or else you wouldn't be using the same argument again. It actually makes me feel a little bit ill that you think a person should go to jail solely on the basis of eyewitness testimony - such unreliable evidence would mean that more often than not you would be sending an innocent person to prison. The only reasonable verdict to reach when faced with eyewitness testimony and nothing else would be 'not guilty' - there is no possible way that reasonable doubt can be proven on such unreliable evidence.
As for the possibility of being wrong - I know that my conclusions may be wrong. But I'm not going to alter my conclusion unless there is a reason to do so, such as new evidence. Don't play the arrogant card with me unless you've got an evidence card to play next to it.
You are making a subjective evaluation of anecdotal evidence again. You can consider it useless if you want, but I don’t think it is reasonable to expect everyone else to feel the same way about such evidence.
Once again, this is
not a subjective evaluation. Stop calling it one. If you think that repeating an incorrect claim will magically make it correct, you're wrong. Once again, from an earlier thread, the explanation that you must have missed as to
why anecdotal evidence is useless in cases such as these. Try to pay attention this time:
Mobyseven said:
The question we were trying to answer was, "Does god exist?"
The evidence you produced was anecdotal testimony by people who claim to have experienced god.
If god doesn't exist, these people have trouble separating fantasy from reality.
If god does exist, it doesn't speak to the actual experiences these people had or claim to have had - while it means that it is possible that they experienced god, it is also possible that they are delusional, or that they have misinterpreted the experience, or even (shock!) that they are lying.
Because of this, the anecdotal evidence is worthless.
Note that the above is
not a subjective analysis. Stop claiming that it is.
And your evidence for this interpretation is?
Long term systematic observation of the behaviour of parties who are losing debates. While the sample group mainly included members of the same family, this researcher cannot think of a reason as to why the results would not apply to the general population.
That's a rationalization that sounds surprisingly similar to what theistic skeptics say about their belief in god.
Er...no it doesn't. For example, I just said that I
don't believe in free will, and theists say that they
do believe in god.
See how they're pretty much the exact opposite, and not at all similar?
Not particularly. I brought it up as an example of a belief that many skeptics hold without strong evidence. Why do you think it reasonable for a skeptics to believe in free will but not in god? Seems to me that the evidence for both is quite similar - there is only testimonial and subjective personal experience that either exist.
Well, seeing as how I
didn't say that I think it's reasonable for skeptics to believe in free will, I'd have to say that you're pulling nonsense from your nether regions. I'm also going to have to ask you to stop putting words in my mouth that I haven't said.
I’m sorry, but I’m out of time again. Besides, my posts are getting way too long.
I think at this point, we are simply going round and round over the same points. I don't agree with your arguments, you don't agree with mine. This thread has over a 1,000 posts. I think it may be time for me to move on to a different thread. It's been nice talking with you.
You're right, we are going round and round the same points - primarily because every time I point out the flaws in your argument you repeat the argument as though it never happened. I want to make it perfectly clear that I don't agree with your arguments because they are hopelessly flawed, and that this is not a matter of opinion, it is something that anyone with the most basic understanding of logic or reasoning can identify for themselves.
And don't give me that patronising 'polite' tone. If you want to show manners you can do so by not deliberately ignoring large sections of my posts and setting up strawman arguments, not by tagging a faux polite greeting onto the end of your post. Capisci?