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What evidence is there for evolution being non-random?

BTW, articulett, you might notice that I respond to your posts line-by-line; that you don't respond to mine in the same way means to me that you ignored the parts you didn't like. That is, you ignored the parts you didn't have a response to. So if you don't have a response, how come you keep claiming you're "right?"
 
I'm not claiming to be right and yes, Jimbob, I understand how ruggedness in regards to environments hones the direction of selection.

I am saying what I have been saying all along--if your definition of random means that this thread is evolving randomly--then everything evolves randomly per that same definition. Because such a definition causes creationist confusion, the way most scientists explain evolution is to distinguish the relative randomness of mutation form the selective forces that shape the species--even when they are not talking to 6 year olds...but to other scientists.

It's a semantics argument. The article is very clear as to what is meant by "not random" and "determined". I share their definitions and their conclusions and so does PNAS. So far, I've seen no dissenting opinion to the article. Evolution is the same no matter what words you use. I prefer the way it is used in the article quoted, and it seems that the vast majority of people agree. I have yet to see a paper that says evolution IS random or "natural selection IS random". Sure, it involves probabilities--but so does a loaded die. In fact, almost all scientists will point out that mutations aren't even truly random rather than say selection is not "non-random" as mijo claims.

Mijo claimed that there is not enough information to say whether evolution is random or not. There seems to be enough information to conclude that most scientists think it is misleading and ambiguous to describe evolution as random and that it's best to describe it as a two part system--one part fairly random, one part much less so--some might even say "not random"--they might even publish that in a peer reviewed article as mijo asked for --within days of his asking the question. Of course no answer will satisfy some people even if it is exactly what they asked for. I mean, what better answer could there be? What evidence would you guys accept to conclude that natural selection is "not random"? And if no evidence would do--then it's a faith based claim. It's like claiming "god is isness" and then complaining when an atheist says he doesn't believe in god by saying, "how can you not believe in isness"?

There is no right or wrong, guys. Or if there is--take it up with the National Academy of Sciences who printed that paper. I am saying what they are saying, and I am defining the bolded words the same way.

There are lots of definitions of random that could lead one to conclude that evolution is random. Most biologist think that such a statement plays into the creationist canard and leaves out the real miracle worker--natural selection. Natural selection is what makes things look "designed" though they are not. As talk origins said, those who claim evolution is random, tend to be people who don't understand natural selection.

Who cares if I think it's ambiguous to describe evolution as a random process? Why not go with the scientists. Do any of them say evolution is a random process? Do any of them say natural selection is a random process? Sure there are aspects of it that can be modeled on probability charts--but all processes have aspects that can be modeled on probability charts.

I've already provided recent peer reviewed evidence where natural selection was described as "not random". I think it's clear that there is nothing in the world I could show any randomite so that they would conclude that PNAS et. al. is being more informative in describing natural selection as "not random" than they are being by claiming it is. Nothing, right? So it's a faith based claim. Yet, if you show me one peer reviewed article that is recent and useful that actually says that evolution is random or natural selection is random then I might see the utility of describing it as such. I understand the probability definition, but it's only useful if you actually give the probabilities, jimbob. Saying, "natural selection can be described by a probability chart" is too vague to be useful.

I don't care what your definitions of random are or your definition of evolution is. Because I understand Dawkins and the PNAS article just fine--and even Kaufmann. I'm not the one wondering why anyone would call natural selection "non-random". I understand the answer to Mijo's OP question. I'm the one using the terms exactly as Dawkins, Talk Origins, the Berkeley site and PNAS is.

Sure schneibster, you replied line by line...but then you said you were "done"--so why should I respond in kind--and you infer so many things that are not supported by the evidence--plus, I like you too much to actually care whether you think it's meaningful to call evolution random. (And I hear we are competing with each other in the language awards thread this month.) Besides, I think there is tons of stuff I said that you completely ignored or twisted like the Kaufmann-Behe thing or saying that I was bent on saying "evolution is not random" with partial cut and paste quotes or that I didn't understand the importance of randomness despite multiple posts showing that to the extreme. I don't understand half of what you claim--not the petard thing or whether you actually "get" natural selection. And I DO understand the scientific articles. None of them are calling evolution random. And the randomites don't even seem to understand each other. I have no idea what you want from me or are trying to get me to say or how to make you happy.

You are saying this, right... evolution is random per your definition of random which you believe to be the true definition of random that all scientists are using.

If you are using the same definition as all scientists, then natural selection is the "not random" part of evolution per a very recent science article in a peer reviewed science magazine. What have you offered that even comes close? You can't just quote an article that shows probability distributions and say that it proves evolution is random, you know. And you can't be claiming to use the real definition when PNAS is defining random and "not random" differently than you.

I am not claiming anything that the PNAS article is not also claiming. I am well aware that it's a semantic issue. I don't care about definitions as much as I care that information about natural selection is conveyed. If you think you and mijo are doing that--excellent. Kaufmann is doing that--but he isn't calling natural selection random. Nor was the article where you claimed I was hoisted by my petard. You just seem to be seeing what you want to see.

Random components do not a random process make...not for me anyhow, unless you have peer reviewed evidence that actually claims otherwise. If this was the case, then Algebra could be termed a random process.
 
Just because something is red and blue close up, does not mean that it's not purple far away.

And just because things contain randomness (all objects have atoms with random electron spins), doesn't mean it makes sense to call the things themselves random. You can, of course. I don't.
 
Meteors and thorns, perhaps but apparently not lightning...

FitnessWP
As another example we may mention the definition of fitness given by Maynard Smith in the following way: ”Fitness is a property, not of an individual, but of a class of individuals – for example homozygous for allele A at a particular locus. Thus the phrase ’expected number of offspring’ means the average number, not the number produced by some one individual. If the first human infant with a gene for levitation were struck by lightning in its pram, this would not prove the new genotype to have low fitness, but only that the particular child was unlucky.”

As lucky as genes for levitation might be, they just don't confer a survival benefit when the pram you are riding in, is struck by lightening. Bummer. And as stated before--that is why "fitness" is only a reference to how many times an organism gets its genome copied...not what we imagine to be the "most fit". The only way two organisms can be equally fit is if they have the identical number of descendants. This makes random events like lightening just another part of the culling process.
 
And whilst we are quibbling, Chickens did not evolve from T-Rex.


Jim

Then after you write to PNAS to quibble with their definitions, you might want to write to live science: http://www.livescience.com/animals/070412_dino_tissues.html

Dinosaur-bird link

A comparison by Asara's team of the amino-acid sequence from the T. rex collagen to a database of existing sequences from modern species showed it shared a remarkable similarity to that of chickens. Amino acids are the molecular building blocks of proteins; there are 20 of them used by organisms to build proteins, and their precise order is determined by instructions found in DNA.

"I'm grateful that he was able to get the [amino acid] sequences out. That's the Holy Grail," Schweitzer told LiveScience.

This finding supports the idea that chickens and T. rex share an evolutionary link and bolsters previous research showing that birds evolved from dinosaurs and that birds are living dinosaurs.


ETA

I guess they (T-rex and chickens) could have a common ancestor back a little further in time...is that what you were saying?
 
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Just because something is red and blue close up, does not mean that it's not purple far away.

And just because things contain randomness (all objects have atoms with random electron spins), doesn't mean it makes sense to call the things themselves random. You can, of course. I don't.

And the PLOS One paper you quote wasn't written by Kauffman, Schneibster. Moreover, the researchers were doing artificial selection for infectivity-- Rather than pick the most infective, every time--they used weak or strong algorithms to see how that influences the changes over time. It's a way we can see evolution in vivo. I don't know how you figure that the selection process was random just because it used randomness to design a program that gave a weak or strong selective pressure. This would be like in the nozzle example they decided to only keep every other nozzle that out performed the parent and not every one to slow the selective pressure...

I don't know, Schneibster--both you and Mijo quote papers and people that you don't even seem to understand.
 
Your choice of article, and particularly of the section of the article chosen, is unfortunate. Allow me to reproduce the section that immediately precedes your quote. Note please the title of the section: "Chance and Necessity: Natural Selection as a Creative Process"

The fossil record shows that life has evolved in a haphazard fashion. The radiations of some groups of organisms, the numerical and territorial expansions of other groups, the replacement of some kinds of organisms by other kinds, the occasional but irregular occurrence of trends toward increased size or other sorts of change, and the ever-present extinctions are best explained by natural selection of organisms subject to the vagaries of genetic mutation, environmental challenge, and past history. The scientific account of these events does not necessitate recourse to a preordained plan, whether imprinted from the beginning or through successive interventions by an omniscient and almighty Designer. Biological evolution differs from a painting or an artifact in that it is not the outcome of preconceived design. The design of organisms is not intelligent but imperfect and, at times, outright dysfunctional.

Natural selection accounts for the "design" of organisms because adaptive variations tend to increase the probability of survival and reproduction of their carriers at the expense of maladaptive, or less adaptive, variations. The arguments of intelligent design proponents that state the incredible improbability of chance events, such as mutation, to account for the adaptations of organisms are irrelevant because evolution is not governed by random mutations.

I like my quote better than yours. It says, selection is random, and mutation is random.

BTW, wherever it was published, that is NOT the words of the NAS. It is the words of the writer. And IMO, that writer makes precisely the same mistake you are making, in the very next sentence: "evolution is not random." So quit trying to tell me that I'm disagreeing with the NAS; I'm not. I'm disagreeing with a position, which I think is political, and disruptive to both clear communication and good teaching practice. I think that position is a clear defeat by the anti-scientific cretinists; I think you are surrendering to them. I disapprove. Deal with it.
 
And the PLOS One paper you quote wasn't written by Kauffman, Schneibster.
You imply I said it was. That wasn't what I said at all, which you'd know if you'd read what I said. You didn't, and this is the proof of it. Either that, or you're lying about what I said, which considering other things you've done on this thread, is not out of the question.

You also claimed you had not said, "evolution is not random," and I showed you had said it at least six times, in at least four posts.

You make a lot of claims that aren't true, articulett, and when someone catches you making one, you don't respond. That's not honest. I have little interest in arguing with someone who is not honest. So change your ways or enter my ignore list. Your choice.
 
Schneibster,

You may do as you wish. I think YOU have been the dishonest one. ...or maybe you are having a different conversation. And I'm sticking with the PNAS article; It is saying what I am saying, and I find nothing unfortunate about it. It makes much more sense to me than you or mijo do, as does Dawkins. And even the Plos paper (which was about artificial selection via a randomizer to mimic natural selection) makes more sense to me. So, though you may be mad at me for some reason that you seem to have invented in your head, at least I understand the scientists speaking on the subject even if I can't make a lick of sense out of what you or mijo are saying and it seems too vague to ever be a useful description or model.

Of course, I will keep my eye open and see if there are any peer reviewed science papers that say "evolution is random" or "natural selection is random" or if PNAS publishes any letters of complaint regarding the article I quoted from regarding their calling natural selection "not random".

So, I guess NO evidence would ever be enough for you or mijo to say natural selection is better described as "non-random" than random, right? How silly of me to waste my time in thinking that there was. And by the way, I agree with all the stuff you bolded too. I am not arguing against anything in that article...just reiterating it. And it makes quite an effort to distinguish the relative randomness of mutation from random components of selection. In fact, it even says natural selection is "not random" even though in your mind, it says natural selection IS random. It also says that evolution is NOT governed by random mutations, rather it is governed by natural selection which it goes out its way to call "NOT RANDOM". But, if it makes you happy, please note, I agree with everything in that article...including what you bolded. I never said otherwise. And I don't find it unfortunate in any way. So, we agree so long as we both agree that the above article is describing evolution with clarity.

And it was published in NAS periodical--subject to peer review by NAS scientists. It even won an award. So address your complaints about the errors you think the writer is making to the NAS. I think the author is quite clear.


(I must remember to ask people up front what would convince them, and if the answer is "nothing" or vague or ignored--I can save myself a lot of time. Fortunately, my time was not wasted here; I got 3 pms from people thanking me for helping them understand natural selection...and that is something I hope everybody gets a chance to really understand no matter what words convey the idea to them.)
 
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BTW, wherever it was published, that is NOT the words of the NAS. It is the words of the writer. And IMO, that writer makes precisely the same mistake you are making, in the very next sentence: "evolution is not random."

No...the author says that NATURAL SELECTION is not random. Evolution is a 2 part process, remember?

And it was Published by the NAS--peer reviewed by the NAS. Whether it's political or incorrect per you or whether you are peeved is irrelevant. The best explanation will evolve according to the answer scientists find the most useful and most clear. And it sure doesn't seem to be yours.

So, to quote you, "deal with it".

And I stand by everything I've said. I have NOT been dishonest, and if it helps you keep your blood pressure down, I suggest that you DO put me on ignore. Truly, it is not a problem for me. I encourage everyone who doesn't want to read my words to put me on ignore. I have better uses for my time then trying to answer questions that people did not want answered in the first place. My goal is to share information --not win some imaginary battle that is taking place in peoples' minds.

http://www.wired.com/culture/lifestyle/commentary/alttext/2007/06/alttext_0620
Pugilistic Discussion Syndrome

In this curious form of aphasia, the subject is unable to distinguish between a discussion and a contest. The subject approaches any online forum as a sort of playing field, and attempts to "win" the discussion by any means necessary. The rules of the imaginary contest are apparently clear to the individual as he or she will often point out when others break them, but when asked to outline these rules the individual is reluctant, perhaps not wishing to confer an "advantage" on any "opponents." The conditions for winning are similarly difficult to pin down, although in some cases the individual will declare himself the winner of a discussion that, to all others, appears to be ongoing.
 
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Ugh... and it's arguments like this that make scientists need to bend over backwards in explaining natural selection in the clearest way possible:

We will leave theology to the Saints, but one more try. You can not see gravity, radiation, or various microbes that affect the air, but I know you believe in them. You believe without seeing. You believe others who tell you and you are able to reason, or discern, the effects of same in the world. Seems to me you are showing faith in saints, er, rather, experts, who explain things to you and you believe. Secular Humanism has it’s “saints”, the culture calls them “experts”. Another attempt. Take off your watch. Disassemble the band from the face of the watch. Put the watch-face and the band in an empty shoe box. Cover the shoe box with a lid. Keep shaking the shoe box till an “evolution”, “a big bang”, or “natural selection” kicks in and your watch, in only two pieces, “randomly” reassembles itself. Post again when this atheistic miracle happens. After 20 or 30 years you might allow reason to overcome your pride and admit if it takes so long for order to be brought to this watch, how much more control, design, will, and power it must take to create, install, and maintain order in life cycle of a bumble-bee, to say nothing of the universe…


http://www.intellectualconservative.com/2006/07/05/down-with-the-independent-voter/

Blame them, not me, if you think Scientists are using words wrong. We have to deal with crap in biology that no other scientists have to deal with. And this will drive the evolution of explanation whether people like it or not.
 
That's it, articulett:

Just keep repeating: "Natural selection is non-random; this I know, 'cause Richard Dawkins tells me so.":rolleyes: :rolleyes: :rolleyes: :rolleyes: :rolleyes:
 
Oh, and once again--having random components does not make an entire process random. If that was the case than Algebra would be random and algorithms. I mean, you could call them that, but it's about as uninformative as calling evolution random when "random" is only half the equation--and not even true randomness at that

This does not follow. Algebra's description af a random process is not "random", the random process is.

I'm not claiming to be right and yes, Jimbob, I understand how ruggedness in regards to environments hones the direction of selection.

I am saying what I have been saying all along--if your definition of random means that this thread is evolving randomly--then everything evolves randomly per that same definition. Because such a definition causes creationist confusion, the way most scientists explain evolution is to distinguish the relative randomness of mutation form the selective forces that shape the species--even when they are not talking to 6 year olds...but to other scientists.
This thread is not evolving, it might be considered to develop, but beyond two hours after each post there is no selection. (except by moderators if one of us goes postal...)

Evolution requires selection.
It's a semantics argument. The article is very clear as to what is meant by "not random" and "determined". I share their definitions and their conclusions and so does PNAS. So far, I've seen no dissenting opinion to the article. Evolution is the same no matter what words you use. I prefer the way it is used in the article quoted, and it seems that the vast majority of people agree. I have yet to see a paper that says evolution IS random or "natural selection IS random". Sure, it involves probabilities--but so does a loaded die. In fact, almost all scientists will point out that mutations aren't even truly random rather than say selection is not "non-random" as mijo claims.
The majority of people, when talking colloquially, and without precision. As soon as a technical discussion starts, they start using the precise, technically agreed terms, as used by all numerate disciplines. There are situations where different disciplines have different definitions for similar terms, but not this.

They often use "stochastic", or "probabilistic", to avoid some of these pointless semantic knots, but "random" is a synonym.
[/QUOTE]


Mijo claimed that there is not enough information to say whether evolution is random or not. There seems to be enough information to conclude that most scientists think it is misleading and ambiguous to describe evolution as random and that it's best to describe it as a two part system--one part fairly random, one part much less so--some might even say "not random"--they might even publish that in a peer reviewed article as mijo asked for --within days of his asking the question. Of course no answer will satisfy some people even if it is exactly what they asked for. I mean, what better answer could there be? What evidence would you guys accept to conclude that natural selection is "not random"? And if no evidence would do--then it's a faith based claim. It's like claiming "god is isness" and then complaining when an atheist says he doesn't believe in god by saying, "how can you not believe in isness"?
Schneibester has shown papers showing that randomness is important for selection.
There is no right or wrong, guys. Or if there is--take it up with the National Academy of Sciences who printed that paper. I am saying what they are saying, and I am defining the bolded words the same way.

There are lots of definitions of random that could lead one to conclude that evolution is random. Most biologist think that such a statement plays into the creationist canard and leaves out the real miracle worker--natural selection. Natural selection is what makes things look "designed" though they are not. As talk origins said, those who claim evolution is random, tend to be people who don't understand natural selection.
And I say that you don't understand how random is used in every numerate field.

Do you really think it is helpful to talk about "the evolution of the fighter aircraft in WWII"?

That is what makes me suspect your understanding of evolution..

I suppose it is better than talking about "the evolution of this thread" as at least there was selection of designs, but the the selection was nonrandom, and not probabilistic. And the designs were "designed". A very poor analogy for evolution

Who cares if I think it's ambiguous to describe evolution as a random process? Why not go with the scientists. Do any of them say evolution is a random process? Do any of them say natural selection is a random process? Sure there are aspects of it that can be modeled on probability charts--but all processes have aspects that can be modeled on probability charts.
They say it is stochastic or probabilistic, which is what I have been saying.

Over the history of the Earth it is random, because the environment changes randomly. And I defy you to find any non-religious scientist to claim otherwise. (Some might say pseudorandom, but I doubt it).
I've already provided recent peer reviewed evidence where natural selection was described as "not random". I think it's clear that there is nothing in the world I could show any randomite so that they would conclude that PNAS et. al. is being more informative in describing natural selection as "not random" than they are being by claiming it is. Nothing, right? So it's a faith based claim. Yet, if you show me one peer reviewed article that is recent and useful that actually says that evolution is random or natural selection is random then I might see the utility of describing it as such. I understand the probability definition, but it's only useful if you actually give the probabilities, jimbob. Saying, "natural selection can be described by a probability chart" is too vague to be useful.

I don't care what your definitions of random are or your definition of evolution is. Because I understand Dawkins and the PNAS article just fine--and even Kaufmann. I'm not the one wondering why anyone would call natural selection "non-random". I understand the answer to Mijo's OP question. I'm the one using the terms exactly as Dawkins, Talk Origins, the Berkeley site and PNAS is.
But as soon as they start talking about selection they talk about probabilities. They talk about "not random and haphazard". I would say they would e clearer if they said simply "not haphazard".

Sure schneibster, you replied line by line...but then you said you were "done"--so why should I respond in kind--and you infer so many things that are not supported by the evidence--plus, I like you too much to actually care whether you think it's meaningful to call evolution random. (And I hear we are competing with each other in the language awards thread this month.) Besides, I think there is tons of stuff I said that you completely ignored or twisted like the Kaufmann-Behe thing or saying that I was bent on saying "evolution is not random" with partial cut and paste quotes or that I didn't understand the importance of randomness despite multiple posts showing that to the extreme. I don't understand half of what you claim--not the petard thing or whether you actually "get" natural selection. And I DO understand the scientific articles. None of them are calling evolution random. And the randomites don't even seem to understand each other. I have no idea what you want from me or are trying to get me to say or how to make you happy.
"And the randomites don't even seem to understand each other. "

How many times do I have to say that I accept Schneibester's definition of random, as being essentially the same as mine, his post uses different words because we have not corresponded to outside this thread about this subject. But it is my contention that Schneibester is saying the same as me, and that I understand Schneibester's posts.

Schneibester Please could you confirm or refute my assertion that my definition of random is essentially the same as yours.

Anyone else?

You are saying this, right... evolution is random per your definition of random which you believe to be the true definition of random that all scientists are using.

If you are using the same definition as all scientists, then natural selection is the "not random" part of evolution per a very recent science article in a peer reviewed science magazine. What have you offered that even comes close? You can't just quote an article that shows probability distributions and say that it proves evolution is random, you know. And you can't be claiming to use the real definition when PNAS is defining random and "not random" differently than you.


The point about a probability distribution is that it describes the distribution of the probability (aka chance) of a particular outcome. This is axiomatically random.



I am not claiming anything that the PNAS article is not also claiming. I am well aware that it's a semantic issue. I don't care about definitions as much as I care that information about natural selection is conveyed. If you think you and mijo are doing that--excellent. Kaufmann is doing that--but he isn't calling natural selection random. Nor was the article where you claimed I was hoisted by my petard. You just seem to be seeing what you want to see.

Random components do not a random process make...not for me anyhow, unless you have peer reviewed evidence that actually claims otherwise. If this was the case, then Algebra could be termed a random process.

"Algebra could be termed a random process"

No, that is like saying that this sentance is random, because it contains the word "random".
 
Then after you write to PNAS to quibble with their definitions, you might want to write to live science: http://www.livescience.com/animals/070412_dino_tissues.html

Dinosaur-bird link

A comparison by Asara's team of the amino-acid sequence from the T. rex collagen to a database of existing sequences from modern species showed it shared a remarkable similarity to that of chickens. Amino acids are the molecular building blocks of proteins; there are 20 of them used by organisms to build proteins, and their precise order is determined by instructions found in DNA.

"I'm grateful that he was able to get the [amino acid] sequences out. That's the Holy Grail," Schweitzer told LiveScience.

This finding supports the idea that chickens and T. rex share an evolutionary link and bolsters previous research showing that birds evolved from dinosaurs and that birds are living dinosaurs.


ETA

I guess they (T-rex and chickens) could have a common ancestor back a little further in time...is that what you were saying?

Yes, you were the person saying that everyone else was being vague.

They shared a common ancestor. And probably are more closly related to each other than to lizards.


I generally like you and respect your views, but I do think you are getting hung up on a single creationist's verbal trap, which is blinding you to the full implications of what you are positing.

And why it is vague.

Devil's Advocate: "
I didn't understand evolution and thought it was incompatible with genesis, but I now see the error of my ways.

Some eloquent argument has convinced me that evolution is not random, but predestined, and that farmers selectively breeding animals is the same as evolution, so God could have made us that way. He could work within nature, and didn't need a supernatural intervention, because as evolution is nonrandom, humanity was inevitible, and god would have known this. "Genesis is actually quite accurate, the bible just meant ages, and not days"


I have since found more support for my case.

Fighters also evolved in WWII, I know these had designers, gramps used to work at Lockheed, on the P-38.


If these had designers, and evolved, then it is no different from saying that we had a designer and evolved.
"

"Genesis is actually quite accurate, the bible just meant ages, and not days"

That is a paraphrase of my RE teacher at school. Maybe here in England the Fundies are less prominent, but there are still liberal anglicans, who probably go for the Creator lighting the blue touchpaper and retiring. That possibly accounts for our different epmphasis.

I still think it is important to show what evolution is not, so highlight the differences, as well as the similarities.

Artificial selection shows how effective mutations can be, but the selective pressure is far stronger than in natural selection, and indeed is so strong as to be nonrandom. The random selection that remains (prize bull dying etc.) is really modulation by a weakened natural selection.

Arguing that anything with a predefined gioal evolves opens you wide to the sort of claims opf the slightly more subtle ID proponents.

With a random environment, the deity would also have to control behaviour, as this affects the environment; this deity would thus have to overide "free will", and you can't sin unless you have free will.

Devil's Advocate: "yes but they are only animals" You haven't got a hope of a reasoned discussion there.

Show the creationists that what they think is meant by random, isn't what it means in science, and you have a firm foundation.

Therefore whosoever heareth these sayings of mine, and doeth them, I will liken him unto a wise man, which built his house upon a rock:
:boxedin:

Saying that natural selection is probabilistic, with a discusssion what that implies (vastly preferential reproduction for the least worst) and it is true, and simple.

Saying it is determined is simplistic, and could give clever ID proponents opportunities for mischief.

Devil's Advocate: "
Selection is not random, so it was destiny that the antellope tripped over that wire and was caught by the lion?

Or was it less fit than another?

Or does the evilitionist's definition of fitness mean so little as to be meaningless?

"

If the argument was, "selection is probabilistic", then the antelope was unlucky. As are most organisms.

Malthus, Game theory, and mendelian genetics, that is pretty much all that is needed at this level of discussion.

Jim
 
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Selection is not random, so it was destiny that the antellope tripped over that wire and was caught by the lion?

Or was it less fit than another?

Or does the evilitionist's definition of fitness mean so little as to be meaningless?

One more time:

Your value systems for fitness are IRRELEVANT.

Survival is determined. Genetic change is not.
 
One more time:

Your value systems for fitness are IRRELEVANT.

Survival is determined. Genetic change is not.

And One more time we are not trying to define fitness in a way that is relevant to our value systems. You might want to read the Wikipedia article on fitness before you declare it a completely worthless measure.
 
You might want to understand the difference between modelling the game and playing it.
 
That's it, articulett:

Just keep repeating: "Natural selection is non-random; this I know, 'cause Richard Dawkins tells me so.":rolleyes: :rolleyes: :rolleyes: :rolleyes: :rolleyes:

No, silly. Natural selection is what it is no matter what words you use. When biologists call "natural selection" NOT random, it is because of the creationist canard. Other scientists do not seem to have a problem with this as far as I can tell. And I don't see any scientists of any sort using your definition of random nor calling natural selection random nor calling evolution a random process. Not, because it's really wrong--it's just so ambiguous that it's useless and so close to the creationist line of reasoning.

If your goal was to understand evolutionists using the term "not random" to define natural selection--you have been given all the evidence you need. If your goal is to call them wrong, take it up with them. To me, they are much clearer than you, and from what I can tell the majority of scientists agree.

Having random components does not make the whole process random. Every process as something random about it, after all.
 
Jim Bob--
I don't completely disagree, you just sound hopelessly vague to me. The randomness is not what drives evolution--it's a necessary component--but it's selection that drives the changes we see...it's this algorithm: "which chain of info. produces an organism that copies the info. into the most successful replicators?". I just think you keep getting lost in the randomness in the environment that affects selection and then calling selection random.

But we all trust that the best explanation will evolve based on whatever conveys the information the best in whatever environment it finds itself in.

And, as for the evolution of this thread...yes there is "selection"--all the words that appear are "selected"--they are responses to what came before. It is irrelevant that people could have responded better but never read this post or were struck by lightening or had a computer virus...only what IS selected matters in evolution... in the evolution of this thread and in the evolution of life and in artificial selection and the evolution of the nozzle. What could have been cannot drive the changes in phenotype. Selection is entirely determined by what survives successive elimination rounds in the pool of ever present and ever changing randomness.

What I think is best or fittest regarding definitions of evolution is irrelevant to what IS selected...what IS used...what scientists DO say. The explanations will necessarily gravitate towards the clearest. And I think it's pretty clear what works best at conveying the information to the most people. And I just don't see anybody finding your method or mijos method or schneibsters method useful. Maybe among some physicicst or statisticians. But to me it just seems like you are trying to extrapolate randomness in the environment into a definition of natural selection so that you can sum up evolution as random.

Cyborg communicates the basic principle so much clearer...and uses so few words. Your definitions are heavy with technicalities, noise, hypotheticals and vagary and presume to understand creationist obfuscation without conveying any actual understanding of such.

In any case, I think we can all agree--that compared to the relative randomness of mutation, selection is far less random and it is determined by what has come about so far. Do you agree with that?

Any definition of evolution that doesn't convey that is just going to fritter about in creationist circles and not be useful in science. It is the second part that biologists refer to as "not random" and it is a method that evolved from creationist obfuscation. Biologists can and do use different words to convey the same ideas--but when they use that term (not random) they are talking about (and reacting to) "random" as creationists use it in the many articles I've clipped from.

Until you have played the game biologists have had to play with these people, you haven't the slightest clue about the problem nor is your opinion on the subject likely to matter to anyone but you.
 
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