edge
If you erroneously believe in God, you lose nothing (assuming that death is the absolute end), whereas if you correctly believe in God, you gain everything (eternal bliss). But if you correctly disbelieve in God, you gain nothing (death ends all), whereas if you erroneously disbelieve in God, you lose everything (eternal damnation).
Let’s play a game of "Truth Or Heresy"
From
Evildave at
Darwinawards (assuming the direct link still works)
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It's all according to how you partition the numbers, really.
Given the breakdown of the odds, from the agnostic POV ("I dunno", or "things proposed so far about deities are probably wrong"), you're covering a value so nearly 100% that it may as well be 100%, because the one "true" answer and description of a deity (or deities, or lack of deity) and its (or their, or nobody's) real wishes (if it/they even know them themself/(themselves), and exist as a real entity to have them) represents one infinitely small possibility we have no way of verifying.
The thing is, that god is not more provable or real than Invisible Pink Unicorns (IPUs), Purple Dinosaurs (PDs), AquaMan (AM), Little Green Men (LGM), Miscellaneous Faerie Tale Creatures (MFTCs), Demons Pushing Electrons (DPE), or Elementary Evil Particles (EEPs). If you break down the odds the "fair" way, there is so little chance that anything said or believed about any deity is wrong that you may as well believe the Tooth Fairy (TF) had an affair with Santa Claus (SC), and an invisible pixy (IP) was the result.
There is no data to support any of these statement, and there is no data to support that there is an uber-being who made everything (and an uber-uber-being who made it, and an uber-uber-uber-being that made the one who made it, recursing into absurdity as you must when offering a "must have been created, couldn't have just happened" argument).
My favorite way to break it down is:
"Truth Or Heresy"
Start with two pieces of paper.
Leave one blank. It's "Nothing".
Write "God" on the other.
No god: 50%
God: 50%
In the absense of all information (and we have no information), then it's a 50/50 chance you're right when you ask the question this way.
Once you agree that there's a 50/50 chance to begin with, this is your "Core Assumption", so now just keep partitioning the remaining halves of "God" by adding True/False (t/f) conditions to the Core Assumption. More than one god? t/f Wants something from people? t/f Gives a **** about people? t/f Has a gift for people? t/f, etc. Every decision subdivides another assumption by half.
It's not fair, but who really wants fair? Certainly not the religious who see everything as good OR evil, black OR white, "my religion" OR "heresy". With this sort of logical model, subdividing true OR false is absolutely correct. Subdividing in any other way is "moral relativism".
The "right" answer is still only shaving into the 50% possibility of "is a god", and not touching the 50% possibility that there is not, because "false" was a "Core Rejection", and was not subdivided because there was nothing about a negative assertion to subdivide. Unless you enjoy "Strange Loops".
When you can't subdivide "truths" any further, get a very sharp knife and cut out that last tiny bit.
The last speck of paper dust you couldn't write in is for the dogmatic believer.
The partitioned and subdivided page with a hole in it (or the pile of torn pieces if you subdivided by tearing in halves) is for the deist or non-dogmatic believer, who believes there is a god but won't pin it down or subdivide from a given possibility.
The blank "nothing" page is for the atheist.
The agnostic couldn't make up his mind, so he just doesn't get any.
Just point at the other potential microscopically small boxes that "might" be right (subdividing it as necessary), if any of the fickle little questions was answered wrong along the way, and point out you're damned if you're even a little off, by definition, so we're probably all damned, or at least that people are more probably wasting their sundays doing "The Wrong Things".
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