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Loch Ness Monster real?

*Thud*. Parcher, you've got it right. I congratulate you on an excellent post.

I don't know what sort of equipment was purchased (could be camp stoves and fresh horses, for all I know), but I'm certain he's sincere and has not been blowing the money on gambling, women or drugs.

I found this on a blog from a former student:

"Dr. Meldrum was my evolution professor at Idaho State University, and he was interviewed on NPR. The question isn’t whether you believe in Sasquatch-it’s whether the scientific evidence points to the creature’s existence. Dr. Meldrum’s research, as I understood it from the class lectures, related to moldings taken from foot prints and the study of these casts. Dr. Meldrum says the way the foot articulates, or moves during the stride, isn’t consistent with people making fake footprints in the mud."

http://www.optoblog.com/

Good question, isn't it?
 
Yeah, I guess it's a good question. But the whole mid-tarsal break theory is based on the presumption that these tracks are authentic and not a hoax. Meldrum thinks the MTB serves two analytical functions. First it rules out a hoax, and secondly it tells us what Bigfoot feet are like.

Tube (Matt Crowley) showed us that he can create the appearance of a MTB with a crude rigid fake foot.

Back to the money... Meldrum could not have spent very much so far on trail-cams, tents and stoves, could he? Could he have already spent almost $70K? It would be interesting to know the details of the terms of grant/donation, the mission statement and a summary of projected/actual expenditures and activities.
 
Yeah, I guess it's a good question. But the whole mid-tarsal break theory is based on the presumption that these tracks are authentic and not a hoax. Meldrum thinks the MTB serves two analytical functions. First it rules out a hoax, and secondly it tells us what Bigfoot feet are like.

Tube (Matt Crowley) showed us that he can create the appearance of a MTB with a crude rigid fake foot.

Back to the money... Meldrum could not have spent very much so far on trail-cams, tents and stoves, could he? Could he have already spent almost $70K? It would be interesting to know the details of the terms of grant/donation, the mission statement and a summary of projected/actual expenditures and activities.

The midtarsal break is only part of it. You might want to read his book for more detail.

You could e-mail Jeff and ask him about the expenditures; he's approachable. He's also very busy and I find I only get about a 50% rate of reply, but I have gotten replies.

There was an interesting discussion on BFF about trail cams along a 21-mile stretch during a government survey (on wildcat, I think). One poster estimated the cost of the trail cams at $14,000. Kind of gives an idea of what it would take to even lightly cover a research area.
 
Skeptics are stubborn and want to take the discussion elsewhere?

You bet they do. Just read this thread. Half of them don't even know what they are posting about. Nobody, even those with a non scoftical open mind, has ever even claimed there IS such a thing as the LNM in this thread. Those with an open mind posed the question that perhaps there is something else to this legend. The ultra scoftics, not interested in considering the idea, then go off at tangents totally away from the point of this thread.

Well, you keep bringing up dead cats and skepics want to talk about live ones.
Done that too. But I guess if you think you need training to be able to distinguish a moggie from a panther then I can't help you any further.

Love your analogy though. No doubt if somebody shot a sasquatch you'd be screaming "That doesn't count, it's dead!":rolleyes:

I thought you liked proof. You have been given it. It would appear than even proof is still not enough for some.
 
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You bet they do. Just read this thread. Half of them don't even know what they are posting about. Nobody, even those with a non scoftical open mind, has ever even claimed there IS such a thing as the LNM in this thread. Those with an open mind posed the question that perhaps there is something else to this legend. The ultra scoftics, not interested in considering the idea, then go off at tangents totally away from the point of this thread.
You're forgetting the JREF forum convention that when kitty pictures are posted, the thread is toasted. And when blurry kitty pics are posted...


Look out!
 
You keep saying that "anyone" can distinguish between moggy and big cat. The way you put it, you would think these encounters take place at close range. In fact, most examples are at sufficient distance, and far enough away from objects of known size, to make it extremely difficult to understand the context of scale. You would need photo interpretation experts, working with zoological scientists, to even be able to begin pronouncing on any of the photos or videos I have seen. I know you think that the various diagnostic features of big cats mean we can discount domestic breeds, but this is only true at close range and/or where there is a scale present. I'm surprised you can't acknowledge this possibility if you have spent much time observing wildlife. I continue to confuse distant, naked-eye sightings of fox, roe deer, and even domestic cats, especially where a tell-tale movement leads me to ID an animal as something that it turns out (where I'm able to approach closer) definitely not to be. Our eyes play tricks on us, and photographic/film evidence at range and without scale is little more use.

Photo/film evidence asidde, you clearly think that we are underestimating the reliability of eyewitness testimony. I think that you are grossly overestimating it, just as you are the fallibility of human observation, interpretation, and recall skills.

Just as an aside, from a completely different sphere of interest, pilots in the Battle of Britain regularly misidentified enemy aircraft, including those that they got close enough (c100yds) to fire upon and hit. Famously the first "kills" were friendly-fire - the Battle of Barking Creek. How could trained, experienced aviators get within visual range of their own Hurricane fighters, and get their identification so wrong as to actually open fire and kill them? And yet this happens frequently today. Many pilots even recorded kills on a type of German fighter that didn't actually exist!

This is why we say you need better evidence. Not to suppress investigation, not to keep science "for the scientists", and not to pour scorn on the hopes and dreams of others (fun though it may be ;)). Because you need proof to be able to say "big cats are roaming the UK" or "Nessie is actually a some sort of large eel". By all means use your own resources to investigate whatever you please, but just be careful that you don't over-reach your evidence, which (to bring us back on topic) as far as Nessie is concerned, is sadly lacking.

And though I'm admittedly replying re cats here, all of this goes just as well for Nessie, and any other unusual animal sightings you care to think of.
 
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You keep saying that "anyone" can distinguish between moggy and big cat.

No I said you don't need TRAINING to be able to distinguish between a moggy and a panther. I stand by that.

Under no circumstances would I confuse a moggy with a panther.LOL.

The way you put it, you would think these encounters take place at close range.
Some do. There have even been cases where people have been injured.

In fact, most examples are at sufficient distance, and far enough away from objects of known size, to make it extremely difficult to understand the context of scale.
That being the case then moggies would hardly even be seen as they are small. If it's at distance and still prominent enough to initiate surprise and in some cases shock, it's highly unlikely to be a moggy.

You would need photo interpretation experts, working with zoological scientists, to even be able to begin pronouncing on any of the photos or videos I have seen.
Says you. In fact a zoologist did make a pronouncement on the Fen Tiger video. The Fen Tiger is CLEARY not a moggy and you do not need a photo interpretation expert to establish this. This can be established even by the stills. Far too big (have you ever seen a moggy that prominent from such a distance? I haven't) and of different body proportions. Now, you might want to argue about proving what it is, but when it comes to establishing what it isn't (i.e moggy) then all you have to do is use your own eyes. As I said earlier in this thread, anybody who confuses the stills of the Fen Tiger with a moggy clearly needs to brush up on their zoology.

I know you think that the various diagnostic features of big cats mean we can discount domestic breeds, but this is only true at close range and/or where there is a scale present.
Not at all.

I'm surprised you can't acknowledge this possibility if you have spent much time observing wildlife. I continue to confuse distant, naked-eye sightings of fox, roe deer, and even domestic cats, especially where a tell-tale movement leads me to ID an animal as something that it turns out (where I'm able to approach closer) definitely not to be.
That's a shame for you. I would never mistake a moggy for a panther.LOL. It's more credible to accept that at distance perhaps a medium to large sized dog could be mistaken for a panther but a moggy? I cannot see this. The further away you get the less prominent, the less noticeable a moggy becomes.

Our eyes play tricks on us, and photographic/film evidence at range and without scale is little more use.
But there is scale in some pics.

Just as an aside, from a completely different sphere of interest, pilots in the Battle of Britain regularly misidentified enemy aircraft, including those that they got close enough (c100yds) to fire upon and hit. Famously the first "kills" were friendly-fire - the Battle of Barking Creek. How could trained, experienced aviators get within visual range of their own Hurricane fighters, and get their identification so wrong as to actually open fire and kill them? And yet this happens frequently today. Many pilots even recorded kills on a type of German fighter that didn't actually exist!
That's not a good analogy. Those pilots were not mistaking smaller fighters for larger bombers, just mistaking the 'fighter' type. Fighters generally are of around the same size, or at least they were during WW2 so this is not too much of a quandary to get your 'types' mixed up. It happened with armour as well. Many allied accounts wrongly claimed Tiger tank kills when the armour types were most definately Panthers and Panzer IVs etc. Not too disimilar size, but they just got the 'types' mixed up. It's doubtful if a Sdkfz 251 would be mistaken for a King Tiger tank. Even at distance.

This is why we say you need better evidence.
What better evidence do you need than shot and caught examples? How about the puma skull found by a farmer in Devon in 2005?

http://www.britishbigcats.org/

I think what you and other skeptics/scoftics want is proof by way of a bona fide body for EVERY SINGLE sighting. This is quite a ridiculous attitude quite frankly, but to be expected here I suppose LOL. This is scoftic central.
Because you need proof to be able to say "big cats are roaming the UK"
And you don't think there has been that proof so far? Not even the bona fide examples caught and shot?

Because you need proof to be able to say Nessie is actually a some sort of large eel".
Ah but who IS saying that is what Nessie is? Nobody here is. This is about the 4th time I have had to point it out to people who are not paying attention to this thread but this hasn't been said at all. Not by anybody. A few people, myself included, have merely opinioned "Hey, 'maybe' the stories in Loch Ness 'might' have stemmed from a giant freak eel".

It's just an idea. Just speculation. I'm not even certain there something unusual in Loch Nes but I don't see that it is out of the realms of possibility that Nessie reports 'might' be of a freak eel or giant fish.

By all means use your own resources to investigate whatever you please, but just be careful that you don't over-reach your evidence, which (to bring us back on topic) as far as Nessie is concerned, is sadly lacking.
In your opinion. Now I'm not saying there is a wealth of it because there isn't but to suggest many eye witness accounts as well as sonar encounters (on more than one occasion I might add) means nothing, if that is what you are implying, then there we have to agree to disagree. I consider it 'possibly something'. Not sure how much further than that I would go but I don't consider it 'nothing'.
 
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Under no circumstances would I confuse a moggy with a panther.LOL.

And this is why we do not take you seriously when you present evidence and eyewitness testimony. Your refusal to admit that either you or anyone else could be mistaken means that we simply cannot believe anything you say because there is no apparent difference between "I have a video of me walking up and patting a panther" and "Someone might have seen something once at a distance in the dark with the light behind it". The ability of human perception to be fooled is an established fact, it is not just our opinion. Given that we know that most blurred pictures are definately not escaped large cats or lake monsters, it seems very odd to assume that others are, especially since none of those presented are of high enough quality to say anything for sure.
 
Look, Carcharodon, I understand your frustration with what you see as our perceived stubbornness and "closed-mindedness". I understand that to you and many others, many reported sightings = evidence of a "monster" in Loch Ness. As sceptics, we aren't buying that. It's conjecture until you show us verfiable evidence. You must understand that at least.

I understand that the cat thing is much more of a grey area than other instances of what we refer to as "woo". There have been documented cases of it happening! What I don't understand is that in the case of the cats, you add the two things together; a few documented cases + lots of reported sightings, and come up with a correlation and therefore the idea that there have been and still are, several or more (?) big cats abroad in the UK.

Why can't it simply be that several cats have escaped/been released, subsequently found, but that the majority of the eyewitness and photo/film evidence refers to misidentifications, misinterpretations, wishful thinking, faulty memory, and all of the other fallibities inherent to the type of source?

It's not as simple as empty dismissal of your ideas, or "scoffing" at them. It's that there need be no correlation between what you see as evidence, and there actually being something real to explain them. Do you see where we're coming from at least?
 
And this is why we do not take you seriously when you present evidence and eyewitness testimony.

This coming from the ignoramus who cried at the photos "Is this the best evidence you have" and totally ignored the shot and caught examples linked to beforehand??

I shake my head at such complete and utter lack of understanding and knowledge about this subject.
 
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Look, Carcharodon, I understand your frustration with what you see as our perceived stubbornness and "closed-mindedness".

Yes, especially when there is bona fide proof of alien cats having been caught wandering around the British countryside.

I understand that to you and many others, many reported sightings = evidence of a "monster" in Loch Ness.
Then you aren't reading properly. I'm saying they 'might' be evidence of 'something' in Loch Ness. Who's talked about 'monsters'? Monster eel maybe, monster fish maybe. Monster as in 'size'. Not monster as in a supposed to be extinct dinosaur etc etc.

As sceptics, we aren't buying that. It's conjecture until you show us verfiable evidence. You must understand that at least.
I understand the only 'viable evidence' many scoftics are interested in is 100% proof, i.e nothing short of a body, and even then (as we have seen with the big cats) many scoftics still choose to ignore it. This I have understood since I have been posting here. Many don't want evidence. They only want proof. They want the proof before they consider the evidence. Bass ackwards.

I understand that the cat thing is much more of a grey area than other instances of what we refer to as "woo". There have been documented cases of it happening! What I don't understand is that in the case of the cats, you add the two things together; a few documented cases + lots of reported sightings, and come up with a correlation and therefore the idea that there have been and still are, several or more (?) big cats abroad in the UK.
Yes, possibly even a few dozen. I don't see what is so hard to believe.

Why can't it simply be that several cats have escaped/been released, subsequently found,
Some may well have been. But reports (many of them good reports) still continue to come in.

but that the majority of the eyewitness and photo/film evidence refers to misidentifications, misinterpretations, wishful thinking, faulty memory, and all of the other fallibities inherent to the type of source?
Why don't you take 10 reports (random) and go through them one by one giving your opinion of what actually occured in each one of these supposed encounters? You can start a new thread if you like. Let's go from there.

It's not as simple as empty dismissal of your ideas, or "scoffing" at them. It's that there need be no correlation between what you see as evidence, and there actually being something real to explain them.
What I see as evidence? How about what there is as proof? You see what I mean?:)

By the way, I went out for a walk last night. Pitch dark, no lights (semi country). Saw a fox further down the trail about 100 yards away emerge from one bushline, cross the path and disappear into another bushline. I didn't imagine it to be bigger than it was and I didn't imagine it to be a wolf instead of a fox. It was clearly a ft high (or thereabouts) fox. Didn't mistake it for a moggy either. LOL.
 
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Yes, especially when there is bona fide proof of alien cats having been caught wandering around the British countryside.

You seem to think that our agenda is to discredit the idea that SOME big cats have been known to have escaped or been released. How can it be? You have the evidence; bodies, whatever verified photo evidence you have. If any of this corroborates separate eyewitness reports at the same time and place, then great, big whoop, you're right. The logical leap that I'm taking issue with is that from those verified cases, to giving undue credence to every unsubstantial report and photograph. By inference at least, the cryptos are saying that there have been and are as we type, significant numbers of big cats abroad in the UK. That's the disconnect. Am I explaining myself any better?

Then you aren't reading properly. I'm saying they 'might' be evidence of 'something' in Loch Ness. Who's talked about 'monsters'? Monster eel maybe, monster fish maybe. Monster as in 'size'. Not monster as in a supposed to be extinct dinosaur etc etc.

But you're making the obvious (and intuitive, though not logical) connection between reports and spurious theories about "something" in the Loch, and the Nessie legend. Whether you call it a monster or not, you're looking for the same thing, aren't you? Otherwise, what's the point? If you're genuinely just interested in what species are in the loch, you shouldn't need to dress it up in "Loch Ness Monster Real!!!!111" hyperbole. Lest we forget, that is in fact the title of this thread.

I understand the only 'viable evidence' many scoftics are interested in is 100% proof, i.e nothing short of a body, and even then (as we have seen with the big cats) many scoftics still choose to ignore it. This I have understood since I have been posting here. Many don't want evidence. They only want proof. They want the proof before they consider the evidence. Bass ackwards.

No, you're not getting it. You're allowing your frustration at our dismissive attititudes (which is understandable) to cloud your judgement. Why should the search for a creature previously unknown to science, be immune from the scientific method? Of course we want "100% proof"! What other kind is there? Photos and reports that aren't verifiable and don't corroborate each other are next to worthless as evidence. To go any further is to speculate and ask us to believe that there are one or more creatures in the Loch that are unknown to science or at least have not been documented in that habitat or at that specific location. Is that what you're asking? You must realise that there are many claims along the cryptozoological spectrum, some more reasonable than others. Your "downgraded" claims are quite reasonable, and quite feasible, it's just that you go that step too far beyond the evidence. If you're just saying that some of the Nessie stories may have come about because of sightings of creatures that aren't recorded as being there, then great. That's an interesting theory. But you need to recognise that you will need verifiable and corroborated evidence if you want your theory have credence. Even if you do get some sound evidence, there's no necessary correlation between the two things; none of the stories need have arisen through sightings of these creatures. But it would at least lend weight to the theory. As it is, you got nothin'. It's NOT that we would only accept bodies as evidence; it's the only conclusive stand-alone proof, but you could make a strong case with an assemblage of connected evidence. Something which appears to be lacking in many cases.

Yes, possibly even a few dozen [big cats]. I don't see what is so hard to believe.

Possibly? How many confirmed cases? I've told you I am not doubting that there have been big cats in the UK countryside. How can I? The evidence is incontravertable. But the impression conveyed by you and other cryptozoologists is that there have been and still are many more out there. They base this on the (IMO dubious) photographic and oral testimony, and on the obvious drawback that the claim isn't really falsifiable, because you're saying that zoos and wildlife parks have had escapes they haven't reported, and that illegal owners have been releasing their pets. But those claims work against the idea, not for it; if we can't corroborate sightings with escape reports for example, we're going to have a hard time providing the unverified sighting or photo some credence. That's just tough luck I'm afraid.

Some may well have been. But reports (many of them good reports) still continue to come in.

Fair enough; at least you're acknowledging the possible, more mundane explanations for a lot of the sightings. But by what standards are the reports "good"? Those of the cryptozoological movement? How many zoologists and image interpretation experts lend their support to the photo/video evidence? Where experts have expressed an opinion that something was a big cat, on what basis have they done this?

Why don't you take 10 reports (random) and go through them one by one giving your opinion of what actually occured in each one of these supposed encounters? You can start a new thread if you like. Let's go from there.

I may well do as you suggest, if only to familiarise myself properly with the cases you've referred to. And I may well be able to come up with alternate (dull!) explanations. But the onus is not upon me or anyone else to do this; just because I can't prove you wrong through lack of my own knowledge, language skills, or access to relevant details, doesn't mean that by default, you're right. This is perhaps the most important thing for you to take away from these boards, if in fact you're looking to learn something. For my part I'm aware that I've been guilty of fitting your derisive "scoftic" epithet; I don't always take each "woo" subject at face value, and with that attitude I could easily end up dismissing something that has some truth in it. But I do think that in this case, the problem is a disconnect between your idea that some dead big cats = lots of big cats out there, and our default sceptical position of "prove it".

What I see as evidence? How about what there is as proof? You see what I mean?:)

Actually, I'm not sure I follow, but that might be a result of my original poor wording. What I meant was in reference to the axim "the plural of anecdote is not "evidence"". You see reports and unverified images as standalone "evidence", I/we don't. They're only evidence if they're backed up by other pieces of it, or otherwise corroborated.

By the way, I went out for a walk last night. Pitch dark, no lights (semi country). Saw a fox further down the trail about 100 yards away emerge from one bushline, cross the path and disappear into another bushline. I didn't imagine it to be bigger than it was and I didn't imagine it to be a wolf instead of a fox. It was clearly a ft high (or thereabouts) fox. Didn't mistake it for a moggy either. LOL.

Sigh. I see I've become a victim of my own weak analogies. But if you can't see how objects of roughly similar configuration are easily misidentified in certain circumstances (especially in open spaces and by those lacking experience), then there's not much hope for this discussion. I take it you put no store in this websites treatment of the problem? People are easily deceived, and most easily of all by their own eyes, ears, and other senses:

We can judge size and distance well enough with ordinary objects, but presented with something strange, our ability to estimate becomes unreliable. If you believe that what you are seeing is a big cat, you will tend to overestimate its size. This affects even those who should know better.
http://www.bigcats.org/abc/identification/scale.html
 
You seem to think that our agenda is to discredit the idea that SOME big cats have been known to have escaped or been released. How can it be?

It's here in this thread. Some people have chosen to ignore it completely. Take Cuddles for instance. I gave links to bona fide examples of shot and caught alien cats that were at large in the British countryside. Cuddles ignores this and then proceeds to ask me if the photos William Parcher poster was the only evidence there is?

See what I mean?


You have the evidence; bodies, whatever verified photo evidence you have. If any of this corroborates separate eyewitness reports at the same time and place, then great, big whoop, you're right.
It does.

The logical leap that I'm taking issue with is that from those verified cases, to giving undue credence to every unsubstantial report and photograph.
No, I'm saying they shouldn't be dismissed and poo poo'd out of hand. This is what seems to be occuring here by a number of people.

By inference at least, the cryptos are saying that there have been and are as we type, significant numbers of big cats abroad in the UK. That's the disconnect. Am I explaining myself any better?
What do you class as significant? 10? 20? 50? I wouldn't be adverse to that. I don't think there are 10,000 or 20,000 of them wandering around the countryside though.


But you're making the obvious (and intuitive, though not logical) connection between reports and spurious theories about "something" in the Loch, and the Nessie legend. Whether you call it a monster or not, you're looking for the same thing, aren't you? Otherwise, what's the point?
I'm looking at the idea that there 'may' be something to the 'legend'. What that something is, I'm not certain about. I'm not even certain there is a something. I am posing the idea that there may be a correlation between giant eels or giant fish and what some witnesses have supposedly seen.

If you're genuinely just interested in what species are in the loch, you shouldn't need to dress it up in "Loch Ness Monster Real!!!!111" hyperbole. Lest we forget, that is in fact the title of this thread.
Yes, but I didn't start the thread and I didn't "dress it up" like that at all. The thread title was already here. I just popped in and it went from there. I even pointed out to some earlier posters that we were merely talking about the 'possibility' of freak eels and not plesiosaurs etc etc.

No, you're not getting it. You're allowing your frustration at our dismissive attititudes (which is understandable) to cloud your judgement. Why should the search for a creature previously unknown to science, be immune from the scientific method?
Who says it is? There are scientists using scientific methods to evaluate the 'evidence' and postulating it as authentic or at least pointing in it's favour. Of course, to the ultra scoftics, even these scientists then become "woos", notwithsanding the fact that their (the scoftics) rebutals are no more proven than the methods the scientists they have criticised for being "woos" have used.

Of course we want "100% proof"! What other kind is there?
No other kind. However lack of proof is not evidence for lack of subject thereoff.

Photos and reports that aren't verifiable and don't corroborate each other are next to worthless as evidence.
Ah but some do corroborate each other. The only way to verify a report is to what? See what I mean. What you want in these cases are bona fide bodies for each and every report isn't it? Only then can it be verified. We have seen so many times that even photos and footage is not enough for the ultra scoftic. What you mean by verification is a body. Nothing less. Even multi witness accounts are not deemed verifiable to the scoftic. Worse, they are not even worthy of consideration.

To go any further is to speculate and ask us to believe that there are one or more creatures in the Loch that are unknown to science or at least have not been documented in that habitat or at that specific location. Is that what you're asking?
No no no. Not to 'believe' at all but to at least 'consider' the 'possibility' that there 'might' be 'something' behind it apart from lies and misidentifications.

You must realise that there are many claims along the cryptozoological spectrum, some more reasonable than others.
Of course.

Your "downgraded" claims are quite reasonable, and quite feasible, it's just that you go that step too far beyond the evidence. If you're just saying that some of the Nessie stories may have come about because of sightings of creatures that aren't recorded as being there, then great. That's an interesting theory.
Yes, that is what I am saying.

But you need to recognise that you will need verifiable and corroborated evidence if you want your theory have credence.
...and verifiable means a body first right? Nothing less right? Like I said, I don't think you want evidence, you want proof. Even a close up piece of video footage would likely be considered hoax without the body.

Even if you do get some sound evidence, there's no necessary correlation between the two things; none of the stories need have arisen through sightings of these creatures. But it would at least lend weight to the theory. As it is, you got nothin'.
Says you. Thankfully there are plenty of other people who don't feel this way. Witness reports, sonar contacs etc are not 'nothin'. They are 'something'. What they actually are is a matter of debate, but don't say there is 'nothing' because that is incorrect.

It's NOT that we would only accept bodies as evidence; it's the only conclusive stand-alone proof, but you could make a strong case with an assemblage of connected evidence. Something which appears to be lacking in many cases.
But not all cases right? Bigfoot has an 'assemblage of connected evidence' (probably moreso than any other cryptid) and still the ultra scoftics will not even consider the possibilty, even though some scientists and even well known biologists do so.

Possibly? How many confirmed cases?
You mean shot or caught? Getting on for a dozen alien cats I think. At least half a dozen.

However, the caught and shot examples do not mean that's all there was. I should think a fraction of the number of alien cats actually out there would be caught/shot. This means there are obviously many more out there than have been caught/shot. Just because the police catch X amount of shoplifters doesn't mean they were the only shoplifters around. In fact, law of averages say that won't be the case.

I've told you I am not doubting that there have been big cats in the UK countryside. How can I?
You can't. Some people in this thread HAVE though. That is my point.

But the impression conveyed by you and other cryptozoologists is that there have been and still are many more out there.
Many more? Well like I said I wouldn't say there are 10,000 out there but for sure I don't see a problem with a few dozen or, say, 50 or so. This number could account for the number of reports, particularly if the cats are being seen again and again by different people.

They base this on the (IMO dubious) photographic and oral testimony,
And in my opinion much of it isn't dubious so we'll have to agree to disagree there.

and on the obvious drawback that the claim isn't really falsifiable, because you're saying that zoos and wildlife parks have had escapes they haven't reported,
Huh? When did I say that? I've never once mentioned zoos and wildlife parks not reporting escapees.

and that illegal owners have been releasing their pets.
Yes, that's more like it. Illegal trade in exotic animals goes on. I'm sure idiots who get tired of their illegal pets have released them into the countryside. I'll go further. I wouldn't be adverse to the idea that areas which have been the location of past association with alien cats might even induce idiots to play on this, get a kick out of it and even release their own cat. Places like Bodmin or Exmoor for example.

But those claims work against the idea, not for it; if we can't corroborate sightings with escape reports for example, we're going to have a hard time providing the unverified sighting or photo some credence. That's just tough luck I'm afraid.
It doesn't work against it at all. Who is going to corroberate a sighting with somebody who owned an illegal pet and then illegaly released it? They are not going to broadcast the fact that they released an alien cat into the British countryside are they? They are going to keep it quiet. In which case, we are not going to know that they have released an alien cat. We are not going to know about it until somebody reports seeing it, or it kills some animals.

Fair enough; at least you're acknowledging the possible, more mundane explanations for a lot of the sightings.
I've never done anything else. I've said from the start that they are ex pets released into the countryside. I have never said they are breeeding (I have no opinion there) nor have I said they are an unknown species native to the country etc. In my view these alien cat sightings are of animals released into the wild by humans, maybe with the odd escapee that hasn't been reported but I wouldn't put much of an emphasis on that.

But by what standards are the reports "good"? Those of the cryptozoological movement?
Those who have looked into the reports themselves and been investigated.

How many zoologists and image interpretation experts lend their support to the photo/video evidence?
A number of them.

Where experts have expressed an opinion that something was a big cat, on what basis have they done this?
Knowledge and mark one eyeball. The so called Fen Tiger for example is clearly not a moggy. It's too big and has all the wrong proportions. It's definately feline though.

I may well do as you suggest, if only to familiarise myself properly with the cases you've referred to. And I may well be able to come up with alternate (dull!) explanations.
Dull? Well I don't think it is all that spectacular that some dopes have released their exotic pet cats into the countryside and people have sighted them.

But the onus is not upon me or anyone else to do this;
It is if you are claiming the witness is wrong. If you have no opinion and are not claiming anything then no, there is no onus on you.

just because I can't prove you wrong through lack of my own knowledge, language skills, or access to relevant details, doesn't mean that by default, you're right. This is perhaps the most important thing for you to take away from these boards, if in fact you're looking to learn something.
And vice versa just because I can't prove particular points doesn't mean I'm wrong. :D


For my part I'm aware that I've been guilty of fitting your derisive "scoftic" epithet; I don't always take each "woo" subject at face value, and with that attitude I could easily end up dismissing something that has some truth in it. But I do think that in this case, the problem is a disconnect between your idea that some dead big cats = lots of big cats out there, and our default sceptical position of "prove it".
But in the midway, how about this? That there are more than you might think there are?


Actually, I'm not sure I follow, but that might be a result of my original poor wording. What I meant was in reference to the axim "the plural of anecdote is not "evidence"". You see reports and unverified images as standalone "evidence", I/we don't. They're only evidence if they're backed up by other pieces of it, or otherwise corroborated.
Like the multi eyewitness reports on more than one occasion in Cambridgeshire of the so called Fen Tiger backed up by footage which clearly isn't showing a moggy and which a zoologist says is a large catlike animal? Yet even after all this, some people here poo poo it. They aren't even saying "Hmmmm, interesting. Maybe". No, they are saying "Rubbish, it's just a moggy!. Nothing more". Now do you realise how frustrating these super scoftics are to me and people like me???

Sigh. I see I've become a victim of my own weak analogies. But if you can't see how objects of roughly similar configuration are easily misidentified in certain circumstances (especially in open spaces and by those lacking experience), then there's not much hope for this discussion.
Easily misidentified? I wouldn't go that far, else people would be mistaking moggies for panthers all the time and we would have millions of reports and thousands of them coming in daily.

I say again, I find it hard to see people mistaking a normal moggy for a panther or puma.

I take it you put no store in this websites treatment of the problem? People are easily deceived, and most easily of all by their own eyes, ears, and other senses:
http://www.bigcats.org/abc/identification/scale.html
The Lynx suggested to be the size of an Alsatian dog is not too outlandish. Their heights at the shoulder are not too disimilar. Pretty much the same actually. Yes the Lynx might have been underweight, but it still would have stood near enough as high as an Alsatian so the witness wasn't altogether wrong.

I also like the story of the guy who thought a moggy was a puma. He ran after it. Excuse me, if he really thought it was a puma, would he be chasing after it? Would you? Would I? Not on your life. I'd be running the other way. Thought it was a puma?? So he chases it across a car park? That made me chuckle.

I also liked this bit:

""We can judge size and distance well enough with ordinary objects, but presented with something strange, our ability to estimate becomes unreliable.""

What is strange about a moggy? We all, or at least most of us do, see moggies every day. Is not a moggy an 'ordinary' subject???

Like I said some interesting points in that link but nonetheless not persuasive at all that moggies can easily be wrongly misidentified as panthers and pumas time and time again.

On that note I think I am going to have to leave this discussion for the time being so apologies in advance for not replying to any more posts. LOL, I'm spending too much time here as it is and we are all going around and around in circles.
 
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Back in post 106, I put up a link

http://www.sudftw.com/jackcon.htm

to a jackalope site. My post was ignored by everybody.

And so it should have been. Why? Because it’s ridiculous to suppose that a cross between a jack rabbit and an antelope could ever possibly exist. Ludicrous ain’t the word for it; I think a loud “Har! har! That’s pretty funny!” is the right response. Then have done.

But I’ll tell you a really har-har thing: I quit lying about jackalopes a long time ago because innocent people were believing in them. I’ve had to argue against stubborn credulity when explaining that the jackalope is just a taxidermist’s joke.

That site I linked is broad humor, really a lampoon on Nessie and Bigfoot and other types of cryptozoological believers. It was the first site I Googled, and I didn’t go to any others BECAUSE I DIDN’T WANT TO FIND ANY SINCERE JACKALOPE BLEEVERZ! Human nature is appalling enough already.
 
The UK big cat issue is clouded because of the often astonishing inability of the British public to identify what they're looking at. My favourite example is the Barnsley Lion which was reported by over a dozen people about 10 years ago. It turned out to be a dog that had been shaved of its body hair due to eczema. I mean, in what way does a shaved dog resemble a lion other than it has four legs and a head?

That said, the evidence that big cats exist in the UK is pretty much conclusive. The only worthwhile question is how many and, more to the point, are they breeding?

As for Loch Ness, I don't know. It seems too convenient, a ploy to get tourists to the area. A couple of years ago they reduced the speed limit on Lake Windermere, near where I live, to 10mph, effectively putting an end to all watersports on the lake. I remember saying that what they needed to do was to invent a monster to boost tourism back up. And now they've gone ahead and done just that - http://www.cryptoworld.co.uk/windermere-lake-monster-sighting/

Personally I think it's Crowley's fault.
 
It's here in this thread. Some people have chosen to ignore it completely. Take Cuddles for instance. I gave links to bona fide examples of shot and caught alien cats that were at large in the British countryside. Cuddles ignores this and then proceeds to ask me if the photos William Parcher poster was the only evidence there is?

See what I mean?

..I'm saying they shouldn't be dismissed and poo poo'd out of hand. This is what seems to be occuring here by a number of people.

I'm certainly guilty of being over-dismissive at times, due to the sheer weight of woo out there, but I don't think that's the problem here. It's that most of us don't think the available evidence shows what you think it shows...

What do you class as significant? 10? 20? 50? I wouldn't be adverse to that. I don't think there are 10,000 or 20,000 of them wandering around the countryside though.

...that there are 10-50 big cats at large in the UK today. I think that's absurd. I don't think the evidence you have suggests that even one big cat is currently at large, perfectly plausible though that might seem (absence of evidence etc etc).

I'm looking at the idea that there 'may' be something to the 'legend'. What that something is, I'm not certain about. I'm not even certain there is a something. I am posing the idea that there may be a correlation between giant eels or giant fish and what some witnesses have supposedly seen.

I get that. It's an intuitive theory. It seems to be what drives the whole "field" of cryptozoology. But at least in this case, your evidence doesn't support it, and it's just as likely (if not more) that the stories and photo interpretations NOT associated with physical evidence (bodies, perhaps hair and droppings), can be put down to boring old human fallibility.

I didn't start the thread and I didn't "dress it up" like that at all. The thread title was already here. I just popped in and it went from there. I even pointed out to some earlier posters that we were merely talking about the 'possibility' of freak eels and not plesiosaurs etc etc.

True, you have tried to tread the more plausible, less sensational "perhaps this could explain the legend" path. However, it's clear that it's the same thing you're hunting, whether "monster" is an accurate label or not. You're looking for an explanation for a myth. If the eels are there, then what? How do you know they were the "monster" of myth that was seen and/or photographed by people? How many of them saw eels, how many were just fallible? This is the problem with your proposal.

There are scientists using scientific methods to evaluate the 'evidence' and postulating it as authentic or at least pointing in it's favour. Of course, to the ultra scoftics, even these scientists then become "woos", notwithsanding the fact that their (the scoftics) rebutals are no more proven than the methods the scientists they have criticised for being "woos" have used.

The great thing (for us "scoftics") is that our rebuttals don't have to be "more proven". Only your claims, if you expect to be taken seriously, have to be proven, or at least supported by good quality (as opposed to quantity) evidence. You've established for those that didn't know, that we have had dead (smaller species of) "big cats" found in the UK. You haven't established any meaningful correlation between the proven cases and the "rural myths" that make up the majority of reports. As to experts that have lent their support to photos and the like, I will look into this for my own interest. If any of your lot feel like posting links to point me in the right direction, so much the better.

No other kind [of proof than "100%"]. However lack of proof is not evidence for lack of subject thereoff.

Classic logical fallacy that you continue to fall into the trap of using. Critical thinkers call it argument from ignorance, and it blows "absence of evidence not not equal evidence of absence" out of the water as far as reasoned discussion goes.

Ah but some do corroborate each other. The only way to verify a report is to what? See what I mean. What you want in these cases are bona fide bodies for each and every report isn't it? Only then can it be verified. We have seen so many times that even photos and footage is not enough for the ultra scoftic. What you mean by verification is a body. Nothing less. Even multi witness accounts are not deemed verifiable to the scoftic. Worse, they are not even worthy of consideration.

Nope. I mean corroborating, quality pieces of evidence that can be associated. Witness reports and quality photography or film, tied to a time and place where lab-verified physical evidence (hair, poo, wounded livestock) has been found. And/or verified prints. If there are anything like the numbers of exotic cats out there that you claim, why has no assemblage of evidence like this been put together? Why does your idea hinge upon the few dead bodies that have been found? It shouldn't need to, surely.

No no no. Not to 'believe' at all but to at least 'consider' the 'possibility' that there 'might' be 'something' behind it apart from lies and misidentifications.

That's great for cryptozoology as a hobby, but ultimately it's meaningless. There "might" be alien visitors, ghosts, unicorns and so on, but do you assume that there must be a real creature or being behind those (eyewitness) stories too? Of course this is different; it's not a paranormal phenomena any way you cut it, especially when you twist the myth from "monster" to eel, from Beast of Bodmin to escaped leopard cat (or whatever). You still want the excitement and recognition of proving a myth to be somehow true, without offering evidence to scientific standards.

Yes, that ["that some of the Nessie stories may have come about because of sightings of creatures that aren't recorded as being there"] is what I am saying.

Perfectly possible, as I've said, but completely without evidence in the case of Nessie, and with no clear causal link in the case of the cats.

...and verifiable means a body first right? Nothing less right? Like I said, I don't think you want evidence, you want proof. Even a close up piece of video footage would likely be considered hoax without the body.

Plenty less than a body, but verified and corroborative. Just like a police investigation, an archaeological dig, or the actual discovery of a new species.

Says you. Thankfully there are plenty of other people who don't feel this way. Witness reports, sonar contacs etc are not 'nothin'. They are 'something'. What they actually are is a matter of debate, but don't say there is 'nothing' because that is incorrect.

Perhaps that was uncharitable of me. By "nothing", I mean you lack evdience as I have described it. It's semantics really; I'm preferring not to call it evidence, feel free to do so yourself.

But not all cases right? Bigfoot has an 'assemblage of connected evidence' (probably moreso than any other cryptid) and still the ultra scoftics will not even consider the possibilty, even though some scientists and even well known biologists do so.

Yes, I'm aware of your belief in Bigfoot as well. That one's a little harder to twist and rationalise, isn't it? Uncatalogued hominids are hard to blame on sightings of previously unknown lesser apes. No doubt there is a lot of cynicism and prejudice out there regarding that and other "cryptids", but is that any surprise given the lack of quality evidence? Regardless, we've already veered off into phantom cats, let's not "go there" with Bigfoot also.

You mean shot or caught? Getting on for a dozen alien cats I think. At least half a dozen.

However, the caught and shot examples do not mean that's all there was. I should think a fraction of the number of alien cats actually out there would be caught/shot. This means there are obviously many more out there than have been caught/shot. Just because the police catch X amount of shoplifters doesn't mean they were the only shoplifters around. In fact, law of averages say that won't be the case.

Bit of a circular argument, don't you think? Again, intuitive, but based entirely on your subjective assessment of the situation. Looking at this DEFRA table of reported escaped exotic cats, you can see that contrary to your assessment, only 3 out of 27 were not accounted for. I realise you're talking about animals NOT reported by zoo or owner, but the success rate for 27 animals not reported ought not to be wildly different. And that presupposes that zoos, wildlife parks and supposed private owners are still allowing these animals to get out, which I find preposterous and without evidence in itself.

You can't. Some people in this thread HAVE [doubted there being any big cats found] though. That is my point.

If they appear to be doing so, my assessment is because they think you're claiming that these finds (plus the other evidence) proves that there are lots more out there. That it's a "phenomenon", as I said originally. I also disagree with that extrapolation you've made.

Many more? Well like I said I wouldn't say there are 10,000 out there but for sure I don't see a problem with a few dozen or, say, 50 or so. This number could account for the number of reports, particularly if the cats are being seen again and again by different people.

And in my opinion much of it isn't dubious so we'll have to agree to disagree there.

Could. COULD. Don't you see the problem with the assumptions you're having to make to fill the gaps? If we can agree on anything more, it should be that, quality of the evidence notwithstanding, the subject is simply unquantifiable as it stands. Without concerted resourced research, you can't know whether there's anything out there, what they are, how many there are, or what they're doing. For whatever reason there's not the impetus to get such research going. Thus you can speculate as you are doing, but shouldn't expect anyone thinking critically to agree with you. Deal?

Huh? When did I say that? I've never once mentioned zoos and wildlife parks not reporting escapees.

My bad; I inferred from a reply of yours to the Atheist above; he said there would be the odd escape from zoos, you said "and idiots who release them". As I couldn't see how there could be that many rogue illegal exotic pet owners doing that, I assumed you to be apportioning some blame to zoos. I apologise.

Yes, that's more like it. Illegal trade in exotic animals goes on. I'm sure idiots who get tired of their illegal pets have released them into the countryside. I'll go further. I wouldn't be adverse to the idea that areas which have been the location of past association with alien cats might even induce idiots to play on this, get a kick out of it and even release their own cat. Places like Bodmin or Exmoor for example.

That's what I'm talking about. Above I made an incorrect assumption about something I thought you believed. Here, you make a massive assumption, that there are sufficient illegal exotic pet owners to account for your 10-50 UK phantom cats. Again, it's an interesting and intuitive theory, but you need evidence for that kind of claim.

It doesn't work against it at all. Who is going to corroberate a sighting with somebody who owned an illegal pet and then illegaly released it? They are not going to broadcast the fact that they released an alien cat into the British countryside are they? They are going to keep it quiet. In which case, we are not going to know that they have released an alien cat. We are not going to know about it until somebody reports seeing it, or it kills some animals.

I quite agree. It was those subsequent sightings that I was talking about when I said "corroborated".

Those who have looked into the reports themselves and been investigated...A number of them....Knowledge and mark one eyeball. The so called Fen Tiger for example is clearly not a moggy. It's too big and has all the wrong proportions. It's definately feline though.

I simply cannot believe that you think blurred, scale-less offerings such as this are possible to peg as exotic cats and not one of the many, many domestic breeds of feline. It's way out of my area of expertise, and I know that one zoologist felt able to call it as a puma, but sorry, I and others here at least, just don't see that it's possible to verify photos like that.

Dull? Well I don't think it is all that spectacular that some dopes have released their exotic pet cats into the countryside and people have sighted them.

Agreed. Why were we arguing about it again?

It is if you are claiming the witness is wrong.

That's about the size of it. Not that they definitely ARE wrong, just that occam's razor says it's more likely that the majority of witnesses are mistaken, than it is that 10-50 big cats are out there being spotted.

If you have no opinion and are not claiming anything then no, there is no onus on you.

True. Except that you have, and you are.

And vice versa just because I can't prove particular points doesn't mean I'm wrong. :D

Doesn't mean you're right either. It's not proven either way that there are ANY exotic cats out there. Instead of taking that as your default position, or that as things stand, there's little reason to believe that there are (my position), you claim that it's likely that there are.

But in the midway, how about this? That there are more than you might think there are?

Like the multi eyewitness reports on more than one occasion in Cambridgeshire of the so called Fen Tiger backed up by footage which clearly isn't showing a moggy and which a zoologist says is a large catlike animal? Yet even after all this, some people here poo poo it. They aren't even saying "Hmmmm, interesting. Maybe". No, they are saying "Rubbish, it's just a moggy!. Nothing more". Now do you realise how frustrating these super scoftics are to me and people like me???

I do, putting myself in your position of belief over critical thought. I've been there myself; common sense over reasoning, plus some good old fashioned failure to communicate. Now, can you see it our way? That the footage isn't conclusive? That it would take more than one zoologist, stating their reasons for calling it a puma? That there should be some sort of physical evidence, independently verified?

Easily misidentified? I wouldn't go that far, else people would be mistaking moggies for panthers all the time and we would have millions of reports and thousands of them coming in daily.

Another oversimplification of what's been said. You and I can both call a fox at 100yds in a darkened lane. But plenty of people, us included, could find themselves looking at a feline or even canine, several hundred yards away in the middle of a field, and calling it something exotic. You continue to underestimate how fallible we all are in this respect.

I say again, I find it hard to see people mistaking a normal moggy for a panther or puma.

The Lynx suggested to be the size of an Alsatian dog is not too outlandish. Their heights at the shoulder are not too disimilar. Pretty much the same actually. Yes the Lynx might have been underweight, but it still would have stood near enough as high as an Alsatian so the witness wasn't altogether wrong.

I also like the story of the guy who thought a moggy was a puma. He ran after it. Excuse me, if he really thought it was a puma, would he be chasing after it? Would you? Would I? Not on your life. I'd be running the other way. Thought it was a puma?? So he chases it across a car park? That made me chuckle.

I also liked this bit:

""We can judge size and distance well enough with ordinary objects, but presented with something strange, our ability to estimate becomes unreliable.""

What is strange about a moggy? We all, or at least most of us do, see moggies every day. Is not a moggy an 'ordinary' subject???

You've lost me there. The whole point is that the witnesses think they seeing something unusual, which turns out to be an ordinary cat or dog. We think we're looking at something unusual, and we overlay our expectations onto what we're taking in. Our vision is a imperfect simulation of what's happening in front us, and is subject to interpretation by our fallible minds.

Like I said some interesting points in that link but nonetheless not persuasive at all that moggies can easily be wrongly misidentified as panthers and pumas time and time again.

And yet, they are. You've already acknowledged that some of the sightings could be mistaken. We just happen to think that most, if not all, are mistaken.

On that note I think I am going to have to leave this discussion for the time being so apologies in advance for not replying to any more posts. LOL, I'm spending too much time here as it is and we are all going around and around in circles.

Agreed. I'm struggling in particular with the quote function, and going nearly point-for-point, things are getting unwieldy to say the least. Plus your mind is clearly made up, and ours will only be "opened" by better evidence. I'll still do my own reading around the subject, and post my findings where of interest. Feel free to chime in. I might start with my childhood fave, the Beast of Bodmin.
 
*Thud*. Parcher, you've got it right. I congratulate you on an excellent post.

I don't know what sort of equipment was purchased (could be camp stoves and fresh horses, for all I know), but I'm certain he's sincere and has not been blowing the money on gambling, women or drugs.

I found this on a blog from a former student:

"Dr. Meldrum was my evolution professor at Idaho State University, and he was interviewed on NPR. The question isn’t whether you believe in Sasquatch-it’s whether the scientific evidence points to the creature’s existence. Dr. Meldrum’s research, as I understood it from the class lectures, related to moldings taken from foot prints and the study of these casts. Dr. Meldrum says the way the foot articulates, or moves during the stride, isn’t consistent with people making fake footprints in the mud."

http://www.optoblog.com/

Good question, isn't it?
What question are you referring to ?
 
I might start with my childhood fave, the Beast of Bodmin.

Interesting report. There was a variety of evidence presented. None of it showed that there was a big cat involved. It clearly demonstrated the fallibility of folks that think they have encountered a big cat (directly or indirectly).
 

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