BryanLower
Thinker
- Joined
- Apr 7, 2006
- Messages
- 159
Not a threat to his neighbors. Not a threat to us. He wasn't going anywhere. Yes, this is containment. Maybe you didn't like the conditions under which he was contained, but we had bigger fish to fry at the time. We had been attacked, and the mastermind of the attack was (is) still on the loose.Whoah. Bi-weekly potshots at US warplanes, Oil-for-food corruption starving the population while Saddam and Co. got richer and richer, perpetually stonewalled inspectors, resolution after spineless resolution amounting to nothing but mounting embarrassment for anyone with dignity enough to be embarrassed (sit down, Russia, France, Germany, I wasn't talking to you)... That's your idea of stable containment, is it?
There were inspectors in Iraq before the invasion. An honest assessment of Iraq's WMD between the 1998 withdrawl of inspectors and the 2002 re-instatement of inspections was that the old UNMOVIC/UNSCOM destroyed most of the WMD. What was left would probably be useless after the passage of time. The only way to know for sure is to get inspectors back in. So inspectors went back in. Hans Blix reported that Iraq had stepped up their cooperation with inspectors, but the inspectors needed more time to investigate. They weren't given the time. The failure of the inspectors to turn up proof of WMD was used by the Bush administration as proof that Iraq was not really cooperating (woooooahh! a little CT thinking there! Lack of evidence is proof of a cover-up!). I frankly don't care about "12 years of obfuscation" as long as we get the data. We were getting the data, it just wasn't fitting what the Bush Administration wanted it to be.Well, had Saddam opened up as he was required to under the armistice, there would not have been a question of WMDs, would there? And you see, 12 years of this same obfuscation is precisely what put US intelligence (as well as practically everyone else on the planet) into the position they were in.
Frankly, considering what you consider "stable containment," I'm a little skeptical of what it would take to make you REALLY, REALLY sure.
Frankly, it doesn't matter what you think of what I consider "stable containment". In IR, of all fields, what is matters far more than what you think should be. Containment is containment, and Saddam was contained.
As for what I would consider being REALLY REALLY sure, I would have been satisfied if the Hans Blix team had found evidence of stockpiles, or an active program to create nuclear weapons. If they had found either of those, and if they could not be dismantled peacefully, I would have supported invasion. But they didn't find them, because they didn't exist! And with Bin Laden still running free, it was absolutely unconscionable to divert American resources to a non-threat. Data obtained since the invasion has only confirmed that he was a non-threat.
The destabilized situation in the region now-- with Iran developing nuclear weapons, with insurgents resisting any improvements in Iraqi politics, with large parts of Afghanistan still pretty much lawless, with our alliances with other Mid-eastern nations stretched thin-- though at least not yet to the breaking point, the situation before the war looks very stable. Our presence in Iraq has created a security dilemma, which any competent head of state should have considered before invading.
I'm sorry, but the arguments of those who still support the invasion of Iraq, despite events thoroughly proving that it was not the best course of action, really get on my nerves. I know they need to feel like they are right, despite it all. I know they'll feel ashamed for supporting a war that has cost American lives unnecessarily if they can't still find some way to justify it. But American kids are dying, American prestige around the world is lower than it has been in a very long time, and the person who should be held most accountable for attacking the United States is still on the loose. I frankly don't care about their feelings anymore.