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Kamala Harris Election Campaign

That's a good term. Journalist Chris Hayes is coming out with a book on the topic in February:
Because there is a breaking point. Sirens are designed to compel us, and now they are going off in our bedrooms and kitchens at all hours of the day and night, doing the bidding of vast empires, the most valuable companies in history, built on harvesting human attention. As Hayes writes, “Now our deepest neurological structures, human evolutionary inheritances, and social impulses are in a habitat designed to prey upon, to cultivate, distort, or destroy that which most fundamentally makes us human.” The Sirens’ Call is the book that snaps everything into a single holistic framework so that we can wrest back control of our lives, our politics, and our future.
see Amazon or other store for more on the book.
 
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Well, the liberal "Defund the Police" movement was about scaling back the needless militarization of local police forces (remember how well all the military cosplay worked out in Uvalde?) and reallocating resources to social services that are better equipped to handle encounters with people experiencing mental health issues, etc.
One of the most severe examples of self-inflicted bad labeling/framing in recent history. If you don't want to actually "defund" one of the most basic services of civilization, don't call your idea "defunding". Leave the lying to make yourself look far far worse than you really are to your enemies. This one's so far off they might not've even thought of it if you hadn't handed it to them, and even if they had, at least their lie would've had to compete with your own better self-description instead of being the only one out there with both sides agreeing on it.

For several days I've been watching while some sources say it's getting worse and others say it's getting better, at exactly the same time, which hasn't been that way before. And they mostly don't responding to each other to offer reasons why their own are more accurate and the others are less accurate. But some of the latter do make an interesting case against the former...
  • The worse results are mostly coming from new polling agencies with no track record for judging reliability/bias, but funded by Republicans.
  • Even among the more established ones, the adjustment in Trump's favor that everybody did after 2016 was too big, or at least is too big now after the Roe-Wade thing.
  • The usual method of applying a "likely voter" filter is to ask whether the respondent voted last time, which fails at actually filtering to likely voters when there's a significant rise in registration of new voters, especially a politically lopsided one, which is the case this year; the rise in new registrations is likely to be among those who are more motivated to vote than average, not less.
There's no precedent for judging whether such arguments have reflected reality before or not, but they do sound like they make sense. If so, she could be on her way to winning despite her current campaign being designed to lose.

Harris: we will do this, which will then result in this. That then eventually helps us all.
Trump: we will round them up and send them all home.

This is her problem. The low information voter does not care about the explanation. They want immediate action.
Trump: I will punish China with tariffs!
Kamala: that is a tax because bla bla bla

She has lost them.
That's called just dong a bad job of campaigning/explaining. There are quick easy ways to state every case, such as the one against tariffs, like "China doesn't pay those tariffs; buyers of stuff from China do". People would understand that immediately. She just doesn't say it because she's not against tariffs. Her word-salad problem is what comes out when she knows what position is popular and it isn't hers so she feels the need to try to hide that mismatch.
 
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Honestly, you probably shouldn't even look at polls. Look at aggregates over time, like FiveThirtyEight and 270towin. It's like the difference between weather (current temperature, precipitation, etc.) and climate (basically weather over time). I live in the rainiest city in Europe, but right now, outside my window I can't hear any rain. It's the same with the election polls, each poll might predict doom and gloom one day and victory the next, and the different polls will contradict each other.

Even looking at the trends might not mean much, though. What matters is actual voter turnout.
Oh, and how much the GOP sabotage the election and the results :boggled: .
 
Hey, if we defund the police, who is going to shoot the mentally ill people who are threatening to commit suicide?
 
I did not want to start a whole new topic (maybe I should), but I am looking for a term or maybe academic concept for my idea. Why is it people are confused about issues and are often labeled low information voters? It is, I clai, because there is just too much stuff ouit there. Most of it is not factual. Compare this to the union worker in 1900 or the TV news of the 70s with Walter Cronkite. The worker read his newspaper daily cover to cover. Especially election years. He read the comics too, it toook 5 minutes. The TV watcher got the general idea of Vietanam from Cronkite. The war was going badly.

Now compare to today's Internet news consumer. There is too much. They lose interest. They are more likely to click around with sports, entertainement and everything that is not news.

Is this a concept in academia? The idea that the quantity of information available turns people away from current events etc. to plain entertainement. We are not dumber, they just make it harder to weed out facts from "news" that is no longer news.

I agree that there's 'information overload' and so many highly partisan sites that it's easy for someone to be in a political news bubble. I'm old enough to remember the one-hour evening news with Cronkite and when there was no 24 hours cable news. We weren't exposed to all the political pundits with their agendas. News was actually information; they didn't have time to push a political agenda. I think one of the worst things to happen to news reliability was the creation of FOX with its right-wing agenda that's only gotten worse with time and MSNBC, which isn't quite as bad as FOX, has its own left-wing agenda.

I think we were better off without 24-hour news.
 
Russia not the enemy?
Looks like you haven't read any news from Europe lately.

Russia is a tissue paper tiger. They've been getting their asses handed to them by a smaller military force using our severely outdated hand-me-downs and off-the-shelf drones.

Russia is not our friend, not by any means. But they've demonstrated themselves to be nowhere near a plausible threat.
 
Harris to venture into the lion's den:

Vice President Harris has agreed to sit for an exclusive interview with Fox News anchor Bret Baier, the network announced Monday.

The interview will air Wednesday at 6 p.m. during the network’s “Special Report” newscast and be conducted from the battleground state of Pennsylvania.

Good idea. Granted, the bulk of the Fox News audience is unlikely to support her, but at the same time, she has the best chance at switching centrists and moderate Republicans there.
 
There is something fundamentally wrong with the Harris Campaign, and it is this:

Voters made it abundantly clear that they did not want Biden to run again. And Democrat Leaders pretended that that only extended to The Person, not even remotely to The Polices.
The Harris Campaign has decided, and said out loudly, that they will do everything the way Biden did - which is a bad thing, as Biden made a long list of mistakes, first and foremost trying to find common ground with moderate Republicans. And Harris has said she will do exactly the same thing.

It is plainly insulting that Democrats didn't even make the effort to check what Biden policies were unpopular and vow to do different and better.
As if we all would have loved to vote for Biden if he could just make himself young again.

Biden was going to make mistakes because he was getting too old - Harris is going to make the exact same mistakes because she wants to/ has to do everything the way Biden did.
 
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There is something fundamentally wrong with the Harris Campaign, and it is this:

Voters made it abundantly clear that they did not want Biden to run again. And Democrat Leaders pretended that that only extended to The Person, not even remotely to The Polices.
The Harris Campaign has decided, and said out loudly, that they will do everything the way Biden did - which is a bad thing, as Biden made a long list of mistakes, first and foremost trying to find common ground with moderate Republicans. And Harris has said she will do exactly the same thing.

It is plainly insulting that Democrats didn't even make the effort to check what Biden policies were unpopular and vow to do different and better.
As if we all would have loved to vote for Biden if he could just make himself young again.

Biden was going to make mistakes because he was getting too old - Harris is going to make the exact same mistakes because she wants to/ has to do everything the way Biden did.

Pretty sure you're looking at this as a one-issue voter (Israel/Gaza/Lebanon).
 
Pretty sure you're looking at this as a one-issue voter (Israel/Gaza/Lebanon).

Not true.

There are so many issues, from the kid glove treatment of Trump and blatantly corrupt Supreme Court judges, to timid efforts to help renters and Unions, to a Border policy that is only marginally better than Trump's, to shoveling more money at Cops when they kill people instead of working to actually reform them.
And that list is not complete.

But yeah, if you need a single Data point: the fact that Biden lets the IDF shoot and kill multiple US citizens without even demanding an investigation by the US, as is normal, instead leaving the IDF to "investigate itself", which almost never leads anywhere, and everyone knows it.
And yeah, sending weapons to the IDF after having determined that the IDF committed War Crimes, in direct violation of US laws, is not something we should want our leaders to do.
You are not a leader of your country when the leader of another country can demand your money and weapons and support but ignores your demands.

Harris could do better on all these issues, but decided that she won't bother.
So all we are getting is Biden in another body.

It's a missed opportunity, based on the ignorant assumption that Not Being Trump is all that voters want from you.
 
There is something fundamentally wrong with the Harris Campaign, and it is this:

Voters made it abundantly clear that they did not want Biden to run again.

What? When did they do this? When they voted for him throughout the primaries? Biden ended up with 87% of the vote in the primaries, with the #2 spot going to Uncommitted.

And Democrat Leaders pretended that that only extended to The Person, not even remotely to The Polices.
The Harris Campaign has decided, and said out loudly, that they will do everything the way Biden did - which is a bad thing, as Biden made a long list of mistakes, first and foremost trying to find common ground with moderate Republicans. And Harris has said she will do exactly the same thing.

It is plainly insulting that Democrats didn't even make the effort to check what Biden policies were unpopular and vow to do different and better.
As if we all would have loved to vote for Biden if he could just make himself young again.

Biden was going to make mistakes because he was getting too old - Harris is going to make the exact same mistakes because she wants to/ has to do everything the way Biden did.

I agree that Harris should have made clear in the 60 Minutes interview how she would be different from Biden; that was a classic blunder because it lets Trump credibly blame her for the two most problematic issues the Democrats face this election: Inflation and immigration.

As for the other thing, there might have been room in there for a slight softening of support for Israel in light of the humanitarian catastrophe blahblahwoofwoof. Instead she chose the high road and I give her credit for that.
 
Not true.

There are so many issues, from the kid glove treatment of Trump and blatantly corrupt Supreme Court judges, to timid efforts to help renters and Unions, to a Border policy that is only marginally better than Trump's, to shoveling more money at Cops when they kill people instead of working to actually reform them.
And that list is not complete.

But yeah, if you need a single Data point: the fact that Biden lets the IDF shoot and kill multiple US citizens without even demanding an investigation by the US, as is normal, instead leaving the IDF to "investigate itself", which almost never leads anywhere, and everyone knows it.
And yeah, sending weapons to the IDF after having determined that the IDF committed War Crimes, in direct violation of US laws, is not something we should want our leaders to do.
You are not a leader of your country when the leader of another country can demand your money and weapons and support but ignores your demands.

Harris could do better on all these issues, but decided that she won't bother.
So all we are getting is Biden in another body.

It's a missed opportunity, based on the ignorant assumption that Not Being Trump is all that voters want from you.

As an outsider the problem is the Netanyahu makes Biden look weak. Biden says Netanyahu has agreed to limit strikes on Iran avoiding nuclear sites and oil industry. Biden commits to troops on the ground and a $billion missile system to defend Israel presumably as an arrangement for Israel's co-operation, then Netanyahu says there is no agreement. At the same time an Israeli minister says the aim is for a greater Israel extending in to Lebanon, Syria and Palestine (the current nation, not the West Bank). The IDF seems committed to ethnically cleansing North Gaza, and are attacking Unifil. Large numbers of civilians are being killed by US bombs in Lebanon, and there is little doubt the intent is to permanently occupy South Lebanon, again something Biden has argued against. Biden sets a limit and Netanyahu ignores it. This is a toxic relationship, and like many abused wives Biden can't commit to ending the relationship, and goes back for more.

Unfortunately that weakness then reflects on Harris.

Netanyahu meanwhile looks strong and decisive. Arms manufacturers are making profits, Russia looks civilised and restrained, international humanitarian law is being destroyed. There appears to be little incentive for peace. For Israel there is still North Gaza to be cleansed, Lebanon occupied, the West Bank pacified, and South Syria turned in to a buffer zone, so I expect the war to be still going in 2026.
 
As an outsider the problem is the Netanyahu makes Biden look weak. Biden says Netanyahu has agreed to limit strikes on Iran avoiding nuclear sites and oil industry. Biden commits to troops on the ground and a $billion missile system to defend Israel presumably as an arrangement for Israel's co-operation, then Netanyahu says there is no agreement. At the same time an Israeli minister says the aim is for a greater Israel extending in to Lebanon, Syria and Palestine (the current nation, not the West Bank). The IDF seems committed to ethnically cleansing North Gaza, and are attacking Unifil. Large numbers of civilians are being killed by US bombs in Lebanon, and there is little doubt the intent is to permanently occupy South Lebanon, again something Biden has argued against. Biden sets a limit and Netanyahu ignores it. This is a toxic relationship, and like many abused wives Biden can't commit to ending the relationship, and goes back for more.

Unfortunately that weakness then reflects on Harris.

Netanyahu meanwhile looks strong and decisive. Arms manufacturers are making profits, Russia looks civilised and restrained, international humanitarian law is being destroyed. There appears to be little incentive for peace. For Israel there is still North Gaza to be cleansed, Lebanon occupied, the West Bank pacified, and South Syria turned in to a buffer zone, so I expect the war to be still going in 2026.

I agree with all of this.
 
That's a good term. Journalist Chris Hayes is coming out with a book on the topic in February:

"Because there is a breaking point. Sirens are designed to compel us, and now they are going off in our bedrooms and kitchens at all hours of the day and night, doing the bidding of vast empires, the most valuable companies in history, built on harvesting human attention."

see Amazon or other store for more on the book.

Ah, now that is crossing over into the intersection of information overload and alert fatigue aka alarm fatigue (which I guess is a fish/trout thing really). Too many notifications dulls the ability to attend to any notifications. Cry wolf, etc.

It's the one that airplane cockpits try to do very well: get the pilot's attention when it's Actually Very Relevant but don't Distract the pilot. Because the better this is designed the less likely accidents are.

And it's the one hospital software is complete **** at, because hospital admins like software that maximizes billing code upsell opportunities, and devs aren't really given the time/expertise/management to do a good job at anything else. So it ends up so full of nagging that users get into the habit of clicking past bs alerts, and end up also accidentally clicking past the one going 'did you really just mean to order 750% of the typical dose for patient x'
 
Russia is a tissue paper tiger. They've been getting their asses handed to them by a smaller military force using our severely outdated hand-me-downs and off-the-shelf drones.

Russia is not our friend, not by any means. But they've demonstrated themselves to be nowhere near a plausible threat.

This is just not true at all. Russia still has a metric **** ton of nukes, and while they might not use them they are absolutely still a threat.

Also, Ukraine hasn't been "handing (Russia) their ass" in any way, shape or form. At best they're keeping their heads above water.

This is why you're right-wing. You spread absolute bull ****, you get called out on it, and then you claim to be an independent and you're, like, totally just bothsides'ing everything cause both sides are bad. You just happen to only parrot right-wing, factually incorrect talking points. If you're an independent then you're giving independents a terrible name.
 
Not true.
People who ignore what you actually say in favor of stuff they make up to pretend you say aren't worth the bother of pointing out the truth. They already know the truth and have shown that they don't care about it.

There are so many issues, from the kid glove treatment of Trump and blatantly corrupt Supreme Court judges, to timid efforts to help renters and Unions, to a Border policy that is only marginally better than Trump's, to shoveling more money at Cops when they kill people instead of working to actually reform them...
It's been a fact for decades that Democrats do better in general elections from the left and their tendency to go right makes them more likely to lose (while they excuse it as supposedly the only way to win). But illustrating that fact has normally been a matter of comparing separate campaigns or whole groups of simultaneous campaigns (election years) that were lefter & righter than each other.

This time, we've gotten to watch this principle prove itself again in almost-real time, just with a slight delay for polls, with the changes in one single campaign:
  • She started out by talking about things like price gouging, housing costs, drug prices, and expansion of Medicare, and at least not really saying anything about Israel so it was possible to imagine her being an improvement there, and selecting Walz as her VP.
  • She kept rising in the polls and would've easily won the election if it had been held then.
  • Since then she's shifted to silence about prices & the economy & medical care, kneeling & swearing fealty to Israel, talking like a Republican about making sure our military services stay totally awesome and keep getting even totallier awesomer, praising & campaigning with Republicans, having nothing to say about any differences from Biden other than that she'll promote & hang around with even more Republicans than him, and stifling Walz.
  • And now she's been sinking in the polls.
Wow, who could've seen that result coming ahead of time from those inputs‽ It's almost like this stuff still works the same way it has for decades! But how could that be‽

And the last few new proposals from Trump have been lowering the interest on vehicle loans to make car-buying more affordable and a couple of other low-level economic things like that. He doesn't emphasize them much because he doesn't mean them, but still, the fact that he's thought of saying stuff like that at all, which he'd call Kommusocialeftist if a Democrat were saying them, shows one of the side effects of Democrats shifting right: sometimes instead of just a void, what you leave behind is a target for somebody like Trump to maneuver to the left of you.

2. The article seems to be saying that a biological level humans recoil from (others') body odor out of fear of disease, and that somehow this is related to their right-wing beliefs. But if it is biological, isn't that more instinctive, and unrelated to one's politics?
No. They interact with each other. (And they're both on spectrums, not all-or-nothing.) The physiological trait can be a contributing factor to your beliefs while other factors also continue to contribute to them, or the physiological trait can be affected by your beliefs while other factors including genetics also contribute to it.

It's the same with previous studies that have found not only that righties experience more anxiety/threat-response and less compassion/empathy than lefties but even have differences in the associated parts of the brain. Having larger & smaller brain parts associated with those feelings can be a contributing factor to your political ideas, but also, having certain political ideas, and being exposed to the stimuli that tend to point people in that direction politically, can (over time) affect the development of the associated brain parts.
 
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