I think Judicial "Reform" is dead, the driving force behind that was Bibi, the doe s not have the pull he once did.
Right on the first one, wrong on the second one.
Bibi was never the instigator of the judicial reform and in fact his issue was that he lost his power and is now taking it back. He was begging for a unity government all this time behind closed doors. He needs to be rescued from his coalition.
It's a huge propaganda raised to try and make it so to justify the boycott against him.
The real story is... much worse.
Bibi was the person protecting the judicial system for decades from the people who wanted it pushed forward. Again, most likely not a moral issue but rather his constant fear of actually rocking any boats.
In fact, when the big storm hit after he fired the minister responsible for the army, protests massively exploded and the biggest unions declared a strike to stop the reforms - Bibi made a public speech about handling things and put a pause on the reforms.
It was later revealed that during the night Bibi had calls with the heads of the unions - meaning that most likely he begged them to make that declaration so he will have an excuse to step in to stop things (economical false flag?).
The supreme court had to deal with the issue of this situation that never happened before - a prime minister with a legal proceeding taking place against them.
The judges ruled that it is legal, but he has to sign a statement that he will have no conflict of interest and therefore cannot be involved in anything dealing with the legal system.
So his hands were tied - he couldn't even officially intervene to stop it legally.
Yarvin Levin (currently minister of courts), saw that and began drooling. The reform is actually his whole thing 100%. He tried to push it for years and Bibi kept blocking him.
There is also the issue that up until now, every single government that Bibi lead, always had at least 1 left party in it. As a result, the left party always made it clear that they object to judicial reforms and thus vetoed it or no government.
But due to the boycott now, there are no left parties in government - so all the obstacles are removed and Levin went wild.
The other members of the party are very split on this issue. Due to massive registration of extreme far right people and the lack of registration by moderates a lot of new faces were brought to the party. I'll avoid giving a huge summary of each of them, let's just say that I read some of the stuff that people posted on the GOP thread here - and I'm completely serious that I'd take almost any of them over the current clowns that we have. They make Marjorie Taylor Green look like a rocket scientist.
A lot of previous moderates legislators already jumped ship in 2021 when Saar left the party to raise his own. Since they barely made a dent on their own and were forced to hide under another party, it was a clear sign to anyone else within the party that going off-script will be terrible for them politically.
Most of them just keep their mouth shut and swallow the whole thing - though they are going nuts behind closed doors.
So some support the reform and the others just shut up and do nothing.
Levin took over the party essentially. In fact, while Bibi never attacked Levin or his plans in public, he did have several talks with him and tried to get him to back off. Levin threatened him back. Bibi is stronger in the party, but Levin is stronger outside the party due to the current coalition. Levin threatened that if Bibi interferes with the reforms then Levin will resign and take the other coalition members with him. Something that Bibi can't afford as that will be his doom if he can't hold a right wing government? He will be officially declared a burden and the party will rush to kick him out. They keep him around because he brings more votes than other people - if he is boycotted by the left and can't hold the right he is no longer useful.
(I apologize again for extremely long posts, but as requested a lot of background information is needed)
Why is the reform so big for the coalition partners?
I said before, the block is setup by 2 pairs of parties.
The first is the Haridic. Their main issue is that the supreme court constantly meddles in their affairs. The biggest issue for them is the get out of the military issue.
Overall, Israeli citizens are required to be drafted to the army. They were excused from that when the country first founded. Specifically, there was a 400 people cap for them. But their numbers grew massively (7.5 children on average to a family) and they are long over that cap.
Essentially, they live in voluntary ghettos. As I said, probably closest in America are the Amish. They have closed communities, they refuse to educate their children with basic skills like Math or English. They also have terrible segregation between men and women.
So you can imagine why it's an absolute must for them to try and excuse their people from the military - because taking them outside that environment is very likely to erase years of indoctrination.
In 2002, they passed a law that allowed them to avoid drafting legally. In 2012, however, the supreme court overruled that and forced the government to find a solution that doesn't violate civil equality. If they don't do that to a particular date, they have no protection and must all be drafted or be declared as AWOL and be arrested.
Ever since then, the governments have tried to pass secondary laws and mostly just requested postpones from the supreme court. They court allowed it mainly because governments kept falling apart one at a time.
In 2023, the final date expired and now they are officially all criminals, but the state made it clear that they have no intention to enforce it. But that is a temporary solution and if the government changes and they are not in power? That could change instantly. Hence again, why they will not vote no-confidence.
They still want to find a legal way to avoid serving in the military and that is why they are heavy on the judicial reform - specifically the clause that states that congress will be able to override the supreme court in a small majority vote.
To them, this is the holy grail and while they might gain a lot of other things from the reform, that is their main goal at the moment. Everything else is secondary. But they will fight to the death for it.
The other party is a combination of 2 parties. Both of them are extreme religious insanely far right winged. One is the current minister of national security and is an absolute monster. He is in the opinion that there's nothing wrong with getting absolute power and even tried to get his own legal militias.
The other party is lead by the minister of the treasury (Mr Grandmeiser) is the same, only even more religious and have actively said multiple times that he wants to put religious laws into play. Something the supreme court will never allow - thus the need to castrate it asap.
So that's why the coalition members insist on the judicial reforms.
And now with nobody to restrain them, they became bloodthirsty in that regard and went wild.
This is why the current disaster that brings in left parties into the fold is exactly what Bibi wanted all along. Gantz's first mandate was to stop all legislation that doesn't involve the current crisis - which is what Bibi needed to restrain his partners and gain power back.
That is also why he was very selective on who he invited to join the government - the ones that would give him the least problems and also would upset his partners the least. He made a public statement that they reserve seats for other parties - that is his threat to his coalition partners that they are now replaceable and they should start act like it.
That's his way of weakening Levin's threats.
He is terrified of the day after and what repercussions he'll get from either side - but he bought himself enough time to start finding solutions.
He is also an absolute master of backstabbing and demolishing people's political future. He crushed so many opposing forces from within and outside the party. I have no doubt he is already doing everything to setup Levin as a scapegoat and push him out the first chance he gets.
