Vixen
Penultimate Amazing
These persons are confirmed to have been on deck 6 at the time of the accident and either remained there or went only to the nearest and safest escape option available to them without any deviation?
Not sure how you can determine the probability of survival of persons who's whereabouts, activities, and frame of mind during and after the accident are not firmly known.
"Their cabin was near the cabin a survivor was in" is barely circumstantial, if not a complete non sequitur.
Experts have analysed where the various survivors were, and in terms of demography (a man in his 40's was the most likely survivor). A surprisingly large (proportionally) number of the survivors came from decks 0 and 1. The passengers in deck 1 felt the blow the strongest (most said it felt like a collision of some sort or a grounding). They also saw water on the floor so fled for their lives. This gave them a head start over other passengers who were still asleep until the violent list. But by far the greatest number of survivors were already on the upper decks with access to the promenades where the life vests and inflatable boats were stored.
The three engineers and the watchman came up through the upper deck directly from the engine room by climbing up the wall steps leading straight up and out.
Last edited: