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The Russian Invasion of the Ukraine.

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Exactly. It can be confusing to some because their outlook is based in the 'reasonable' view of war, constructing it under the framework of a 'police action' or 'interests conflict', even if they intellectually understand that is not the case.

Every good raider knows it is 'rape, pillage, then burn'. Any other order makes things worse.

If you look at it from the perspective of a looting activity, the slow traffic jam heading to Kyiv is just a lineup waiting for the store to open.

Like all descendants of the Soviets, Russians know how to queue.
 
Why has this rhetoric been all one sided? Why not tell him we're ready to revenge nuke, and let him crap his pants and back down for a bit?
I tend to think so too, in spite of the obvious risks. It seems to me the West is a little cowardly on this issue, in view of the magnitude of the crimes being committed.

In Belgium, we have a "duty to recue" law, which makes it mandatory to help a person in grave danger (provided, however, you don't put yourself in grave danger). The sanctions are probably powerful, but it is more a long term thing, while Ukraine desperately needs rapid help. A first efficient step could perhaps be to provide the Ukrainians with modern fighter-bomber jets, that Ukrainian pilots should fly themselves.

Any NATO intervention should probably be limited to Ukrainian territory (do not fly over Russia). Macron could perhaps ask Putin what his reaction would be.
 
I tend to think so too, in spite of the obvious risks. It seems to me the West is a little cowardly on this issue, in view of the magnitude of the crimes being committed.

In Belgium, we have a "duty to recue" law, which makes it mandatory to help a person in grave danger (provided, however, you don't put yourself in grave danger). The sanctions are probably powerful, but it is more a long term thing, while Ukraine desperately needs rapid help. A first efficient step could perhaps be to provide the Ukrainians with modern fighter-bomber jets, that Ukrainian pilots should fly themselves.

Any NATO intervention should probably be limited to Ukrainian territory (do not fly over Russia). Macron could perhaps ask Putin what his reaction would be.

This is almost a good idea, except for the part that's **** ing retarded.
 
Why has this rhetoric been all one sided? Why not tell him we're ready to revenge nuke, and let him crap his pants and back down for a bit?

Because the only people who really care about Putin rattling his nuclear missiles are either fearful fools or his supporters struggling to justify why we shouldn't support Ukraine. The so called "peace front". The kind of people who go "Oh no! nuclear weapons! The apocalypse! We must not let this happen! Lets just give Putin what he wants! Better red than dead!".
 
Russia Today is not a news organization. It's a propaganda division of the Kremlin, posing as a news organization. You approve of it's "work" for the same reason bible-beaters approve of the 700 club.
It's no longer Russia Today, it's RT now (see https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/RT_(TV_network)).

Did you actually read a few times this news website, or have you just been swallowing all the Western propaganda which was fed to you?
 
No, it isn't and that's possibly where your confusion comes from.

Maybe it's my age, and the fact that I was born on the other side of the Iron Curtain, but growing up in the Cold War (notice the word 'war' in that phrase) helped me understand that conflict is a continuum rather than a binary condition.
Thank you for your measured response.
Yes, conflict is a continuum.
Conflict is not war. As you seem to agree in the first sentence of the next quote: Not a state of war, but still conflict.
War has a meaning.
In the context I have been discussing this here, the meaning is that it is a state of emergency due to a violent conflict with some other country or group that - and here comes my rub - can be taken by the government to restrict rights, civil liberties, bypass legislature, etc..

If we allow the government to do all that merely on a heightened state of alert, while stopping short of actually somehow declaring a state of war, we invite trouble. Lots of trouble! For when will they ever admit the situation no longer is bad enough to rule by decree?

The West was not in a state of war with the Comintern, but damned if we didn't execute their spies. The Rosenbergs were sent to the chair in the 1950s, for example.
See? Was not in a state of war. But conflict.
Spying is a quite a bit different from lying, isn't it?

I'd consider wilful propagation of a foreign government's propaganda, intended to undermine my country's security and democratic system, as seditious or treasonous, as others have suggested.
Could be.
If the law says so. A court would have the authority to decide this.

There are many exceptions to free speech, ranging from commercial fraud to others, and I'd include distributing lies for the goal of long term elimination of the constitutional right to free speech to be one of them.
Absolutely! Those exceptions are on the books, can and do get prosecuted and litigated - in court.

Those exceptions that are not on the books on the other hand... No one should be jailed or executed for those, don't you think?

We had a good run for a couple of decades, where we let things get slack, and now we're paying the price. A democracy is not only built on having free speech, but on defending its long term viability. The opposition's goals to undermine democracy are in and of themselves a threat to these constitutional freedoms and need to be handled accordingly.
Yes - and constitutionally, unless a true state of emergency, i.e. a "war" has been declared - by parliament.

It's sort of like those people who defend commercial fraud as 'free speech' because they have a black and white, short term, simplistic view. Having seen what it's like to try to operate an honest business in a very deregulated environment in the early post-Soviet breakup, it's precisely this experience that leads me to appreciate the danger in binary thinking about conflicts with intermediate conditions. It's the intermediate conditions that provide plausible deniability and give time for enemies to accumulate resources beyond tipping points, at which time it will be too late.
Many of us had a rude awakening barely a week ago.
Many of us probably understood that things like conspiracy theories, trolling and shilling are bad for society - but few would have advocated for repression by the state to address these problems. I mean, that seems to be the central point of this forum: That it's better to debunk and convince with rational arguments based on true or at least defensible and consistent premises than to bully the other side into line.
Many of us probably imagined from time to time how good it would be if we could simply shut down and ban the trolls and shills - only to remember that this runs counter to our convictions.


And Skeptics are almost certainly aware of the moral hierarchy. "But is it Legal?" is not the final word on what is morally right.
True - but it is the foundation of state action in countries where there is the Rule of Law based on a liberal constitution.
If you find that the law is immoral, there is a process to change it. It mostly works in our democratic societies.
What's the alternative, really?

It is, in fact, considered a lower and more juvenile level of morality. The Holocaust was 100% legal. And that was very influenced by the American segregation and anti miscegenation laws, which were perfectly legal. But both were morally wrong. We're in the same situation with foreign interference propaganda unfortunately.
I think the underlying assumption very dubious that there is no such thing as domestic interference propaganda. To be blunt: Politicians lie. Should we shut them off therefore?

Western politicians may be dragging their feet on managing foreign interference because they're receiving truckloads of donations from the social media platforms and Russian billionaires, but the public opinion has been shifting, and my hope is that they will update our protection sooner rather than later.
I want to cut back to my initial premise: That there is a claim that we are at war and therefore restrictions to freedoms legitimately apply to things that otherwise would not be so restricted.

Anybody making or implying such a claim then has the burden to define the criteria by which to decide when we are at war and when we are not at war (and, if you like, criteria for levels of "being at war"). If the argument then shifts to "well, we are essentially always at war, because there is always some dictator somewhere risking the peace", then the argument is really that the liberties that are to be restricted because we are at war should never have been granted in the first place, for we have always been at war with Eurasia and always will be. In which case "being at war" becomes a meaningless term, for there is no "not being at war".

So: Should we never have allowed RT to be available on any medium?
What about Fox News? In my opinion, Fox News is absolutely toxic and undermines the social fabric of the West far more effectively and disastrously than RT ever could.
 
A former NATO Commander proposes that Putin's goal is creating a land corridor to Crimea.

“He’s had Crimea in the Russian Federation since 2014, he’s only been able to supply it across the Kerch Strait bridge, and so of course he’s looking to establish that land corridor down off the Sea of Azov.” said NATO's former Deputy Supreme Allied Commander for Europe Richard Shirreff while talking to CNN's Christiane Amanpour.

I don't know if that's Putin's goal, but it's a solid theory that does make some sense.

Putin's goal was to kill or imprison Zelinsky (and probably his inner circle) and replace them with a puppet regime, all while broadcasting to the world a bloodless takeover, with RF forces being welcomed with, if not flowers, no significant resistance. Anything short of that is a failure, no matter how he and his Western apologists try to spin it.
 
Why has this rhetoric been all one sided? Why not tell him we're ready to revenge nuke, and let him crap his pants and back down for a bit?


Because he doesn't believe that we would do it.

Being the craziest guy in the room does sometimes have its advantages.
 
Oystein made same mistake with my post. At least he was consistent..
Oh come one! You literally wrote "You ... Germany", and made me out to be responsible for what Germany is doing or not doing.
Which is the same kind of mistake that lies at the heart of things like racism: Making an individual responsible for perceived failings of a group (s)he is born into.

Russian paid idiots were dancing for a long time on the very thin line of treason and condoning various criminal acts. They were monitored. Most of time they managed to keep on the right side of the line. With invasion they crossed it and are now in jail for condoning and justifying war and war crimes, websites blocked and everybody else is busy trying to pretend they are against Russia.
We have learned long ago how to deal with such crap. Like between 1933-1938...

Little reminder: There are very few limits on free speech. But they do exist.
You didn't actually answer the question.
 
Because the only people who really care about Putin rattling his nuclear missiles are either fearful fools or his supporters struggling to justify why we shouldn't support Ukraine. The so called "peace front". The kind of people who go "Oh no! nuclear weapons! The apocalypse! We must not let this happen! Lets just give Putin what he wants! Better red than dead!".

Call me a fearful fool, then, but speaking as somebody who spent the first decade of his life listening to the Saturday morning bomb shelter siren test, I take this pretty seriously.

There's no way to know for sure, but my personal model of what's happening is that Putin has ceased to be rational. I'm thinking something happened medically, like a stroke. That it's impacted his executive function, but not enough to be flagged in the superficial conversations he has with nonmedical subordinates.

This isn't advice to give Putin anything he wants, but rather, a preference to not provoke a nuclear exchange, because for the first time in 60 years, I think there's the highest possibility that it could happen.

NATO has several policies for dealing with nuclear exchanges, one of which is Proportionate Deterrence, or Flexible Response. It's not all MAD. But that's still just for attacks on member states, and *very* unpopular in Europe. Specifically, because that would be the most likely location of the detonations, and fallout would contaminate neighbours. I don't think retaliation is desirable in this Ukraine situation.

A 20kT Proportionate Deterrence against, say, a Russian battle group advancing on Kyiv from the North, would contaminate Kyiv and kill thousands of civilians. Worse: fallout would probably spread into Russia and it's possible they could consider it a Western escalation onto their own territory and retaliate in kind into Western Europe. I just don't see any value in threatening to use tacticals against the Russians on Ukrainian soil at this time, and advice against even threatening.
 
More than one million people have fled Ukraine since Russian forces invaded the country last week, the head of the United Nations refugee agency has said.

Filippo Grandi said in a post over Twitter on Thursday:

In just seven days we have witnessed the exodus of one million refugees from Ukraine to neighbouring countries.

For many millions more, inside Ukraine, it’s time for guns to fall silent, so that life-saving humanitarian assistance can be provided.”

Would you believe it that only few of them flee from this Ukrainian Nazi hell into the arms of the liberators in Russia?
 
War has a meaning.

You missed the point of my post.

That's why I emphasized the phrase Cold War. We were at war, just not the dotted Is and crossed Ts kind. We still killed enemy combatants and censored enemy propaganda.

That's how we defended our democratic systems.

My argument is that we got a brief decade of Peace Dividend reprieve and let these skillsets atrophy, the cost has been interference in Western politics that hopefully has not passed the point of return.

Like many things, failure of maintenance can lead to expensive repairs. I think the West is at a stage now where we realize we've let things go, and need to make harder decisions than we would have had to ten years ago with an eye to the long term preservation of our values.

And part of that is dropping the fantasy that we've not been at war with Russia for a decade.




Spying is a quite a bit different from lying, isn't it?

It's a bit different. Propagandists have also often been convicted. My examples were spying because the convicted were executed in a time of no official declaration of war - I was pointing out that under conditions exactly like today, severe punishments are considered appropriate.

Propagandizing is also illegal, but I didn't list any famous cases because the sentencing is bland. But the vagueness of it in the past is s one of the reasons countries introduced laws requiring foreign agents to register. The ones who were acting for foreign government's benfit but not registered can be, and are, charged with a crime.

Canada has similar laws to the US, and I expect we would find it's pretty common in the West. Lobbying for a foreign government without disclosure is criminal and considered borderline treasonous, with maximum sentencing proportional to perceived damage.
 
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Russia Today is not a news organization. It's a propaganda division of the Kremlin, posing as a news organization. You approve of it's "work" for the same reason bible-beaters approve of the 700 club.

I remember a while ago when Skeptic Ginger said that, in her experience and perception, RT is often doing pretty good journalism, often going with actual journalists where many others don't, and presenting views from all sides rather neutrally. Not sure if a caveat was offered like "as long as Russian interests not much at stake". SG said that RT is often better than most other news providers.

I took a look at current RT reporting earlier this evening just to check whether their homepage is still available here (it is) and found they actually do some rather fair reporting e.g. on today's UN General Assembly vote. Another article reflected criticism of Russia so clearly that I considered whether maybe I am not seeing the real RT, but a hacked version with Western positions!

(I have no doubt that RT will subtly or maybe not so subtly manipulate their news coverage to suit Putin's needs whenever required - they are surely much refined in this compared to Pravda of old, which was so consistently and bluntly lying that you could almost consider it reliable: Take the opposite of what they say, and that's close enough to the truth. RT is smarter than that - they will lure some consumers with good news reporting, so they will also read, and believe, the manipulations)
 
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