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Natalee Holloway's Imminent Return

Claim 2
Natalee Holloway will return to the news and the world 11/3 the 11800th day since 7/14/1973
What happened to the 8/30 prediction?

Are you just going to keep on predicting dates until you get something that looks like a hit? Would you care to predict how many you'll need to make before this happens?
 
the day i turn 11800

hmmmm, i see would that discount the event?

i guess thats what your attempting to say?
 
damn it still can't post links!

anyways you will find my application for James Randi's million dollar challenge at the Hyperqube

since, i can no longer post in million dollar challenge:eek: :mad: :eek:
You don't need to post your application on the forum. What you need to do is this:
From Challenge FAQs:
Fill out the application form (strictly adhering to the Challenge rules), sign it before a Notary Public, and mail it in to the JREF.
 
Claim 1
Natalee Holloway is not dead

Claim 2
Natalee Holloway will return to the news and the world 11/3 the 11800th day since 7/14/1973

You are an a-hole grade one. This is a real person with a real family that is devestated by what has happened. If there is a micron of a chance they are desperate enough to listen to the likes of you and get their hopes up, only to have them crushed again, you deserve to rot.

Your basically playing the lottery with people's lives - you hope she's not dead so you can win money or attention. Your no better than the a-hole remote viewers who posted that Elizabeth Smart was dead on their web-site.

I know we are not supposed to name-call, but it is worth it in this case. Do to me what you may.
 
22/7 is the universal approximation to pi and it is equal to exactly

3.14285714285714000000

Conciousness is the first cause of Creation

The sum for the word « neocortex » of length 9 is 714.
The sum for the word « gizaplateau » of length 11 is 714.
Question 1: Why are you using base 10 for 22/7, instead of say, binary, or hexadecimal?

Question 2: Would those wordgames be true if you did them in another language? In all languages?
 
Well... You get the idea. Currently, the record [2] for calculating p is 51 billion digits, a record which may prove beyond a shadow of a doubt that some people have entirely too much time on their hands. Blatner [2], for example, has thoughtfully noted the sequence, 3333333, which appears at the 710,100th digit (and again at the 3,204,765th digit) in the value of p, but the numbering sequence is ultimately not repeating. Whew, that was close!

I'll take the easy one for now.

Let me first state that I agree PI is not "random" in the full sense of the word. The indication that any kind of pattern in it debunks such notion is moot, since it is not a position held by those familiar with it.

Having said that, even if the commonly held belief were that PI is random, one would expect one of the 10 digits to repeat like that on average every 1:1,000,000 sets. That it occurs only once in 51 billion digits would be the truely noteworthy statistic (and indeed, perhaps there are many repeating sequences like that which were not reported in the cited source).
 
22/7 is the universal approximation to pi and it is equal to exactly

3.14285714285714000000
Of what significance is it that the parts of 22/7 that you've indicated are well into the deviation from pi? That is to say, the portion of 22/7 that is well beyond its limit of approximation for pi?

Alternately, of what significance is it that 714 is also Natalee Holloway's childhood area code?
 
having fun picking apart.

Always...

Conciousness is the first cause of creation.

Which means?

to the asinine post about pi of course we all know the pi is transcendental, duh!

there's moto award , master of the obvious!:eek:

Some people would consider it obvious that spewing random gibberish with numbers inserted doesn't solve anything...

Conciousness is the first cause of Creation

So you keep saying...

The sum for the word « neocortex » of length 9 is 714.
The sum for the word « gizaplateau » of length 11 is 714.

Who CARES?

Well... You get the idea. Currently, the record [2] for calculating p is 51 billion digits, a record which may prove beyond a shadow of a doubt that some people have entirely too much time on their hands.

Yes. Yes they do. However some people put it to some sort of actual use, some people decide to indulge their particular insanity:

gematrical equivalence

710,100 ==> 711

3333333 is a sequence of 7 threes.

note that 157 which is the number of days between 5/30 and 11/3 is half pi (314)

also

530 - 113 = 417

Actually, I don't think you spent much time coming up with this stuff.

the science of skepticism will soon fail you.

Well, if you're right...

We can all give up on skepticism and start using numbers to show that anything we want to be true, is...
 
Claim 1
Natalee Holloway is not dead
Counterclaim: Jimmy Hoffa is not dead.
Note that if neither ever show up alive again, and no body is ever found, or even IF a body is found and time of death cannot be established conclusively before the time of the claim that the veracity of neither statement can be determined. Still, it is the most specific claim yet, even though the percentages say it will never be a verifiable claim.

Claim 2
Natalee Holloway will return to the news and the world 11/3 the 11800th day since 7/14/1973
Counterclaim: The news will mention something about Iraq every day from now until 11/3.
Taken as a full conjunction, this means that to be true Natalee Holloway must not be in the news, indeed not even in the world, at some time before 11/3, and on that day she will return to the news AND return to the world. Does that mean she is dead, and this claim is a counter to #1? Or does that mean at some future time, she will die, and then on 11/3 she will "return to the world"? Or has she gone to the moon, and on 11/3 her landing back on earth will make the news?

Or is the claim that on 11/3 (which I note you've left a year off of) some news source somewhere in the world will mention Natalee Holloway? Or is the claim that on 11/3 you will have a new prediction?

claim 3
the science of skepticism is dead
Counterclaim: Skepticism currently continues to exist.

Skepticism isn't a science, it is a tool used to cull unlikely propositions from consideration. For example, if I say "Communicating on message boards is evil, and anyone doing so from this point forward will suffer an eternity of torture", do you believe it? If you consider such a notion, and then continue to post, then you either desire an eternity of torture, or you doubt the notion I suggest. If you doubt that notion then you, yourself, are a skeptic, at least with regard to what others say. I hope that is not unsettling to you.

claim 4
Natalee Holloway was chosen a sign and a witness
Counterclaim: Julia Child was chosen a sign and a witness. I just picked a yield sign for her, and my cousin is a Jehova's Witness, so I'll choose him for her and *BOOM*, one claim already proven for me. How's your count?

claim 5
The tribulation starts 7/16/2008

although not pertinent to this claim, nice to know
Counterclaim 1: The tribblation started 12/29/1967, just ask Kirk.
Counterclaim 2: The tribulation is going to start a lot sooner than that, I'm going to go work on testing my code in a minute or two, and that's no picnic.

Anyway, before I go, I think we need a new prediction rule. Predictions should now be stated in the following format:

1. They must clearly state what results will prove the prediction wrong.
2. They must indicate a date & time in the future by which such results will be known.

If the date and time passes and the prediction has not been proven wrong, it is a success. Sounds simple, but understand it is then more difficult to phrase a MEANINGFUL prediction. As a service, I may translate all future predictions to this format. There, that will eliminate the need for skepticism, since we will have clear means by which to disprove future predictions.
 
damn it still can't post links!

anyways you will find my application for James Randi's million dollar challenge at the Hyperqube

since, i can no longer post in million dollar challenge:eek: :mad: :eek:
You do know that you need to actually apply to the JREF and that this forum board does not count as an application, right?
 
He had Natalee Holloway's mother on one show and he's been staying in touch with her. This story was all over the local news yesterday.
 
Dr. Phil is saying she isn't dead, but may have been sold into sex-slavery.

I'm sure if she was sold into sex-slavery that the new owners, upon realizing that she made international news and everyone in the world is looking for her, would have descreetly disposed of her by now.

Otherwise, I stayed home from work yesterday and happened to have the TV on CNN the whole day while I replaced a door and didn't see one story about her. By the way, CNN repeats itself over and over and over during certain parts of the day.
 

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