• Quick note - the problem with Youtube videos not embedding on the forum appears to have been fixed, thanks to ZiprHead. If you do still see problems let me know.

Oprah 2020

Because, up until this election, the DNC and others claimed that the candidate for president is picked from a pool of available registered candidates during what is known as a primary election. If the DNC decides who the candidate will regardless of what the primary voters want, then why bother going through the farce, not to mention the sheer expense, of a primary election in the first place?

The candidate is supposed to be decided by the voters who are registered with the party, or who support the party, and who vote in the party's primary, not the DNC leadership. At least, that's the fiction that we've been taught up until this most recent election.

And what kind of sense does that make?

No seriously what's the purpose of getting a huge, expensive group of people together, have a wide voter base tell them who they want to vote for, and then have them rubber stamp it just so the same voter base can turn around and vote for the person they already choose?

If we're operating from the Voter Base dictates the nominee to the Party Leadership assumption, what exactly is the party even doing?

The argument seems to be "The voting populace has to tell the party to tell them to vote for the person they've already said they want to vote for..."

And again this isn't some secret cabal government conspiracy theory. The rules very from state to state and party to party (and for brevity sake I'm just going so say "Primaries" to mean both Primaries and Caucuses which technically different but serve the same function) but in a lot of cases nothing in the official process (and we get into a lot of "Rules of Order" nuance here) says a delegate has to cast their vote in accordance with their voter base and if they don't it's not like they've broken a law because primaries are not elections in the proper sense.

I don't even know how you incorporate Super-delegates into the "Voter Base instructs the Party" narrative.
 
At this rate we'd do better putting people in office who've been chosen at random. It's either a politically connected multi millionaire or an outsider multi millionaire. What do those bastards know of real life as experienced by the majority of people? Attach a random number generator to a search engine and feed them the white pages, chances are good that the result will be better than the evil idiots and maniacs we have now.

In Arthur C. Clarke's (rather excellent) sci-fi novel The Songs of Distant Earth a far flung space colony founded by a seed ship after Earth's sun goes kerpowey does this. The Presidential Office is essentially just a trumped up version of jury duty.

From the novel:

"The President of Thalassa had been in office for only two months and was still unreconciled to his misfortune. Certainly it was no use demanding a recount; the selection program, which involved the generation and interleaving of thousand-digit random numbers, was the nearest thing to pure chance that human ingenuity could devise.

Yet he had to admit that, despite the personal inconvenience it had caused him, this was probably the best form of government that mankind had ever devised. The mother planet had taken some ten thousand years to perfect it, by trial and often hideous error.

Thereafter, selecting a head of state was relatively unimportant. Once it was universally accepted that anyone who deliberately aimed at the job should automatically be disqualified, almost any system would serve equally well, and a lottery was the simplest procedure."
 
Let's talk very theoretical. Assume you have two candidates for Prez. Both have no experience in government. One says it doesn't matter, he'll do what he damn well pleases and you will like it or move to Antarctica. The other says he will learn and take advice from those more experienced. And people matter.

Which one would you vote for?
 
Let's talk very theoretical. Assume you have two candidates for Prez. Both have no experience in government. One says it doesn't matter, he'll do what he damn well pleases and you will like it or move to Antarctica. The other says he will learn and take advice from those more experienced. And people matter.

Which one would you vote for?

The first seems more honest
 
And what kind of sense does that make?

No seriously what's the purpose of getting a huge, expensive group of people together, have a wide voter base tell them who they want to vote for,


Really? You really have no idea what a party committee does?

and then have them rubber stamp it just so the same voter base can turn around and vote for the person they already choose?


Are you not American? Or are are you just that ignorant about how politics and political organizations in this country work?

In the majority of states in the US, only voters registered for a specific party can vote in that party's primaries, so yes, the voters who chose the candidate for that party do turn around and vote for the same candidate in the general election. But, and this is the important part, voters who are not registered members of that party are also given the chance to vote for or against that party's candidate.

That's how the system works. To break it down...

The party organizes a suite of candidates from those who have "thrown their hat into the ring", so to speak, by announcing their desire to run for the office, and garnering the necessary minimum of signatures from registered voters to put their name on the ballot.

The party organizes and holds a primary election where the eligible members of that party decide who should best represent the party, via popular vote, or caucus vote; and in the case of presidential elections, delegates from the party committees of each state represent the result of that vote at the national convention.

The party tallies and certifies the vote at the convention, and submits their chose candidate for the general election.

The entire eligible population votes on which candidate from all available parties they would like to hold the office. Meanwhile, the Electoral College voters also vote on which candidate from all available parties they would like to hold office; some of whom are mandated by law to vote with the popular vote in their state, while those from other states may vote as they please (but still tend to vote with the popular vote as a rule).

That's how it worked when Barak Obama won the Democratic party primary, and then the general presidential election. And that's how Donald Trump won the Republican party primary, and then the general presidential election.

If we're operating from the Voter Base dictates the nominee to the Party Leadership assumption, what exactly is the party even doing?


Certifying candidates, fundraising, coordinating campaigns, purchasing advertising, developing policy platforms, informing and organizing voters, maintaining voter rolls, managing primary elections, and so on, and so on. The nuts and bolts of getting candidates elected that most people don't bother to think about. Not just for presidential elections, but for all elections where the party has a presence.

It's this particular aspect of the party activity that can greatly influence who wins or loses the primary by granting or withholding funding, access to voter rolls, organizational resources, and so on. And this is what the DNC did in the most recent election. Thanks to Hillary bailing them out of a poor financial position, they put all their resources into getting her chosen in the primary, while simultaneously withholding similar support from Bernie, and Martin O'Malley, who also ran in the 2016 presidential primary. This is not a conspiracy theory, this was stated flat out by the DNC leadership after the election, and after Wasserman-Shultz stepped down.

Even with that uneven allocation of party support, Sanders still kept the race very close, and had a better-than-even shot at winning the primary despite the efforts of the DNC, had they not made a critical error early on by not campaigning hard in the Southern states in the early days of the primary race, something they admitted afterwards was a huge tactical blunder. They assumed those states would go to Clinton anyway, and did not put the effort into them that they should have. Even a minority of convention votes from those states could have given Sanders the election despite the DNC's manipulations, and despite the Superdelegates.

However, gaining those votes would not have been necessary, and would not have made a difference, had the DNC not already decided that Clinton would be their candidate, the will of their party members be damned.

The argument seems to be "The voting populace has to tell the party to tell them to vote for the person they've already said they want to vote for..."


That was complete gibberish. Do you not understand the difference between a primary and general election?

And again this isn't some secret cabal government conspiracy theory.


Be careful, straw men are flammable. There doesn't have to be a conspiracy, or even secrecy, for a process to be rigged.

The rules very from state to state and party to party (and for brevity sake I'm just going so say "Primaries" to mean both Primaries and Caucuses which technically different but serve the same function) but in a lot of cases nothing in the official process (and we get into a lot of "Rules of Order" nuance here) says a delegate has to cast their vote in accordance with their voter base and if they don't it's not like they've broken a law because primaries are not elections in the proper sense.


Which doesn't invalidate at all the principle that a primary election is ostensibly for the purpose of choosing the candidate that will be sent to the general election for that party. But, in fact, there are rules, at both the state and national level, regarding how delegates are expected to vote based on their particular state's version of the primary. Failure to follow those rules can result in votes being invalidated.

I don't even know how you incorporate Super-delegates into the "Voter Base instructs the Party" narrative.


It's not my narrative, it's the narrative of every party who engages in a primary election. Your entire post was just one big evasion of my question: If primaries don't select candidates, they why bother with the trouble and expense of having one?

And as for superdelegates, that was already addressed in an earlier post, go back and read.
 
Last edited:
If Oprah runs, she'll win. But she'll only be a one-term President.

There's little chance she can hold off John Cena in 2024.
 
A nice primer for you ... 'Oprah's Long History With Junk Science'

https://www.vox.com/science-and-health/2018/1/9/16868216/oprah-winfrey-pseudoscience

The whole issue with Oprah's woo can be put to rest if she clarifies to our/your satisfaction.

Jimmy Carter was a bible-thumper yet in policies I see absolutely nothing to evidence that he was anything but a respecter of the constitution and secular in his actions.

Hillary supposedly had seances to try to have chats with Eleanor Roosevelt.

There's pretty solid evidence that Lincoln may have participated with his whackjob wife in seances after their son died.


Every president has had some belief in The Big Book Of How You Need to Behave (the "bible"). My issue is going to be whether that belief takes precedence to MY big book - the US Constitution.

If Oprah dabbles in popular trendy beliefs but doesn't permeate her policies with the stuff and agrees to follow the scientists and scholars who are recognized in their fields? I'm okay.

We're ahead of the game, though. Right now, she's a stalking horse in search of a possible fight. If she really becomes a candidate, there will be plenty of time to figure out whether that crap's for real or just a pastime to play to her audience consisting largely of, dare I sound sexist/classist, housewives. I know serious critical thinkers who've dabbled in all sorts of stuff. I you play with your Ouija board at parties, well, I'm going to be bored and not go to your parties, but other than that, "Meh?" If you take your Ouija board with you on job interviews or to your job in a research lab? I'm not going to be okay with that.
 
There was a headline, I think on Politico, that said that Oprah's the best thing for the Dems...... FOR 2018.

I believe that's correct. Troll the living hell out of Sarah and Kellyanne and Donnie Johnny.

I'd start with a chart showing that Oprah has won an Emmy while Donald hasn't. When he takes the bait, say, "Oh, did I say "an Emmy"? I meant to say "eighteen Emmys, 11 NAACP Image Awards, 1 Tony, 1 Oscar, 1 Peabody and a partridge in a pear tree".

The next day, Fox & Friends would award Donnie "man of the decade", the Mercers would give him the "Bekka's Bestest Stable Genius" trophy, etc....

It should be fun. And really fun because, as that guy in Lethal Weapon II noted, "She's blek!" The racists won't be able to resist. Black and full-figured and rich as hell.

With the veterans resigning on the Republican side of the aisle in the House, Oprah could actually help deliver both houses to the Democrats.
 
Remember back when Trump won and I opened a thread asking, half-tongue-in-cheek, who would be the Democratic, Celebrity Equivalent to Trump, since it was clear that this was the direction that America was headed? And everyone was like "Oh please Ron, noooo, that's a ridiculous question anyway because that is never going to happen blablabla"?

Cause I do remember.
 
There was a headline, I think on Politico, that said that Oprah's the best thing for the Dems...... FOR 2018.

I believe that's correct. Troll the living hell out of Sarah and Kellyanne and Donnie Johnny.

Can't argue with anything you said! And, yes, it would be a fun wreck to watch :D:thumbsup:
 
I think the great advantage Oprah would bring is that she's an actress. Like Reagan, only with some real talent, she can read a script real well.

She can do happy/fluffy.
She can do moral high ground outrage.
She can do stateswoman like.

And she can get Tom Cruise to jump up and down on a sofa, or call in a whole lot of people who want to be in whatever she's next producing.

Most frequent Oprah Winfrey Show guests:

Billy Crystal
Will Smith
Tyra Banks
Tom Cruise
Maria Shriver
Tina Turner
Jim Carey
Barbara Walters
John Travolta
Julia Roberts
Patti LaBelle
Mariah Carey
Halle Berry
Chris Rock
Celine Dion

Damn! That's gonna be some fundraiser! And there are three there who would be lovely surrogates in the Trash The GOP Twitter Wars.
 
If Oprah dabbles in popular trendy beliefs but doesn't permeate her policies with the stuff and agrees to follow the scientists and scholars who are recognized in their fields? I'm okay.


There's a huge difference here between Oprah's woo beliefs and those of most of the presidents who have held office so far. Yes, presidents have held a lot of weird beliefs, but they did so on their own time, and weren't well-known for those beliefs. They didn't spend a good part of their careers promoting and getting rich from those beliefs. They were fairly private about their woo, for the most part. Religion tended to be front and center a lot, but America has always been a very religious country, and some pandering to the religious has always been necessary for public figures.

That's a whole lot different from building an entire media empire based in very large part of the large-scale promotion of woo, and dangerous woo at that. At least half of Oprah's fortune and current holdings have been the result of her active and aggressive marketing of nonsense ranging from fairly innocuous New-Agey woo like "the law of attraction", to outright dangerous garbage like the anti-vax movement.

In fact, it would be hard to find anyone more heavily invested in promoting "the law of attraction" in particular than Oprah, it's the fundamental foundation of her worldview. That's the kind of philosophy she'd be bringing to the highest office in the land.

Her entire modus throughout her post-acting career has been one of pandering to the anti-intellectuals, and giving simplistic, pat answers to complex and difficult questions, preying on peoples' credulity and ignorance. She has not shown anything that indicates she would be a competent politician.

Not as bad as the Cheeto-in-Chief, certainly, but still a disastrous choice.
 
If she wants to enter politics (and from the sound of things, she does not), she can run for congress, or perhaps mayor of a city or town. "President" is not an appropriate entry point.
I wonder if the idea of her running for the Senate in the upcoming 2018 midterms ever crossed her mind. Pick one of the seats currently held by a republican, where the Democrats have only a slim chance. Maybe Tennessee, which generally goes republican (plus, Oprah went to university there, so even though she's not a full time resident, she can at least claim some ties to the state.)

It would be a good test of her drawing power if she can win a state that leans Republican. Plus, it would see if there are any skeletons in her closet that would come back and haunt her in future elections. If she loses, it would provide little harm to the Democrats (since it was a seat they weren't expecting to win anyways.)

If she wins, it provides benefits all around:

- For the Democrats, it brings them one seat closer to taking over the senate (something that they currently face an uphill battle to do)

- For Oprah herself, sitting in the senate for a few years will give her some experience with government, something that might be valuable should she choose to run for president later. It will also give her an idea whether she would like being in politics.

- For the regular voter (and especially for us skeptics) seeing what she would do when in congress might give an indication of how she really feels about various types of woo-nonsense. (i.e. was she just catering to people like Jenny MacCarthy/John Edward for ratings on her show, or was she a believer)
 
- For the regular voter (and especially for us skeptics) seeing what she would do when in congress might give an indication of how she really feels about various types of woo-nonsense. (i.e. was she just catering to people like Jenny MacCarthy/John Edward for ratings on her show, or was she a believer)


As noted in my previous post, the indications are that she is a true believer in at least some of it.

But that's irrelevant. She built her empire on pandering, so there's no reason to believe that she would stop doing so if she got into politics. Pandering got her ratings and popularity, and pandering would get her votes, so what motivation does she have to stop pandering to the woos, if it gets her power as well as fame and money?

We can certainly see the effect of that among the GOP, who have been pandering shamelessly to the Religious Right since at least Nixon, and keeping themselves in power by doing so.

True believer or panderer, the ultimate effect is the essentially the same.
 
As noted in my previous post, the indications are that she is a true believer in at least some of it.

But that's irrelevant. She built her empire on pandering, so there's no reason to believe that she would stop doing so if she got into politics. Pandering got her ratings and popularity, and pandering would get her votes, so what motivation does she have to stop pandering to the woos, if it gets her power as well as fame and money?
Let me be a bit overly-optimistic here. (Not saying that this will happen, but just that its within the realm of possibility.)

Lets say Oprah is not a true believer, and that she was just pandering to believers in woo-nonsense.

Catering to an average voter is slightly different than catering to a TV audience. Voters care about the economy, their health, etc. TV viewers may be gullible enough to believe some TV psychic (and Oprah did build her audience on them), but that doesn't mean that she would need to continue pandering to them since those things are never major election issues.

If she gets into congress, and immediately pushes for a law to make faith healing covered by Medicare or psychics used in criminal investigations, then we know her pandering is a problem. But if she behaves like a rational and logical person in the senate, I would have a little more faith in her abilities.
 
Does the simple fact that the majority of people in the democratic party had a preference for Clinton mean anything at all? Anything? Jesus Christ this grows old.
https://www.thenation.com/article/the-democratic-primary-wasnt-rigged/
If every contest in the country had been an open primary, Mrs. Clinton’s delegate lead would have grown. She would have lost ground in some of the contests, gained ground in the states with large numbers of anti-Obama registered Democrats (Oklahoma, West Virginia and Kentucky), and gained lots of ground in Western caucuses—where Mr. Sanders earned most of his big delegate hauls.

Over all, Mrs. Clinton would have about a 12-point lead in pledged delegates if every state had an open primary, according to our estimates.
Change the rules, slice it and dice it, get rid of super delegates, change closed primaries to open or vice versa. Play any games you want to play but Clinton always comes out ahead in every scenario.
http://www.newsweek.com/myths-cost-democrats-presidential-election-521044
1. The Myth of the All-Powerful Democratic National Committee

Easily the most ridiculous argument this year was that the DNC was some sort of monolith that orchestrated the nomination of Hillary Clinton against the will of “the people.”
The "will of the people" was unequivocally and unambiguously Clinton.
 
Does the simple fact that the majority of people in the democratic party had a preference for Clinton mean anything at all?

No because the internet does this every election. They pick one darkhorse candidate that has a strong cult of personality around them, convince themselves "they have a chance" and then start making up all kinds of conspiracy theories when the mainstream candidates overshadow them.

Sanders, Ron Paul, hell Ross Perot was like a weird proto-type version of it.
 

Back
Top Bottom