Jay,
- Well anyway, I think that you and the others disagree with me on at least three fronts -- you figure that
1. Bayesian statistics does not apply to my argument.
2. I have no evidence to support P(H) and P(~H). Rather than 99% and 1%, they should be 100% and 0% respectively.
3. I have no right to use my likelihood of existence -- given H -- as P(E|H) in the Bayesian formula. I have no target on my back, and that's where I commit the Texas sharpshooter fallacy...
- I'll start with #1. But then, I think that at least the main reason you believe #1 is that you believe #2. Consequently, I'll begin with #2 -- unless you point out a different, explicit, issue you'd rather I address.
Jay,
- The links I provide below are rushed (My usual speed is missing due to my being on a short vacation.), and support my claims less directly than indirectly -- but, there are literally millions of such links that support my different claims (at least indirectly), you all can find them easily without my help and I think that a neutral audience/jury would disagree with your claims #1 and #2 above and below, anyway.
- So, after this, I'll move on to #3 -- which, I think is the only real issue here.
1. Bayesian statistics does not apply to my argument.
2. I have no evidence to support P(H) and P(~H).
2.1. As I said before, personally I think that there is a lot of evidence for immateriality and for life after death -- you guys just don't think that any of that is credible.
2.2. But then, all I’m asking for is a credibility of 1%!
2.3. And, I doubt that I need even that in order to make my case. I think that any ‘real’ number (I don’t think ‘real’ is the right word, but I don’t know what the correct word is -- and you guys should know what I mean anyway) as the prior probability of ~OOFLam should be sufficient -- as the likelihood of my current existence – given modern science (and OOFLam in particular) – is not a ‘real’ number.
2.4. Then, there’s NDEs, OOBEs, and claimed reincarnation. (Googling “Evidence for life after death,” I got over 9,000,000 hits.)
2.5. There’s evidence for all the different sub-categories under parapsychology. (Googling “Evidence for paranormal,” I got 670,000 hits.)
2.6. Most of us don’t remember most of our dreams – if we have had previous lifetimes, would we remember them?
2.7. For many of us (most of us?), consciousness would seem to be anything but physical – the prototype of non-physical -- and if somehow physical, is different than anything else we call physical.
2.8. Then,
2.8.1. We humans think in two different ways – analytically and holistically.
2.8.2. These appear to be the result of two cerebral hemispheres – one processing data analytically, while the other processes data holistically.
2.8.3. Each of us tends to be dominated by one or the other – men, especially.
2.8.4. It appears that what we call “transcendence” is perceived, or imagined, only by the holistic hemisphere.
2.8.5. In other words, either the analytic hemisphere is transcendence-blind, or the holistic hemisphere hallucinates.
2.8.6. Western schools teach mostly towards the analytic hemisphere.
2.8.7. People who do well in western schools tend to be dominated by their analytic hemispheres – especially those people most interested in science.
2.8.8. As they progress through school, they become more dominated by their analytic hemispheres.
2.8.9. This could be why so many scientists dismiss transcendence, and immateriality.
2.8.10. They could be right to do that; but, they could also be wrong…
2.9. Now, I’ll see what I can do towards supporting claims “2.4.” through “2.8.”
2.9.1. (2.4. NDEs, OOBEs and reincarnation claims)
2.9.1.1.
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/s...-body-and-near-death-experiences-9780195.html
2.9.1.2.
http://livingontheedge.org/broadcas...e-after-death-part-1/daily-radio#.V584DLgrK00
2.9.1.3.
http://worldnewsdailyreport.com/german-scientists-prove-there-is-life-after-death/
2.9.1.4.
http://www.16rounds.com/2009/01/evidence-for-reincarnation/
2.9.2. (2.5. different sub-categories under parapsychology)
2.9.2.1.
http://whatculture.com/science/10-compelling-pieces-evidence-prove-ghosts-real
2.9.2.2.
http://hplusmagazine.com/2010/11/04...eleases-powerful-new-evidence-human-mind-can/
2.9.2.3.
http://www.spiritoday.com/telekinesis-psychokinesis/
2.9.3. (2.6. Most of us don’t remember most of our dreams.)
2.9.3.1.
http://www.bustle.com/articles/7138...reams-5-questions-about-dream-recall-answered
2.9.3.2.
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencet...esearchers-uncover-people-recall-morning.html
2.9.4. (2.7. Consciousness – the prototype of non-physical.)
2.9.4.1.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hard_problem_of_consciousness
2.9.4.2.
https://www.psychologytoday.com/blog/the-superhuman-mind/201303/what-is-consciousness
2.9.5. (2.8. Analytic vs holistic thinking.)
2.9.5.1.
http://www.intropsych.com/ch07_cognition/analytic_vs_holistic_thinking.html
2.9.5.2.
http://www.slideshare.net/yaryalitsa/holistic-vs-analytical-thinking