First things first. FalseFlag, just because you don’t agree with the technical consensus,
you don’t get to redefine it out of existence:
FalseFlag said:
sts60 said:
Non sequitir. The consensus exists,
Silence is not consensus, consensus being defined as "general agreement".
Nope. I specified the basis for that "general agreement" - based on statements by engineering societies, and the preponderance of scholarly papers by domain experts. That is not an argument from silence. As I stated before, if you have evidence that official statements from engineering societies do
not represent the consensus of their membership, or that the preponderance of technical papers do
not represent the top-level agreement (non-CD, non-nukes, non-energy rays, etc.) of the preponderance of domain experts, feel free to present it.
Otherwise, you're simply pointing at the available data and saying it says the opposite of what it says. You say you don’t have time to provide data for your contention that no consensus exists; that’s fine, it’s your time, but in that case no one is obliged to pay any attention to it.
FalseFlag said:
sts60 said:
(When AE911 did try to formally bring their claims up in front of AIA, they were overwhelmingly rejected, so that is not a promising start.)
Agreed, but Gage has learned from his mistakes. Let's see what happens this year.
How many years has he been peddling his story without changing the consensus? But let's accept your McGuffin as an indicator of the validity of his claims. If AIA votes to support some variant of a controlled demolition scenario, then I would agree that would lend some credibility to his (and, by extension, your) position. What will you say if they reject him again?
FalseFlag said:
sts60 said:
But according to you, anyone with "common sense" and "basic physics" can figure out what really happened. So why the appeal to the McGuffin of AE911's "evidence", which somehow hasn't been presented in the right way or to enough people or whatever? You're not being very consistent.
No. Can you provide any documentation which shows that everyone who voted on the AIA resolution was presented with all of the evidence?
If you're saying that there is new
observational evidence - validated material samples, previously-unseen visual imagery, etc. - then AE911 is certainly welcome to present it, and we'll see what happens (see above). In this case, since you are evidently endorsing their position, then a non-expert (you) can come to the right conclusion by simply examining this new evidence. But
your own position is that a non-expert is not credible, so why should anyone accept your endorsement?
If, on the other hand, you're saying that AE911 has new
derived evidence - i.e., new models, new analytical approximations, new interpretations of any sort - then, since they represent themselves as authorities based on their collective expertise, clearly expertise
is required. In which case, how does a non-expert (you) come to the conclusion that they are right and the consensus is wrong? Because you have set things up so that you are
always right, as is demonstrated below.
FalseFlag said:
I do agree with the (modified) statement where everyone with common sense and a knowledge of basic physics can figure out what the most likely hypothesis is. The most likely hypothesis was not investigated by NIST.
So we’re back to expertise
not being required, according to you. As I have asked several times before, how can you be sure? Does your knowledge of "basic physics" inform you about topics such as eutectic melting, or very high strain rate fracture mechanics?
And, if expertise is not required, why do you say that you will not give “any credibility to [his] conclusions” when talking to another layman? You’re contradicting yourself.
FalseFlag said:
sts60 said:
But you're telling me that you validate Cole because his claims are in line with your "basic" understanding.
Is this wrong? No, it's not. I believe that you are trying to make a claim that only experts have the authority and credibility to understand what really happened.
Not really, at least not at the higher levels, but the laymen
have to understand the limits of their knowledge. I've seen plenty of laymen grasp how various aspects of the Apollo program worked, for example. But they didn't start out from a position that their "basic" knowledge and "common sense" was all they needed to evaluate the data.
FalseFlag said:
This is partially true. I certainly don't have the authority and credibility to tell you exactly what happened during the three collapses. What I can do is apply very basic laws of physics to tell you with 100 percent certainly that what we have been told happened is a lie.
I have heard from plenty of people who applied very basic laws of physics to tell me with 100 percent certainty that manned space flight was impossible. They were not one whit less astute than you in stating that F=ma. Like you, they did nothing to validate their understanding of how things actually
work when you move beyond very simple systems.
FalseFlag said:
You don't need to listen to me, I can point you to experts who will say the same thing.
Because you, the layman, are 100% confident that you can judge that "your" experts are correct, and all the other experts are wrong. That is a
necessary aspect of your statement, according to your own arguments. See above remarks on validation, lack thereof.
Worse, your evaluation is
incapable of coming to any other conclusion:
If someone is a layman who does not agree with you, they’re wrong:
FalseFlag said:
You are certainly entitled to your opinion. You are certainly entitled to make your own conclusions. The issue is that your conclusions are those of an average person, not a person who is a scientist, architect, or engineer. Because of this, I do not give any credibility to your conclusions.
If someone is an expert who does not agree with you, they’re wrong:
FalseFlag said:
Simple. Provide a sample statement by one of the so-called "experts", and I will tell you whether or not it conforms to or rejects basic science. If it does neither, or is clearly on a topic that I am not qualified to make a credible statement on, I will say so. I will also provide you with proof to support my claim, which is more than anyone else here seems to be willing to do.
No, I am not oversimplifying this, because according to
you:
(1) The expert’s position “rejects basic science” if it doesn’t agree with Cole, AE911, or other CD-type claims.
(2) You know this because you know “basic physics”.
(3) “Basic physics” applies because it is correctly represented by Cole (and, presumably AE911, etc.)
(4) Cole (and presumably AE911, etc.) are correct because they are in line with “what [you] already know about science”.
You
cannot agree with anyone who disputes you, according to your own rules. There can be no exception to the rule, because you have “validated” your knowledge by an entirely circular argument.
This is a fundamental problem, and unless you address it, you simply can’t progress.