Moderated JFK conspiracy theories: it never ends III

Status
Not open for further replies.
I've never been shot by a rifle from 300 feet behind me, so it's hard to say why I would have heard, except me yelling or screaming (hopefully, otherwise it's a bad day).

Fortunately, that is not true. The HSCA conducted extensive tests on the same model rifle that Oswald allegedly used and the same ammunition.

They discovered that you would have been exposed to a shock wave which generated a 130+ decibel sound level, followed by a muzzle blast that was almost as loud.

There is no sound evidence, and you can't tell what people heard or didn't hear based off their reactions or supposed non-reactions on a grainy silent film.

That is also untrue. Thanks to people like Hunt and Landis, we know exactly how people will react when startled by extremely loud sounds. Roy Kellerman is a classic example.

http://jfkhistory.com/kellerman2.gif

I was into this stuff for a long time, and I've seen some pretty plausible CTs come and go (mostly go). This isn't one of them.

What do you think is the most plausible explanation for why 5 people reacted as they did, in the same 1/6th of a second of one another and Abraham Zapruder?

And what is your explanation for why most witnesses only heard one of the supposedly 130 decibel, high powered, early shots?

Answer those questions and then you will have the right to demean my analysis.
 
Bump for Robert:

http://www.internationalskeptics.com/forums/showthread.php?postid=10755026#post10755026

Still waiting for your reasons for believing Ellsworth's decades-later recollection.

Hank

I've already responded to your hotkeyed "cant trust the witnesses" pitch.

This was a law enforcement professional who was involved in the most important case of his life. If you think he suffered some kind of delusion, then that's your prerogative. It's strange though, that you never come to this conclusion about any of the cops who don't make inconvenient statements:)

What I found interesting is that Ellsworth's story is a perfect match for the oft repeated claim that the police actually found a Mauser a the 6th floor.

Let's suppose, hypothetically, that they found a Mauser on the 6th floor and Oswald's rifle on the 5th. What would have happened over the weekend, if they were confronted by FBI people, enforcing the federal dictate that,

"The public must be satisfied that Oswald was the assassin; that he did not have confederates who are still at large; and that the evidence was such that he would have been convicted at trial."


Are you beginning to understand why I have suggested that the most likely location for the other high powered rifle sniper, is the same floor that Oswald was on?
 
I've already responded to your hotkeyed "cant trust the witnesses" pitch.

This was a law enforcement professional who was involved in the most important case of his life. If you think he suffered some kind of delusion, then that's your prerogative. It's strange though, that you never come to this conclusion about any of the cops who don't make inconvenient statements:)

What I found interesting is that Ellsworth's story is a perfect match for the oft repeated claim that the police actually found a Mauser a the 6th floor.

Let's suppose, hypothetically, that they found a Mauser on the 6th floor and Oswald's rifle on the 5th. What would have happened over the weekend, if they were confronted by FBI people, enforcing the federal dictate that,

"The public must be satisfied that Oswald was the assassin; that he did not have confederates who are still at large; and that the evidence was such that he would have been convicted at trial."


Are you beginning to understand why I have suggested that the most likely location for the other high powered rifle sniper, is the same floor that Oswald was on?

Giving full credence to an outlier witness statement only given decades after the fact and which is contradicted by all the other evidence, including film, as well as all contemporary witness statements. Implying a cover-up from the level of the Dallas Police Department on up.

Misrepresentation of the memo, which actually stressed that the public must be given "all the facts."

Duly noted.

And what "other high powered rifle sniper"? This is but a figment of your imagination, as has been shown here.


Bob, you believe the Warren Commission was a cover-up; do you, therefore, believe the government was not interested in knowing whether a possibly international conspiracy was behind the killing of the president? If that seems to you, as it does to me, a proposition that truly beggars belief, then what agency carried out the real, in-earnest investigation?
 
Last edited:
They discovered that you would have been exposed to a shock wave which generated a 130+ decibel sound level, followed by a muzzle blast that was almost as loud.
Why do you keep spouting this crap? There is no way a Carcano using standard ammo is so "quiet". It would actually be much louder. I wish I could get a rifle like that as quiet with a good quality silencer attached.

Ranb
 
I am declaring the "null hypothesis" to be that Oswald had accomplices.

Nope, the null hypothesis can't be simply "something else happened". If you have an alternate null hypothesis, please state it in its entirety here. Otherwise, the null hypothesis is your "lone nut" theory.

We'll handle it from there.
 
So many CT advocates think that being on a case of exceptional importance means recall and memory is inherently trustworthy, because an expert will always remember something so important.

This is untrue. Consider Charles Swanson, the officer in charge of the Jack The Ripper investigation. In his personal notes, scribbled I the margin of memoirs by another lead officer I the case, Swanson described how he identified the Ripper in an asylum, had him transferred to the Seaside Home (for convelescent officers) to be identified, before returning him to the asylum where he died shortly after. All exciting stuff, honestly remembered. But the seaside home had not opened in 1888, the witness named was not a violent maniac, and still had fifteen years to live.

Obviously, over the decades, the names and details of Polish Jewish suspects got confused and the name muddled. Or he managed to forget the most dangerous killer of his time could be released as a harmless schizophrenic at any moment.


Memory and testemony is failiable, and more so over time.
 
Robert ignores the data posts and goes straight for a post that was an summary aside to another poster. Robert claims he wants to talk about the assassination, but curiously, skips over any posts of mine that discuss the witnesses recollections in detail.


What is "unfortunate" is that so many people are impervious to the evidence which proves them wrong.

Absolutely. Is that why you're not even trying to rebut the points I made concerning Connally, nor defend your straw man arguments about what I said?


Well of course! Never mind that every attempt you have made to push this nonsense has been thoroughly refuted and every one of "your" witnesses has flatly contradicted you:-)

You ultimately agreed with my claims about John Connally. You never disputed my claims about Clint Hill, all you said was there was no else who said that. You've since admitted that was wrong, as you ultimately conceded Connally's recollection agreed with Clint Hill's -- both heard only two shots and one impact on the head.


Both Clint Hill and John Connally were crystal clear that the last shot they heard, was exactly that. Neither of them even hinted that they thought they heard two shots from one.

It's still a straw argument every time you talk about Hill or Connally talking about two shots at the very end. That's not what they said; and that's not what I said they they said. It's not even what you said.

Both said they heard a shot and an impact of the shot at the end of the shooting. I said that, you agreed to it. Realizing the problems with your admissions, and how it impeaches your conclusions, you're trying to back track now and muddy the waters by bring in straw man arguments.

Prolong the conversation rather than reach a conclusion.


This has to be one of the most idiotic arguments I have heard from you guys all day:-) You think that because no evidence was found in an unsearched building, that this is some kind of proof that no assassins were there.

You think that because no evidence was found in an unsearched building, that this is some kind of proof that no pink unicorns were there.

No one found evidence of pink unicorns in that unsearched building, nor did any witnesses outside in Dealey Plaza see any pink unicorns in the building nor did anyone see pink unicorns enter the building, nor did anyone see any pink unicorns leave the building.

Exactly what evidence we have of assassins, we have for pink unicorns as well.

By your "logic", this is some kind of proof pink unicorns accompanied the snipers into the building to act as spotters. It works the exact same way.


And you deny the ridiculously obvious fact that a sniper would choose to remain unseen and not leave an evidence trail.

Further evidence that there were pink unicorns in the building! You deny the ridiculously obvious fact that pink unicorns also choose to remain unseen and not leave an evidence trail! Have you ever seen a pink unicorn? Did you ever find any evidence of one? See, this proves my contention that pink unicorns were inside the building with those assassins! There is *just as much evidence* for the pink unicorns as there is for the sniper or snipers you conjecture.


Meanwhile, you don't want to talk about the infinitely more important facts that at least one of the early shots was inaudible to most of the witnesses and none of them were loud enough to provoke the kind of reactions that followed 285 and 313.

Really, do I have to explain this every time you pretend to not understand the point?

I already pointed out some flaws with that, none of which you choose to address. You're likewise ignoring my points about what Connally heard (advancing a straw man rebuttal instead), you're ignoring your own admission that Connally said he heard both the shot and the impact of the shot on the head, and you're ignoring the true import of that statement (and of the other witnesses who said much the same thing) -- that one solution here is two shots and one sound of impact on the skull, not three shots.

And especially not your argument for suppressed shots, multiple shooters, and inventive interpretations of the eyewitness testimony and the Zapruder film.

The two shot-one impact sound scenario fits entirely those witnesses who reported two closely bunched, almost simultaneous 'shots'. Especially clear were Clint Hill and John Connally, both of whom explicitly mentioned one final shot and one sound of impact.



How could those shots have been fired from a high powered rifle that produced sound levels that were 16 TIMES LOUDER than the level which has been proven to cause involuntary startle reactions and permanent hearing loss with extended exposure??

Begging the question.


Don't you think THAT evidence is infinitely more important than that snipers did exactly what we should expect them to do, to avoid getting caught?

Along with the pink unicorns, Robert, along with the pink unicorns. They did exactly what we should expect pink unicorns to do as well, to avoid getting caught.

Hank
 
Last edited:
I've already responded to your hotkeyed "cant trust the witnesses" pitch.

No, you just treated us to a couple of unproven assertions, adding additional unproven claims onto your original unproven claim to try to salvage the original unproven claim.


This was a law enforcement professional who was involved in the most important case of his life.

You know that how? Please tell us what other high-profile cases Ellsworth worked on, and how important his role was in each, and then we can decide if your assertion is true. On the day of the assassination, Ellsworth was in Dealey Plaza as a civilian, as I recall. He had no official duties. He pitched in to help search the building and that was, to the best of my recollection, the extent of his involvement in this case. How does that minimal involvement make him able to have perfect recall of everything he did that day decades later? Can you explain your argument here?


If you think he suffered some kind of delusion, then that's your prerogative.

Doesn't even come close to what I said. Just another straw man argument. Do address the points I make, not the ones you wish to pretend I made, to better rebut them.



It's strange though, that you never come to this conclusion about any of the cops who don't make inconvenient statements:)

Wow. What's strange about it? If six witnesses say the same thing shortly after the commission of a crime, and the hard evidence recovered tells the same story, and the autopsists determine the body confirms the eyewitness account and the hard evidence, why would *anyone* question the eyewitnesses recollection? It's strange that you would think this is a good rebuttal to Ellsworth's decades-later recollection, the problems for which I already pointed out in the past, and you ignored.

Here they are again:

== QUOTE ==
I see several reasons to doubt him.

1. There's no corroboration for his recollection.
2. His recollection is from decades after the fact.
3. The contemporaneous testimony and memos put the recovered weapon on the same floor as the recovered shells.
4. Photos and films show the weapon recovered was on the sixth floor.
5. No photos and films exist of this supposed other rifle.
6. Only one weapon was removed from the Depository on the afternoon of 11/22/63 - the MC with the serial # C2766.


Why should we trust the outlier recollection? Why do you put any credibility into it, when you can't remember what you were arguing a few hours earlier?

== UNQUOTE ==

You never answered any of this.


What I found interesting is that Ellsworth's story is a perfect match for the oft repeated claim that the police actually found a Mauser a the 6th floor.

Ellsworth's claim that a rifle was recovered on the fourth or fifth floor is a perfect match for a Mauser being found on the sixth floor?

And pink unicorns look exactly like purple cows.




Let's suppose, hypothetically, that they found a Mauser on the 6th floor and Oswald's rifle on the 5th.

Why? So you can introduce supposition, conjecture, and innuendo into the record and simply assume what you need to prove?



What would have happened over the weekend, if they were confronted by FBI people, enforcing the federal dictate that,

"The public must be satisfied that Oswald was the assassin; that he did not have confederates who are still at large; and that the evidence was such that he would have been convicted at trial."

I already covered the Katzenbach memo in detail, showing how you were taking a few lines out of context, and ignoring Katzenbach's testimony explaining the memo, and how you were merely putting your interpretation of the memo in place of his explanation of the memo. You didn't address any of that. You ignored it. Repeating the same claims, and failing to address the rebuttal, isn't a good approach.


Are you beginning to understand why I have suggested that the most likely location for the other high powered rifle sniper, is the same floor that Oswald was on?

No. Not in the least. According to you, there weren't two rifles recovered on the sixth floor. Only one. According to the hard evidence (films and photos), the rifle found on the sixth floor was a Mannlicher-Carcano. And not just any Mannlicher-Carcano.

OSWALDS!

That was determined by a panel of experts working for the HSCA.

So according to you, if we believe Ellsworth's decades-later recollection, we need to discard, at a minimum:

The testimony of J.C.Day, among numerous others.
The films taken (Tom Alyea) of the rifle in the Depository (that must be a forgery)
The evidence photos taken by J.C.Day of the weapon in place.
The document created by J.C.Day affirming the weapon recovered on the sixth floor bore the serial number of C2766.
The films and photos taken by newsmen of J.C.Day leaving the building with a Mannlicher-Carcano on the afternoon of the assassination.

All of that record was created on the afternoon of the assassination. The memo you cite from Katzenbach (and wrench a few lines out of context) wasn't written until 11/25/63 - three days later. How did the memo reach back in time and get the films and photos altered?

All that needs to be thrown out *ACCORDING TO YOU* because you choose to believe Ellsworth couldn't mis-remember a floor he was on decades after the event.

Sorry, but that's not close to being a good argument by you. It's an absurdity.

I also note with some amusement that you're again arguing for yet another sniper (at least the fourth you've argued for), this one a second one on the sixth floor of the Depository.

So two in the Depository, one in the Dal-Tex, and one in front of the President. Any others?

Those four assassins, according to you, were responsible for a minimum of five shots, and yet the vast majority of the witnesses heard only three shots (or, in the case of two people closest to the President, Clint Hill and John Connally, just two shots and the sound of the impact of the final shot on the head).

Hank
 
Last edited:
So many CT advocates think that being on a case of exceptional importance means recall and memory is inherently trustworthy, because an expert will always remember something so important.

This is untrue. Consider Charles Swanson, the officer in charge of the Jack The Ripper investigation. In his personal notes, scribbled I the margin of memoirs by another lead officer I the case, Swanson described how he identified the Ripper in an asylum, had him transferred to the Seaside Home (for convelescent officers) to be identified, before returning him to the asylum where he died shortly after. All exciting stuff, honestly remembered. But the seaside home had not opened in 1888, the witness named was not a violent maniac, and still had fifteen years to live.

Well that settles it for me!

If Charles Swanson forgot something, every cop who was involved in the JFK case, must have been delusional!

How do I compete with critical thinking like this?

Obviously, over the decades, the names and details of Polish Jewish suspects got confused and the name muddled. Or he managed to forget the most dangerous killer of his time could be released as a harmless schizophrenic at any moment.

This whole argument is ridiculous. At the risk of doing a little stereotyping myself, LN advocates arbitrarily declare ONLY inconvenient witnesses, AKA witnesses who contradict their favorite theory, to be delusional or liars. When is the last time one of you argued that Howard Brennan was full of crap:-)
 
Now you see the game.

Hi Jay.

According to the Warren Commission, most of the witnesses said they heard a single shot, followed by a delay and then "closely bunched" shots at the end.

Why do you suppose that so many people didn't hear more than one, early shot?
 
Well that settles it for me!

If Charles Swanson forgot something, every cop who was involved in the JFK case, must have been delusional!

How do I compete with critical thinking like this?

The statement beginning "If Charles Swanson forgot something..." is entirely your own invention. It doesn't follow at all from what Hank wrote—not even close.

Hank never said anyone was "delusional." If a person's memory is inaccurate, that is not (usually) a sign that they are delusional. It merely means they made a mistake.

By what (decidedly bizarre) "reasoning" do you read the critique of one recollection that doesn't pass muster when compared with all the physical evidence, documentation and contemporary witnesses as impugning "every cop who was involved"?

You have turned the definition of critical thinking on its head.

And how would you explain this odd phenomenon that only one person's memory, decades after the fact, would be correct, and everyone and everything else mentioned here, collected in 1963, wrong? Oh, right, you already told us. Magical cover-up fairy dust.

This whole argument is ridiculous. At the risk of doing a little stereotyping myself, LN advocates arbitrarily declare ONLY inconvenient witnesses, AKA witnesses who contradict their favorite theory, to be delusional or liars. When is the last time one of you argued that Howard Brennan was full of crap:-)

I guess it's just an odd coincidence, then, that the witnesses that support the non-conspiracist point of view do not contradict the physical evidence, documentation and other contemporary witness accounts.
 
The statement beginning "If Charles Swanson forgot something..." is entirely your own invention. It doesn't follow at all from what Hank wrote—not even close.

Great catch!

Except that as you can easily see, I wasn't replying to Hank. I was replying to post #3286.

Hank never said anyone was "delusional." If a person's memory is inaccurate, that is not (usually) a sign that they are delusional. It merely means they made a mistake.

Uh huh.

So what was Hank's best argument that proves Ellsworth made a mistake?
 
Loftus and others did some very good work in this area, and she wrote it up in a few very readable books. She's also a very nice lady.

How many cases did Loftus discover, in which such a large consensus of witnesses made exactly the same "mistake"?
 
Status
Not open for further replies.

Back
Top Bottom