Is ESP More Probable Than Advanced Alien Life?

I’ve already told you I’m satisfied with the veracity of the procedures used by the author, I’m satisfied with the credibility of the author, and I’m satisfied with the conclusions that the author comes to.
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But you can not show why.
I've asked you several times where in the article, according to you, the author showed the data for the referenced experiments to be valid.
Although you claim that he did, you refuse to show it or are incapable of showing it.


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You, and others, have – a number of times now – flat out accused the author of scientific fraud by using invalid data.
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I have? Can you show me where? Or will this question as well result in you running away from the question like a little girl?

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So are any of you prepared to back up your words and challenge the author, or are you content to just throw stones from the sidelines?
Again, can you show where in the article, according to you (you claimed he did) the author showed that the data of the referenced experiments is valid?
 
... to hook up the individual to some variety of scanning technology ...
That is one of the fundamental potential functions of neural scanning technology. To ‘interpret’ neural events so the patient does not have to do it for you.
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Ah, right. So this currently fantasy neural scanner machine scans neural activity, a physical event.

Do you think that the physical brain and it's physical activity which such a machine would scan, means that mind and brain are not separate entities?
 
Very nice. Please feel free to demonstrate what it is, precisely, that you find compelling about Derakshani's blog post, and what specific, objective evidence for the existence of "ESP" is provided therein.
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Perhaps annnnoid and his friend Maaneli Derakhshani have something in common:
... Maaneli goes to some length to suggest they are frauds.
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If we use Maaneli 's conclusions (that Massimo is basically a fraud ...

Which may be all annnnoid requires.
 
Unless the fraud accusation by Maaneli is an invention by annnnoid. I haven't checked.
 
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I guess we can leave that for others to judge.

And we're back to dredging up four-year-old conversations in an attempt to smear the opposition rather than actually addressing what is being argued now.

Unsurprising, but disappointing. I was hoping you might have some material newer than January of 2011.

Appears not, though, so I'll just say this: if all you can do to defend your nonsensical claims is drag up a four-year-old conversation of someone else making a mistake which has since been corrected, with the intent to shame and embarrass, you really don't have much of an argument.

One of us is still trapped in that idiocy.

It isn't me.
 
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I’ve already told you I’m satisfied with the veracity of the procedures used by the author, I’m satisfied with the credibility of the author, and I’m satisfied with the conclusions that the author comes to.

You, and others, have – a number of times now – flat out accused the author of scientific fraud by using invalid data.

So are any of you prepared to back up your words and challenge the author, or are you content to just throw stones from the sidelines?

Unless we vanquish your champion you win?
 
But you can not show why.
I've asked you several times where in the article, according to you, the author showed the data for the referenced experiments to be valid.
Although you claim that he did, you refuse to show it or are incapable of showing it.

I have? Can you show me where? Or will this question as well result in you running away from the question like a little girl?

Again, can you show where in the article, according to you (you claimed he did) the author showed that the data of the referenced experiments is valid?


My…but you are eager to penetrate the armor of this pointless issue…aren’t you.

I think I’m just going to wait and see how long it takes for this one to get dumped to AAH. Then if you want to rephrase the question I’d be happy to answer it….just as long as you demonstrate an interest in actually establishing the validity of the data (y’know…science and all that). So far…not even close. You’re just interested in scoring points. Good for you. Have a jelly-bean.

Meanwhile…I’m off like a little girl.

Ah, right. So this currently fantasy neural scanner machine scans neural activity, a physical event.

Do you think that the physical brain and it's physical activity which such a machine would scan, means that mind and brain are not separate entities?


I seriously doubt this is the thread to be getting into a discussion of whether or not the mind and the brain are, or are not, phenomenologically distinct (and if you were to get off your racing horse and think about it for a moment you'd probably come to the same conclusion). Suffice it to say that one of the worlds leading neuroscientists believes they are.
 
<civilitysnip>
I seriously doubt this is the thread to be getting into a discussion of whether or not the mind and the brain are, or are not, phenomenologically distinct (and if you were to get off your racing horse and think about it for a moment you'd probably come to the same conclusion). Suffice it to say that one of the worlds leading neuroscientists believes they are.
highlight added
...evidence?
 
And we're back to dredging up four-year-old conversations in an attempt to smear the opposition rather than actually addressing what is being argued now.

Unsurprising, but disappointing. I was hoping you might have some material newer than January of 2011.

Appears not, though, so I'll just say this: if all you can do to defend your nonsensical claims is drag up a four-year-old conversation of someone else making a mistake which has since been corrected, with the intent to shame and embarrass, you really don't have much of an argument.

One of us is still trapped in that idiocy.

It isn't me.


...but you said you had never made such a claim. Quite obviously you did. I have to wonder at all this sudden contrition. That is the first time in four years of reminders that you have admitted it was a mistake.

Shall I conclude that accusing me of being staggeringly ignorant was also a mistake...seeing how it was you who, in fact, made the 'staggeringly ignorant' mistake? Or shall we get into another brawl over what the abilities of current scanning technology actually are?
 
In this specific case, he is right.

Minds and brains are distinct entities. They are not equivalent. Brains produce minds.

My question had more to do with the bit of attempted name-dropping, asking for evidence to support the claim that:
... one of the worlds leading neuroscientists believes they are.
 
In this specific case, he is right.

Minds and brains are distinct entities. They are not equivalent. Brains produce minds.


...wow...we're seriously on a roll here! How many times did I read: 'the mind IS the brain'...or some such weirdness. Are you drinking something you shouldn't be?????

Dr. Christof Koch: Yeah, and I adopt that and so I take the point of view that ultimately that consciousness is something real; it’s ontologically distinct. It’s different from the brain that gives rise to it.
 
To quickly finish up with this post, we have to show that the posterior probability, P(H|D), can be either 1 or 0.

Consider a hypothesis, H1, it's complement, H0, and data, D. P(H1|D) = 1 if P(D|H0) = 0. For example, say that H1 is the hypothesis that a bag of marbles contains at least one white marble. For D, we pick one marble randomly from the bag and observe that it is white. Clearly, P(D|H0) = 0. Writing Bayes' Theorem explicitly in terms of H1 and H0,

png.latex

and plugging in 0 for P(D|H0), shows that P(H1|D) = 1 for any P(H1) ≠ 0 and any P(D|H1) ≠ 0. Since P(H1|D) = 1 implies that P(H0|D) = 0, switching the labels of the hypotheses shows that P(H1|D) can be 0 as well.
 
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...wow...we're seriously on a roll here! How many times did I read: 'the mind IS the brain'...or some such weirdness. Are you drinking something you shouldn't be?????

"The mind is the brain" is nonsense.

"Minds do not exist without brains", on the other hand, remains entirely correct.
 
Even assuming that this was a ridiculous claim--something that has never been established--that IN NO WAY precludes you from making a ridiculous claim. This is just mud-slinging in an attempt to distract us from the poor quality of your own arguments.


My only claims…are that there is a great deal of, at the very least, anecdotal evidence that supports the ESP position. I would also insist that the research that has been done in the area is, at worst, inconclusive leaning towards favoring the ESP phenomenon. It is not a slam dunk and I never suggested it is. Anyone who has taken the time to look into the issues must come to the conclusion that it is every bit as complex as any major area of cognitive study…more so actually (for reasons that do not require exposition here). Thus I find the inevitable reductionist approach tedious in the extreme (“show me someone who can predict a lottery number and I’ll believe you”).

Many here have tried to argue that anecdotal evidence is irrelevant…despite the indisputable fact that it provides the foundation of our personal and social lives. It may not be explicitly scientifically admissible as such, but it is far from irrelevant (as any credible psychoanalyst will agree). Given the complexity, psychological characteristics, and prevalence of ESP reports (easily above epidemic levels), it is absurd to so casually dismiss the phenomena, especially when (and this is a documented fact) so little clinical study has actually been done in the mainstream academic community (why?...just ask any academic who has tried to get funding for such research or who has publicly admitted to an interest in studying the phenomenon).

Not to mention the indisputable fact that since science has absolutely no ability to conclusively establish exactly what is (or is not) going on within the subjective experience of anyone (as of this point in time), it is simply impossible to establish that what these people experience is NOT what these people say they experience.

Essentially…the ONLY way science could establish that a cognitive event did not happen would be if science had the capacity to definitively adjudicate cognitive events in real time as they occur. Science currently has nothing even closely resembling this capacity.

Nonsense. If someone claims to be able to read my mind, and cannot tell what I'm thinking at a higher rate than chance would allow, I can conclude that they cannot read my mind. That's just one exampleGiven what I've said .


You certainly can conclude that and I would be surprised if you came to any other conclusion. What you cannot conclusively establish is that this ‘someone’ cannot read your mind. You can doubt it and challenge it till kingdom come…but short of having access to some mythical technology ….you cannot establish what anyone is, or is not, experiencing subjectively.

Obviously, were such technology available, the veracity of any claim made by any individual could immediately be established. It would also utterly revolutionize the psychology profession …not to mention upend the entire world.

Please do not confuse me with other people. That's a very annoying thing to do, and demonstrates a very slip-shod method of argument. I DO NOT believe that scanning technology can give us a 100% clear picture of the mind; I believe that such a concept is overly-reductionistic, and is akin to trying to learn ecology by studying tissue function.


You have said as much in previous posts so I have no reason to doubt you. My apologies for confusing you with anyone else.

Then again, I also recognize--which you apparently do not--that neurology isn't the only science studying the mind. Psychology and psychiatry are two others.


I realize perfectly well that there are a great many disciplines involved in cognitive studies of one variety or another. Neurology, though, is specifically concerned with how the brain generates the mind. More than a few neuroscientists currently admit that they don’t have a clue as to how that happens…thus, it is slightly irritating to have to constantly challenge the notion that neuroscience has developed the capacity to explicitly translate neural events into their equivalent cognitive events. Current technology doesn’t come within light years of such abilities and, as you have indicated, probably never will.

This is you cramming words into my mouth so hard your hand is somewhere around my colon. *I* get to make my arguments, and if you continue to refuse to accept that there is no sense in continuing to engage with you. There's already very little point in such engagement--I know that all that will happen if I disagree with you is that you'll insult me and refuse to provide any data,a s though attacking me personally has any bearing on the debate--but if you're not even willing to allow me to make my own arguments there is literally no point in discussing anything with you. It's no longer a discussion; you're handling both sides!


My insults were…inappropriate. There are those, on the other hand, who deserve them. If you disagree with me at least I can expect an actual argument. I don’t really care if you do… or if you don’t like me. I simply care that you are credible, reasonable, and have what I call integrity.

Besides, you're continuing to ignore my posts where I provided exactly what you're looking for. Your arguments display all the traits of the worst sort of pseudoscience.


Posts have been sent to AAH. I will look there.
 
...wow...we're seriously on a roll here! How many times did I read: 'the mind IS the brain' ...or some such weirdness. Are you drinking something you shouldn't be?????

Dr. Christof Koch : Yeah, and I adopt that and so I take the point of view that ultimately that consciousness is something real; it’s ontologically distinct. It’s different from the brain that gives rise to it.

You have a careless habit of poor attribution.

Where did you read this ?

What is the source of this quote?
 

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