Machiavelli
Philosopher
- Joined
- Sep 19, 2010
- Messages
- 5,844
Really? Then how did Novelli get the data?
By requesting access to Stefanoni's laboratory. Something the defence experts did not do.
Really? Then how did Novelli get the data?
Unless it's badly translated, Nencini's motivation records his task was simply to determine whether Knox and Sollecito pre-planned the murder or just got carried away with a sex game that got out of hand. In that context, it's difficult to see why the EDFs matter. In fact, it's not easy to see whether the defence teams properly grasped what the appeal was about. As I say, it may be the motivation is poorly translated but, in it, Nencini records his task as follows (as I posted recently):
By requesting access to Stefanoni's laboratory. Something the defence experts did not do.
Look, I am perfectly ready to talk about C&V's report, but I cannot talk about so all topics. I have spent already too much timereading this forum on my cell phone this Sunday.
I also add that the things that would attract my attention, that I consider relevant or important to discuss about in the C&V report, are probably not the same things that are seen as important by pro-Knox supporters. And not only I would consider the letter of the report, I would also criticize the sources of C&V's statements, their process of collecting the information basis for their reasoning; and I would also cross the text of report with trial papers and with the testimonies of the same Conti and Vecchiotti. And also, consider jurisprudence.
The question is not about being a good or bad scientist. The problem with Vecchiotti and her not testing the 36I trace, which was duly spotted by the Supreme Court, is not with their being good or bad scientists but rather their being unfaithful expert witnesses. As by the words used by the Supreme Court to address the point, they were dishonest, not bad. They lied when they said that the decision of not testing the 36I trace was a shared with all parties experts including Novelli, since there is no signature and no agreement to that. They violated the borders of their mandate which was to perform tests they should have accomplished, they acted as judges and not as experts because they decided themselves what evidence they should seek and collect and what the field of their research would be - in violation to a judges' order - based on their own judgement about what potentuial DNA result should be judged reliable by a court, and they violated the judges' order saying whenever they foundthemselves before a new decision to take, they should consult with the judges before taking any decision (and not after).
In addition to that, ultimately they are considered unreliable experts for all what they have done, but also because they were appointed by a judge who is now considered discredited and leading a trial following an illegitimate conduct (you can't question this if you read the Supreme Court annullment).
The downstairs profiles were all suppressed.
The cops clearly suspected that someone from downstairs committed the crime. They did their first sampling there, and tested those samples first. They must have been shocked when all of the boys returned with rock solid alibis. I wonder when the last of the boys established his alibi? I'm guessing on the 4th or even the 5th. I'm guessing that with Romanelli and Mazzetti having good alibis, by process of elimination, that left Knox as the sole suspect. That's how stupid these cops were.
The question is, why was it so important to disappear the downstairs test results after the boys' involvement was excluded? Two things come to mind: 1) it would have made no sense for Knox to go down there, and 2) it could have undermined the staged break-in theory because the downstairs entry would undeniably have been a real B&E.
Now, as a beginner, self-taught conspiracy theorist, I have more questions.
Suppose, for the sake of argument, that the police decided to "frame" (falsely accuse) Amanda Knox. There would need to be a male conspirator to commit the rape. No problem in terms of the frame - her alibi is her boyfriend. There is a broken window - assigned this to a "staging" to implicate an unknown burglar, who, in terms of the frame, is non-existent.
Why does the frame need Patrick Lumumba? If the messages between Amanda and Patrick are understood in context ("See you later. Good night.") there is no meeting between the two. If the police did not know at the beginning of the interrogation of Amanda and Raffaele who was the source of the semen, it would be reasonable for them to attribute it to Raffaele as part of the frame.
Presumably the police don't have Raffaele's DNA profile at the beginning of the interrogation for comparison to the rape kit (or semen stain, if tested) results. So why not frame him for the rape?
But if there were some evidence of a different male, in particular a sub-Saharan African (that is, a person with DNA suggesting probable ancestry from one of the several sub-Saharan population groups, known from that DNA or perhaps some other indicator: hair or an eye-witness, for example), then adding Patrick to the frame becomes essential.
Of course, for this case, being a conspiracy theorist means working backwards into the void of suppressed evidence and the lies of the officials.
ETA: Without meaning any disrespect to Patrick Lumumba, from photos of him I believe that the police would find his entry into the upstairs apartment through the window highly unlikely or impossible; he seems shorter and less lithe than Rudy Guede. These physical characteristics of Patrick would then suggest to the police, having focused on him because he was Amanda's boss and African, that Amanda (a key holder) had to have let him in. Thus the window breakin was staged. The whole frame is a self-consistent if circular bit of thinking. Obviously, it fell apart because of Patrick's strong alibi, but also should have been seen as totally wrong when the reference DNA profiles of the suspects were compared to the crime scene. Amanda and Raffaele were kept in the frame partly to protect Mignini's reputation, I suspect.
Cherocoy said:- He says he met-up with Meredith at 8:20 or 8:30 PM. He completely hoses himself here. Until 8:55+, Meredith has an alibi: phone, walking with Sophie. Why did Rudy feel the need to have met Meredith earlier? Easy. He needed that they had some intimate time together. Or else EVERYTHING would have happened in just a few minutes from them walking in the front door together. Rudy screwed-the-pooch on that one.
It's an interesting point to note that the one thing that the police knew at the very outset was that the crime involved a male, because it was a sexual assault (see Stef's urgent phone call).
They immediately fixate on the boys downstairs, because they find blood down there. The broken window doesn't make much sense in this scenario, but what does make sense is that a perp from downstairs faked the break in to make it look like some other guy broke in and committed the crime. So, they go with that. It's interesting to note that the break-in samples were actually collected by a totally separate branch of the police (the Provincial Police (who were they?)), suggesting that the Mobile Squad and Stefanoni were disinterested in the break-in at a very early date).
But then, the boys all alibi out of the picture. Knox is the only one left with a key who can't prove that she was out of town. But, they need a male to have actually committed the main crime, due to biology, Knox can be only an accessory. At this point, the downstairs crime scene becomes a liability and it goes out of the picture.
I think that the cops didn't believe that Sollecito was involved in the crime. They called him in for questioning to get him to give up Knox's alibi, so that they could then get Knox to give up her "accomplice" in committing the crime. I think that they already thought that Lumumba was the accomplice because they checked the phone records and knew that there was an exchange of communications between Knox and Lumumba on the night of the murder. They may even have known that they "arranged a meeting."
In your scenario, which may make as much sense as any, that Lumumba and the actual murderer/rapist, Guede, were both of African descent is then a mere coincidence. Could be, but my evil twin, a conspirator theorist, doesn't like it. But coincidences happen.
ETA: Bolded sentence in your post: Her Italian roommates had keys and were in town, with boyfriends, but hired lawyers soon after MK's body was discovered (supposedly to help break the apartment lease?). And my evil twin suggests neither had an African male associate to frame.
It's an interesting point to note that the one thing that the police knew at the very outset was that the crime involved a male, because it was a sexual assault (see Stef's urgent phone call).
They immediately fixate on the boys downstairs, because they find blood down there. The broken window doesn't make much sense in this scenario, but what does make sense is that a perp from downstairs faked the break in to make it look like some other guy broke in and committed the crime. So, they go with that. It's interesting to note that the break-in samples were actually collected by a totally separate branch of the police (the Provincial Police (who were they?)), suggesting that the Mobile Squad and Stefanoni were disinterested in the break-in at a very early date).
But then, the boys all alibi out of the picture. Knox is the only one left with a key who can't prove that she was out of town. But, they need a male to have actually committed the main crime, due to biology, Knox can be only an accessory. At this point, the downstairs crime scene becomes a liability and it goes out of the picture.
I think that the cops didn't believe that Sollecito was involved in the crime. They called him in for questioning to get him to give up Knox's alibi, so that they could then get Knox to give up her "accomplice" in committing the crime. I think that they already thought that Lumumba was the accomplice because they checked the phone records and knew that there was an exchange of communications between Knox and Lumumba on the night of the murder. They may even have known that they "arranged a meeting."
I broadly agree with everything here.
It seems to me that the police and prosecutors in this case were constantly using an improper overarching methodology: that is to say, they were coming up with "theories" of the crime, then searching for evidence to support their theory*. Once they came up against any evidence that conclusively disproved their a priori theory, they tweaked the theory to be compatible with the evidence. This is of course utterly contrary to well-proven best practice, which is to analyse all the evidence first, then use that evidence to develop a theory.
I too think that there's something potentially VERY fishy about the whole situation with the downstairs evidence. In addition, I (like you) believe that by the evening of the 5th November the police/PM had decided that Knox was directly involved in some way, alongside the person with whom by then they knew she'd been in text contact that evening (whom I believe they assumed was the male perpetrator). I also believe that the Police/PM thought Sollecito was only covering for Knox to protect her, but that he had no direct involvement.
And that's why I firmly believe that the plan on the 5th was to bring Sollecito in alone. That way, he would be physically - and emotionally, they hoped - separated from Knox, and the police would break him and get him to admit that he had lied to protect Knox, and that Knox in fact had left his apartment during the evening of the murder. I think that once this had been achieved, the plan was for the full "snatch squad" to stomp loudly into downtown Perugia to arrest Knox (who would have been under surveillance to confirm her whereabouts), in the sort of triumphalist public arrest that the Perugia goons seem so keen on. Then they would confront Knox with Sollecito's dropping of her alibi, and believed that she would then quickly break. Since they knew for sure that there was a male perp (whom they probably also knew was not Sollecito), they would also use the ruse that Knox would not be in much trouble if she told them the identity of the male perp (coupled with the implicit threat that she would be in danger from this perp if he remained at large).
As it turned out of course, Knox came into the police HQ with Sollecito, thus dashing the police's grand plan to arrest her very publicly. But the plan only required a small tweak - the basics of it remained, and the snatch squad was employed anyhow dragging Lumumba out of his house with wholly-unnecessary attendant physical and verbal abuse.
* Shockingly enough, this also seems to be the modus operandi of the Italian Supreme Court: they appear to have said - in as many words - to Nencini: "We know there were multiple people involved in this murder, and we think that Knox and Sollecito are the only viable candidates for the additional people (besides Guede). So all you need to do is come up with a plausible way in which Knox and Sollecito were involved that is not contradicted by any evidence, and Bob's your uncle."
I broadly agree with everything here.
It seems to me that the police and prosecutors in this case were constantly using an improper overarching methodology: that is to say, they were coming up with "theories" of the crime, then searching for evidence to support their theory*. Once they came up against any evidence that conclusively disproved their a priori theory, they tweaked the theory to be compatible with the evidence. This is of course utterly contrary to well-proven best practice, which is to analyse all the evidence first, then use that evidence to develop a theory.
I too think that there's something potentially VERY fishy about the whole situation with the downstairs evidence. In addition, I (like you) believe that by the evening of the 5th November the police/PM had decided that Knox was directly involved in some way, alongside the person with whom by then they knew she'd been in text contact that evening (whom I believe they assumed was the male perpetrator). I also believe that the Police/PM thought Sollecito was only covering for Knox to protect her, but that he had no direct involvement.
And that's why I firmly believe that the plan on the 5th was to bring Sollecito in alone. That way, he would be physically - and emotionally, they hoped - separated from Knox, and the police would break him and get him to admit that he had lied to protect Knox, and that Knox in fact had left his apartment during the evening of the murder. I think that once this had been achieved, the plan was for the full "snatch squad" to stomp loudly into downtown Perugia to arrest Knox (who would have been under surveillance to confirm her whereabouts), in the sort of triumphalist public arrest that the Perugia goons seem so keen on. Then they would confront Knox with Sollecito's dropping of her alibi, and believed that she would then quickly break. Since they knew for sure that there was a male perp (whom they probably also knew was not Sollecito), they would also use the ruse that Knox would not be in much trouble if she told them the identity of the male perp (coupled with the implicit threat that she would be in danger from this perp if he remained at large).
As it turned out of course, Knox came into the police HQ with Sollecito, thus dashing the police's grand plan to arrest her very publicly. But the plan only required a small tweak - the basics of it remained, and the snatch squad was employed anyhow dragging Lumumba out of his house with wholly-unnecessary attendant physical and verbal abuse.
* Shockingly enough, this also seems to be the modus operandi of the Italian Supreme Court: they appear to have said - in as many words - to Nencini: "We know there were multiple people involved in this murder, and we think that Knox and Sollecito are the only viable candidates for the additional people (besides Guede). So all you need to do is come up with a plausible way in which Knox and Sollecito were involved that is not contradicted by any evidence, and Bob's your uncle."
One thing to factor into your account is the certain fact that while the cops were demanding Raffaele's presence at the cop shop, they were illegally gaining access to his apartment and interfering with his computer, as we now know from his consultant's report on the Mac Book pro.
According to the CSC judicial logic, since Guede was convicted in a fast-track trial and Knox and Sollecito were named as conspirators with him in that trial, and some time (4 years?) was taken off his sentence because he was supposedly the junior partner to Knox, and since the CSC itself confirmed (finalized) that verdict, Knox and Sollecito must be found guilty in their own adversarial trial. Otherwise a "judicial fact" would be contradicted.
Does the interpretation I offer agree with your reading of the case?
One thing to factor into your account is the certain fact that while the cops were demanding Raffaele's presence at the cop shop, they were illegally gaining access to his apartment and interfering with his computer, as we now know from his consultant's report on the Mac Book pro.
I started a bit of lit research on the question of population group ("race" may be viewed as an obsolete term) and forensic STR loci in terms of probabilities ("probable" not "determined"). There are publications. But I'm hoping that those on the forum with expertise can tell me if my idea is unrealistic or wildly unrealistic.
I wonder if its possible that not knowing that Knox would show up at the cop shop on her own, somebody went over to Sollecito's to nab Knox, saw the computer, looked to see if they could get in (untripping the screensaver), and then left. This would have prompted them to get the password from Sollecito. Probably rifled the knife drawer while they were at it.
anglolawyer said:One thing to factor into your account is the certain fact that while the cops were demanding Raffaele's presence at the cop shop, they were illegally gaining access to his apartment and interfering with his computer, as we now know from his consultant's report on the Mac Book pro.
Why do you say "illegally"?

Why do you say "illegally"?