On 1. - I'm not aware of any contact between the wealthy family (caporelli?) in Perugia that had "adopted" Rudy Guede, and then "disowned" him for the most part, and the intervention with the Milan police. While its certainly a decent enough hypothesis to look in the factual record for confirmation of some kind, there's nothing I'm aware of that supports this line of inquiry. So its not even a viable theory yet, IMO, just pure conjecture. The second, highlighted is my view, based on Steve Moore's conjecture, and the behavior and record of Mignini and the Perugians with regard to Guede.
On 2. - A deliberate tanking of the case is I suppose a possibility. The funny part of this affair, is that Paolo Canessa (?) the prosecutor in Florence, was a target of Mignini's wiretaps that caused the charges, and also responsible for prosecuting Mignini's failed MOF cases, AND prosecuting Mignini! They've got a flow chart going on in Florence, like Woody Allen's family tree.
But the case was removed to Turin, and could have been refiled. But they chose not to. They could have refiled, it didn't have to get tanked. Also, and I'm not an expert here, but under some legal systems with a statute of limitations in place, the statute can be "tolled", that is suspended for certain reasons. So the clock can be suspended for a time to allow the administration of justice, and avoid the scenario where criminals simply delay proceedings to intentionally run out the clock. Not sure how it works in Italy though.
But trying and convicting Mignini and Giutarri is a huge public embarrassment to them and the police. The importance of saving face suggests to me that tanking the case was not the intention of prosecuting and convicting Mignini and Giutarri, even if they knew that might be an outcome, As seems to be a common refrain, we are left wondering, "how dumb are they really?".
1a & b. Both of these are speculations or conjectures, IMO. I'm not aware of any specific evidence of contact between Guede and his wealthy unofficial foster family (Caporelli?). But who paid for Guede's lawyer, said by some sources to be among the most expensive in Perugia?
But here's speculation 1c: the Perugian police had a soft spot for Rudy because of his basketball skills, and they were fans.
2. This kind of trickery is routine in Italy, from what I have read. Do you think anyone in the judicial system there wasn't aware of these conflicts? They intentionally set up trials to be inconclusive, at least for officials. I believe that in terms of Italian law, they truly had run out the clock on the statute of limitations - by intent.
Interestingly, in a frightening way, since there is no statute of limitations in Italy for murder, and no limit to the number of appeals by defendant or prosecutor, AK and RS could, in theory, face an indefinite (life-long) series of trials for murder if the CSC allows it by never finalizing a verdict.
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