- Yes. But, probability is a complicated, confusing mess when viewed beneath the surface…
- The KIND of probability that you have in mind includes such conclusions as the odds that the Jets will beat the Raiders this Sunday, or the percent probability that it will rain in Baton Rouge tomorrow. In making such predictions, we try to take every existing factor, we can, into account. Our bankroll may depend upon it.
- But, that isn’t the KIND of probability we’re seeking in P(me|A). Here, we’re really asking about the likelihood of all the necessary events (for me to currently exist), actually occurring, given the scientific consensus that each potential self has but one, finite life to live (at most).
- (Actually, I haven't been able to find any scientists talking about potential selves (or, potential self processes) -- so, I'm just assuming that "each potential self has but one, finite life to live (at most)" is the unspoken consensus.)