Rincewind
Philosopher
Get the heart and the wallet will follow.
Why did I hear "Grab them by the b***s, and their hearts and minds will follow" when I read that?
Get the heart and the wallet will follow.
I don't meant to disagree with the gist of your argument. I believe it is supported by multiple strands and can survive without this one.
However I cannot simply ignore the opportunity to point out how fast populations can grow. The formula is exponential.
If we set the length of a generation to be 30 years then 450 years is 15 generations.
The function p(g) provides the size of the population in generation number g.
p(g) = AxeBxg
where A is the initial population size when g=0 and B is a constant.
With each subsequent generation, the size of the population is multiplied by eBSince we know that p(15) is 2 million we can calculate B as follows
2,000,000 = 70xeBx15
2,000,000/70 = eBx15
logn(2,000,000/70) = Bx15
B = logn(2,000,000/70)/15
B = 0.684010833
So if the population multiplies by a factor of eB that's
eB=1.981810524
- Less than doubling every generation.
So yes that's a very high level of population growth especially in a world with high infant mortality but the question was "is that reasonable?"
I can't say it's unreasonable. A lot higher than you might expect but certainly not outside the realms of possibility. That said, the strongest conclusion you might draw from that alone would be that numbers were exaggerated not that the whole thing's a myth.
I will point out however that If we were to conclude from this that the number of people fleeing Egypt is overstated at 2 million, this does affect some of your other points.
For example if your claim is that it's implausible that 2 million people might settle in a known spot in the desert for 38 years and leave no trace then reducing the number of people doesn't help the argument. I'm sure there's a long way to go before you reach the sort of numbers you might expect to go undetected but the again I'm no archaeologist.
Rincewind you have presented a very well written account for which I have no immediate way of responding.
There is certainly a lot of interesting things being said, that would take a year to analyse.
I doubt if there could be a counter presentation, because it will be this one said this, and that one said that.
There may be people who can present evidence to verify the Exodus.
But what one person has said sums it up—take away the Exodus you take away the central point of the faith.
So in order to establish the faith—there must be evidence presented to confirm the Exodus.
And this is why engineering degrees are not much value in discussions about astronomy.
Exodus - and the rest of the Pentateuch - were taken away, as historical accounts, at least - by Voltaire, Paine, Gibbon and other writers of the Enlightenment. For some of the anachronisms in these "Central points of the faith" see http://infidels.org/kiosk/article/sweet-phony-moses-883.html; but all these observations were made already two hundred years ago.But what one person has said sums it up—take away the Exodus you take away the central point of the faith.
So in order to establish the faith—there must be evidence presented to confirm the Exodus.
You are really quite a person—your colours are really showing NOW.I see. In two separate threads, you are comfortable starting with your conclusion, and calmly assuming that whatever the Bronze-Age Book of Bronze-Age Tales About a Bronze-Age 'god' actually says, you are free to trowel it into your conclusion, pretending support where there is none.
No matter how much violence you must do to the text, or to reality.
Have you learned what a circular argument is, yet?
Well we still have to examine what you have presented, a counter presentation—this I am unable to do, because I would have to consult dozens of writings—but then again what sort of evidence would suffice? So in the meantime I will console myself with what the Scriptures present.OK Paul,
I agree with your final statement... Yeah, I know, Shock! Horror!
Now here's a quick test brain teaser for you:
1) For your faith to be true, the Exodus must be true.
2) For the Exodus to be true, there must be evidence.
3) As there is zero evidence for the Exodus, what conclusion is inevitable?
Thanks for your answer.
Well we still have to examine what you have presented, a counter presentation—this I am unable to do, because I would have to consult dozens of writings—but then again what sort of evidence would suffice? So in the meantime I will console myself with what the Scriptures present.
But again your presentation is very good.
Well we still have to examine what you have presented, a counter presentation—this I am unable to do, because I would have to consult dozens of writings—but then again what sort of evidence would suffice? So in the meantime I will console myself with what the Scriptures present.
But again your presentation is very good.
My book says they travelled around—stopping at some 42 different places during those 38 years—not in one place for 38 years!One simple piece of evidence:
Apparently around two million people lived at Kadesh-Barnea for 38 years - your book of magic claims that.
Go find some trace of this.....
Science. You know.....testable, repeatable, falsifiable science. That's all.
@lpetrich/HansMustermann,
I did have a very sketchy knowledge of the Hyksos, so your contributions here have piqued my interest in searching more deeply. Thanks!
A couple of additional related things/questions:
IIRC the Sea People were busy around 1200 BCE? (Sorry - you already confirmed that)
The Philistines were descended from the Peleset, one of the Sea Peoples, and took over the coastal plain?
I will be exploring this, but would be interested in your views - did the Phoenicians descend from the Philistines, or is it just a coincidence in the names?
I did see a map of the area with an agricultural perspective set way back when. (Sorry, don't seem to have noted the address) It clearly showed that the Philistines had the smarts - the coastal plain had the most fertile land, and the hill country (where the Israelites were) was more marginal. So much for God's "Land flowing with milk and honey"! Ol' Abe would have done much better to have remained in Mesopotamia!
My book says they travelled around—stopping at some 42 different places during those 38 years—not in one place for 38 years!
You are really quite a person—your colours are really showing NOW.
Well we still have to examine what you have presented, a counter presentation—this I am unable to do, because I would have to consult dozens of writings—but then again what sort of evidence would suffice? So in the meantime I will console myself with what the Scriptures present.
But again your presentation is very good.
Oh - and a big thank you to Leumas for the contributions.
You're one smart gorilla!
And the claim gets downgraded again
.
Whyncha do something useful and talk to Paul Bethke here?
I would like you to go to any army base you have near you. Ask to see some logistics officer. Ask him what it would take to organize the movements of over 2.1M people around a desert for over 38 years to move around over 42 different sites.
Or ask a tour organizer what it would take to organize a camping trip for 2.1M people as above.
Water, food, sewage, clothing, tents, shoes, wood for fire, material for medical care etc. etc.
Now if you say all this was a miracle then I ask again..... why did YHWH not just zap them to where they were supposed to end up instead of going through with all that DRAMA.
If you say to teach them a lesson, then I remind you that they were apparently not very impressed with the teacher because the moment he turned his gaze they started worshiping COWS made out of gold they fabricated right in front of themselves using their very own earrings which I have no idea where they got if they were oppressed slaves.
Or maybe he just wanted to torture a few people for 40 years, having snakes bite them and quails poison them and earthquakes swallow some of them who rebel against all the oppression and even ordering some to kill some.
If YHWH was such an amazing god why does he spend page after page explaining to Moses how to recognize a leper. Why does he not just cure all of the lepers and wipe out the bacteria that cause leprosy in the first place? But then after explaining to Moses how to identify a leper, does YHWH teach Moses how to make the extremely simple cure called Penicillin? No.... he tells Moses to throw the poor people out of the camp and BURN their possessions and never to let them back again.
The amount of absurd things one after the other that can be discerned once someone examines the text with a rational mindset is astounding.