Merged New telepathy test: which number did I write ?

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Michel, you appear to be utterly unable to understand when people are making fun of you or your test.

That was a joke. It was not a serious post.

This further makes your test a waste of time and effort for everyone.
SezMe said:
...

Please resend.
So, I sent again (assuming of course here that telepathy exists, otherwise I cannot send "telepathic waves").

The opening post for this test is post #1495.
 
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I the idea "number xx is the target number for the Randi test". I rewrite the number

I've been pondering this a while. You say you transmit the idea of number, but your tests are all about a particular representation of a number -- you write it down using Arabic numerals in a base sufficiently large it is only a single digit. The property of, say, 15-ness is something represented in a number of different ways but it is different to all of those representations.

You played with the representation when claiming 42 was a hit on 2 because it's 4 (two 2s) and a 2. If you'd used a different representation that wouldn't have been possible. You could have decomposed it into prime factors {2, 3, 7}, which would be independent of base and suggests you should pick from the set of primes to avoid such a temptation.
 
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I may transmit other numbers during the test period, but not the idea "number xx is the target number for the Randi test".


If you're capable of transmitting such a complex idea then why is the test limited to receiving a number between one and ten? Why not transmit a random line from a song or perhaps a bible verse?



I rewrite the number from time to time on the paper near my computer, and I draw a circle around it, to try to avoid confusion.


This seems contradictory to your statement above about transmitting a complex idea. Now you seem to be claiming that you're transmitting the image of a number with a circle around it.

Further, since you're the only one who can see this circle, whose confusion are you hoping to avoid?



I also often write the time next to the number.


Then in fact you're actually writing down at least four numbers but only transmitting the idea that the number in the circle is the target for the Randi test.

This power of yours becomes more sophisticated with every post.
 
There is no complicated protocol in this test, I have simplified it following remarks by members of this forum, and also my own observations.


It's not the complexity of the protocol that's the problem. It's the utter uselessness of it that needs to be addressed.



If I get valid numerical answers (i.e. integers in the range 1-10. Note: in this test, they must be given explicitly, I remind of this in response to xtifr's post 1531 above), I'm planning to count them up, and to examine if the target has been answered more (or less) than 10%.


I can't fathom why you'd think it's a good idea to have people post their guesses (and that's all they are) in the thread. Does it not occur to you that people are going to be influenced by seeing the numbers other people have posted?

Mind you, this would only be a concern if more than a couple of people actually bothered to post answers at all, but still . . .



A probability calculation might also be done.


It might, but it would be completely meaningless because of the ridiculously small sample size.



It may also be important to study answers credibility-wise.


Drivel.

You claim to have revised your protocol following remarks of the members here and yet you adamantly cling to this particularly fatal flaw in the whole process.



For example, if someone says he answers 2 because this is the number that a random number generator, or a 10-sided die, gave him, such an answer should probably be considered as not credible.


No, what would be considered as not credible would be any result you claimed to obtain by employing such blatantly subjective and irrelevant criteria to whatever responses you receive.

In fact, this subjective acceptance/rejection of the answers you get is even more of a killer blow in this "test" now that you're asking people to actually post their guesses.
 
The biggest problem with this protocol is there is no definition at all of what constitutes a hit or a miss. For example, if the target number is 3, is 9 a hit because it is three 3s? Does a 6 count? If the target number is 10, will you lump all answers of 1 into your statistics? This lack of clarity from the very beginning pretty much dooms this test to irrelevancy. Stating that you are trying to see if the correct answers are more than 10% of the total answers is useless if you do not define what a correct answer is in the first place.

Also, you cannot state that you may need to do credibility ratings, they are either a part of the protocol from the beginning, or they are not. Changing the protocol after the test has been run is pretty much anti-science.
 
What the? I was just about to type that...

What a coincidence!


I was just doodling on a piece of paper and happened to draw a circle. I no sooner closed the loop when the phrase appeared.

The big question here is, of course, which of us is transmitting and which is receiving.

FWIW, I wasn't concentrating on the idea that xxxxxxxxxx is the target phrase for the Randi test. I was actually thinking about beer (which should give me an astronomical credibility rating, if there's any justice in the world).
 
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The biggest problem with this protocol is there is no definition at all of what constitutes a hit or a miss. For example, if the target number is 3, is 9 a hit because it is three 3s? Does a 6 count? If the target number is 10, will you lump all answers of 1 into your statistics? This lack of clarity from the very beginning pretty much dooms this test to irrelevancy. Stating that you are trying to see if the correct answers are more than 10% of the total answers is useless if you do not define what a correct answer is in the first place.

Also, you cannot state that you may need to do credibility ratings, they are either a part of the protocol from the beginning, or they are not. Changing the protocol after the test has been run is pretty much anti-science.
When I'm talking about a 10% hit rate without telepathy, I am of course implying that, if the target is a 3, the answer has to be a 3, and not 6 and 9. However it is true that 6=2.3 and 9=3.3 are more related to 3 than 8 or 10 for example. These kinds of observations can be made in a more qualitative analysis.
 
When I'm talking about a 10% hit rate without telepathy, I am of course implying that, if the target is a 3, the answer has to be a 3, and not 6 and 9. However it is true that 6=2.3 and 9=3.3 are more related to 3 than 8 or 10 for example.


In other words, everything that Hokulele said was spot on and you are quite prepared to manipulate whatever data you receive by whatever means you can think of in order to skew the results in favour of your claim.



These kinds of observations can be made in a more qualitative analysis.


Codswallop.
 
it is true that 6=2.3 and 9=3.3 are more related to 3 than 8 or 10
But 3 looks closer to 8 than 6, so how can it be less related? Or are you sending the number as something other than a visual image of the digit?

I rewrite the number from time to time on the paper near my computer
If you are just sending a mathematical thought from your mind, what's the point of writing the number down on paper?

BTW I'm not getting any thoughts from you, so either your mind has some abnormality that prevents me from reading it (which might explain a lot...) or you have been lying to us. Which is it?
 
But 3 looks closer to 8 than 6, so how can it be less related? Or are you sending the number as something other than a visual image of the digit?
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Yes, you have a point there, Roger Ramjets, I was thinking "mathematically related", not having some degree of similarity as drawings. I am myself more a mathematician (as a physicist and an engineer) than an artist, and it seems to me than people have more a tendency to answer mathematically related numbers than visually related numbers, but your observation shows that it is important to be careful.
 
Yes, you have a point there, Roger Ramjets, I was thinking "mathematically related", not having some degree of similarity as drawings.


Why did you not answer the second part of the question?

If you are just sending a mathematical thought from your mind, what's the point of writing the number down on paper?



I am myself more a mathematician (as a physicist and an engineer) than an artist, and it seems to me than people have more a tendency to answer mathematically related numbers than visually related numbers . . .


Seems? On what basis?



. . . but your observation shows that it is important to be careful.


And yet you keep coming up with more and more careless protocols.
 
I was just doodling on a piece of paper and happened to draw a circle. I no sooner closed the loop when the phrase appeared.

The big question here is, of course, which of us is transmitting and which is receiving.

FWIW, I wasn't concentrating on the idea that xxxxxxxxxx is the target phrase for the Randi test. I was actually thinking about beer (which should give me an astronomical credibility rating, if there's any justice in the world).

The minute I saw that beer was the thought, Sapporo immediately sprang to mind, even though I've never drunk that brand.
 
Here's my highly credible answer

816731DC7F4F34DBEE6B81834175A3C9EA196DB0039B7AD747AE76FA03E7861ABC9BA9C7AFDB817DFF9D2CB5E95ED24CFF8611BD0BBEEFE1132F968FB2F3A6FB
 
Also I too wrote it down this time, here on my note pad which also doubles as a mouse mat and also as Cat Sitting Perch
 
Here's my highly credible answer

816731DC7F4F34DBEE6B81834175A3C9EA196DB0039B7AD747AE76FA03E7861ABC9BA9C7AFDB817DFF9D2CB5E95ED24CFF8611BD0BBEEFE1132F968FB2F3A6FB
Sorry, Scarlett, but, in this test, your answer must be one of the ten numbers 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, or "I don't know", in order to be valid. Please, answer one of these eleven possibilities.
 
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